Result
19/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Jaiba Brava
48.9% | Draw
26.2% | Atlético Morelia
24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jaiba Brava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Atlético Morelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Jaiba Brava - Atlético Morelia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↑
(1.87) |
3.51 ↓
(3.58) |
3.69 ↓
(3.9) |
8.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaiba Brava won 1.
- Jaiba Brava is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Atlético Morelia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Atlético Morelia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Jaiba Brava is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Jaiba Brava won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jaiba Brava won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Jaiba Brava won against Atlético Morelia?
Jaiba Brava has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Morelia won against Jaiba Brava?
Atlético Morelia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jaiba Brava - Atlético Morelia were as follows:
08.11.2025
Atlético Morelia
-
Jaiba Brava
0:0
11.01.2025
Atlético Morelia
-
Jaiba Brava
1:0
27.07.2024
Jaiba Brava
-
Atlético Morelia
1:1
Latest results of Jaiba Brava
Latest results of Atlético Morelia
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
