Result
1:1
23/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 13
- Referee: Armenta J. E. H. (Mex)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Guzman W. ⚽, Madrid W. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Peralta J. ↓, Perez O. ↑,
- 46', Perez E. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 1, Escoboza A. ⚽, Torres E. (A),
- 59', Navarrete D. ↓, Acosta C. ↑,
- 69', Clemente J. 🟨,
- 71', Catalan A. 🟨,
- 73', Guzman W. ↓, Benitez S. ↑,
- 73', Catalan A. ↓, Torres Sauri M. ↑,
- 77', Pedroza M. ↓, Garza A. ↑,
- 80', Calero J. ↓, Lopez C. ↑,
- 80', Amador K. ↓, Espinosa E. ↑,
- 84', Clemente J. ↓, Rios A. ↑,
- 90+1', Escoboza A. ↓, Magana D. ↑,
- 90+3', Torres E. 🟨,
- 90+6', Dominguez R. 🟨,
- 90+6', Flores S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Venados
35.8% | Draw
26.9% | Jaiba Brava
37.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Venados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Jaiba Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venados than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Venados, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jaiba Brava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Venados - Jaiba Brava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61 ↑
(2.28) |
3.46 ↓
(3.57) |
2.5 ↓
(2.75) |
7.2%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Jaiba Brava is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venados won 1.
- Recent performances by Venados have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Jaiba Brava is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Venados may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Venados won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:21. (average 0.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Venados won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Venados won against Jaiba Brava?
Venados has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jaiba Brava won against Venados?
Jaiba Brava has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Venados - Jaiba Brava were as follows:
17.01.2025
Venados
-
Jaiba Brava
1:2
02.08.2024
Jaiba Brava
-
Venados
0:0
Latest results of Venados
Latest results of Jaiba Brava
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Morelia | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Tapatio | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Tlaxcala | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Cancun | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Atlante | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Atletico La Paz | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Venados | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Zacatecas Mineros | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Leones Negros | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 | Jaiba Brava | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
