Universidad Católica del Ecuador vs Técnico Universitario

24/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito).

Liga Pro - Round 26
Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)
Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.68	0.69
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
11	16
Shots on target
4	5
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
4	0
Passes
80% (334/417)	81% (259/318)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68	0.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.52	0.51
Total shots
11	16
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
6	9
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
6	3
Shots outside the Box
5	13
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
4	0
Touches in opposition box
21	12
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
6	1
Free Kicks
10	14
Passes
80% (334/417)	81% (259/318)
Long passes
44% (29/66)	61% (34/56)
Passes in final third
58% (42/72)	67% (62/92)
Crosses
22% (2/9)	15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.33	0.43
Throw-ins
19	18
Fouls
15	11
Tackles
76% (13/17)	64% (7/11)
Duels won
42	37
Clearances
17	15
Interceptions
7	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	2
xGOT faced
0.51	0.52
Goals prevented
0.51	-1.48

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Alonso M. ⚽,
28', Jhon Chancellor ↓, Medina C. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Cuero Fabian 🟨,
54', 2 - 0, Londono A. ⚽,
60', Andrade J. ↓, Blanco J. ↑,
60', Luzarraga R. ↓, Cristobal R. ↑,
61', Minda T. ↓, Norona M. ↑,
67', Cacciabue J. ↓, Moreno L. ↑,
67', Alonso M. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
75', Perez M. 🟨,
81', Palacios B. ↓, Fajardo J. ↑,
81', Diaz M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
88', Perea M. ↓, Herrera O. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Universidad Católica del Ecuador
55.3%

Draw
24.2%

Técnico Universitario
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

22.1%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

23.1%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Técnico Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Católica del Ecuador, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Técnico Universitario Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.6)	3.77 ↓ (4.18)	4.5 ↓ (4.61)	8.7% (8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Técnico Universitario?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Técnico Univ will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 11.9% – 76.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Uni Católica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Uni Católica is considered a favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 2.2:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Técnico Universitario?

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Técnico Universitario won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?

Técnico Universitario has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Técnico Universitario were as follows:

03.05.2025 Técnico Universitario - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:1

04.11.2024 Técnico Universitario - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 2:0

19.09.2024 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Técnico Universitario 3:2

13.05.2024 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Técnico Universitario 3:2

05.08.2023 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Técnico Universitario 0:0

Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador

20.08.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Alianza Lima 1:2 ✺

16.08.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Libertad Loja 1:1 ✺

13.08.2025 Alianza Lima - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 2:0 ✺

08.08.2025 Orense - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:1 ✺

03.08.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - SD Aucas 6:2 ✺

Latest results of Técnico Universitario

20.08.2025 9 de Octubre - Técnico Universitario 1:0 ✺

17.08.2025 Técnico Universitario - Emelec 0:1 ✺

10.08.2025 Vinotinto - Técnico Universitario 0:1 ✺

03.08.2025 Técnico Universitario - Manta 3:1 ✺

27.07.2025 Mushuc Runa - Técnico Universitario 0:1 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle ✔	28	18	8	2	53:21	32	62
2	LDU Quito	28	13	9	6	43:26	17	48
3	Barcelona SC	27	14	5	8	40:32	8	47
4	Dep. Cuenca	27	12	7	8	32:26	6	43
5	U. Catolica	27	11	9	7	51:35	16	42
6	Libertad	28	11	9	8	40:35	5	42
7	Orense	27	12	6	9	31:31	0	42
8	Aucas	27	11	5	11	36:39	-3	38
9	Emelec	27	10	8	9	26:30	-4	38
10	EL Nacional	27	9	7	11	32:35	-3	34
11	Macara	27	7	10	10	26:28	-2	31
12	Delfin	27	6	11	10	25:40	-15	29
13	Manta	27	5	10	12	31:45	-14	25
14	Tecnico U	27	6	7	14	24:41	-17	25
15	Vinotinto	28	6	6	16	30:41	-11	24
16	Mushuc Runa	27	6	5	16	30:45	-15	23

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )

Universidad Católica del Ecuador vs Técnico Universitario – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV