Result
1:1
05/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | AYM Sports |
 Usa | Aym Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Torres E. ⚽,
- 25', Delgado A. 🟨,
- 26', Dominguez A. 🟨,
- 27', Lora S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Benitez S. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 62', Salcido J. ↓, Ballesteros O. ↑,
- 71', Portales J. 🟨,
- 75', Escoboza A. ↓, Peralta J. ↑,
- 76', Flores S. ↓, Soto O. ↑,
- 86', Galvan P. ↓, Lopez C. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 1, Lora S. ⚽,
- 90+3', Razo L. 🟨,
- 90+3', Saldivar J. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 90+5', Cruz J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jaiba Brava
55.2% | Draw
23.9% | Venados
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jaiba Brava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Venados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venados than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Jaiba Brava - Venados Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.64) |
3.86 ↓
(4.04) |
4.43 ↓
(4.69) |
8.2%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaiba Brava won 2.
- In recent matches, Jaiba Brava has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Venados's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Venados may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Jaiba Brava is the team to beat.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Jaiba Brava won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:11. (average 1.5:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jaiba Brava won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 1.6:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Jaiba Brava won against Venados?
Jaiba Brava has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Venados won against Jaiba Brava?
Venados has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jaiba Brava - Venados were as follows:
23.10.2025
Venados
-
Jaiba Brava
1:1
17.01.2025
Venados
-
Jaiba Brava
1:2
02.08.2024
Jaiba Brava
-
Venados
0:0
Latest results of Jaiba Brava
Latest results of Venados
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
