Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Football USL Championship Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami
Result
2:1
14/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, FanDuel Sports Network Florida
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.851.49
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
85% (374/440)87% (389/448)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.851.49
xG on target (xGOT)
0.611.41
Total shots
98
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
2716
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
811
Passes
85% (374/440)87% (389/448)
Long passes
68% (42/62)52% (27/52)
Passes in final third
72% (115/159)69% (63/91)
Crosses
42% (11/26)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.120.56
Throw-ins
2413
Fouls
118
Tackles
50% (6/12)65% (11/17)
Duels won
3746
Clearances
2227
Interceptions
313
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.410.61
Goals prevented
0.41-1.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', Mercado Carrizo D. A. 🟨,
  • 42', 0 - 1, Bonfiglio F. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 58', Veron D. 🟨,
  • 62', Rodriguez A. ↓, Moon N. ↑,
  • 62', Castellanos R. ↓, Arteaga M. ↑,
  • 67', Veron D. ↓, Vazquez C. ↑,
  • 67', Mitrano A. ↓, Cardona N. ↑,
  • 69', Zarate T. ↓, Gavilanes A. ↑,
  • 74', 1 - 1, Guillen A. ⚽, Hilton L. (A),
  • 79', Celeste F. ↓, Rivera R. ↑,
  • 79', Bonfiglio F. ↓, Melano L. ↑,
  • 83', Bassett O. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
  • 90+1', Ricketts J. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
  • 90+2', 2 - 1, Arteaga M. ⚽, Hilton L. (A),
  • 90+4', Pacius W. ↓, Lasso F. ↑,
  • 90+12', Alvarez L. ↓, De Jesus M. ↑,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Rowdies
51.3%		Draw
23.7%		Miami
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 26.9% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 26.2% 38.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tampa Bay Rowdies's performance.
  • Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miami might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-16.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tampa Bay Rowdies that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miami could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.79 ↓
    (2.55)    		 3.89 ↑
    (3.4)    		 3.68 ↑
    (2.45)    		 8.8%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 4.
    • Recent form of Tampa Bay has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Miami is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Tampa Bay is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:20. (average 2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:8. (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami 3:3
    22.03.2025 Miami - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:2
    24.08.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami 2:0
    11.04.2024 Miami - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:5
    26.08.2023 Miami - Tampa Bay Rowdies 0:2
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
    07.06.2025 Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:1
    31.05.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - South Georgia Tormenta 2:1
    24.05.2025 Lexington - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:1
    17.05.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Rhode Island 0:3
    10.05.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Charleston Battery 1:3
    Latest results of Miami
    07.06.2025 Rhode Island - Miami 0:1
    31.05.2025 Miami - Naples 3:2
    24.05.2025 Miami - Birmingham Legion 1:2
    17.05.2025 Miami - Loudoun United 2:1
    04.05.2025 Monterey Bay - Miami 1:1
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston18132338:162241
    2Louisville City17115130:131738
    3Loudoun1883728:27127
    4North Carolina1682625:20526
    5Pittsburgh1765615:15023
    6Detroit1756620:22-221
    7Indy Eleven1655626:28-220
    8Miami FC1754817:25-819
    9Birmingham1846819:25-618
    10Rhode Island1745814:18-417
    11Hartford Athletic1644819:21-216
    12Tampa Bay16421017:25-814


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa1795327:18932
    2San Antonio1683523:21227
    3New Mexico1681722:21125
    4Sacramento Republic1666422:121024
    5Orange County SC1672726:23323
    6El Paso1665524:25-123
    7Phoenix Rising1765627:30-323
    8Monterey Bay1864819:23-422
    9Colorado Springs1756622:23-121
    10Oakland Roots1762919:25-620
    11Lexington1847718:26-819
    12Las Vegas Lights1753913:28-1518

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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