Result
2:1
14/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+, FanDuel Sports Network Florida |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (374/440) | 87% (389/448) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (374/440) | 87% (389/448) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (42/62) | 52% (27/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (115/159) | 69% (63/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (11/26) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.41 | -1.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', Mercado Carrizo D. A. 🟨,
- 42', 0 - 1, Bonfiglio F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 58', Veron D. 🟨,
- 62', Rodriguez A. ↓, Moon N. ↑,
- 62', Castellanos R. ↓, Arteaga M. ↑,
- 67', Veron D. ↓, Vazquez C. ↑,
- 67', Mitrano A. ↓, Cardona N. ↑,
- 69', Zarate T. ↓, Gavilanes A. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 1, Guillen A. ⚽, Hilton L. (A),
- 79', Celeste F. ↓, Rivera R. ↑,
- 79', Bonfiglio F. ↓, Melano L. ↑,
- 83', Bassett O. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
- 90+1', Ricketts J. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Arteaga M. ⚽, Hilton L. (A),
- 90+4', Pacius W. ↓, Lasso F. ↑,
- 90+12', Alvarez L. ↓, De Jesus M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tampa Bay Rowdies
51.3% | Draw
23.7% | Miami
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tampa Bay Rowdies's performance.Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miami might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-16.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tampa Bay Rowdies that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+13.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miami could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(2.55) |
3.89 ↑
(3.4) |
3.68 ↑
(2.45) |
8.8%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 4.
- Recent form of Tampa Bay has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Miami is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Tampa Bay is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:20. (average 2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:8. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Rowdies won against Miami?
Tampa Bay Rowdies has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Miami won against Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Miami has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami were as follows:
26.04.2025
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Miami
3:3
22.03.2025
Miami
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
1:2
24.08.2024
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Miami
2:0
11.04.2024
Miami
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
2:5
26.08.2023
Miami
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0:2
Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 56:19 | 37 | 73 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 62 |
| 3 | North Carolina ✔ | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 45 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic ✔ | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48:36 | 12 | 44 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh ✔ | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 6 | Loudoun ✔ | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 45:48 | -3 | 42 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 29:29 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Detroit | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 37 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 35 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 34 |
| 11 | Miami FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 29:44 | -15 | 30 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 36:50 | -14 | 27 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 50:30 | 20 | 57 |
| 2 | New Mexico ✔ | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 48 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic ✔ | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | El Paso | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 47:45 | 2 | 41 |
| 5 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 48:48 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 44:45 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 37 |
| 9 | Lexington | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 42:52 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 23:50 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
