Result
1:1
24/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 13
- Referee: Barba A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Morales F. ⚽, Cruz J. (A),
- 13', Alvarez K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', Gonzalez Arriaga O. A. 🟨,
- 64', Samano L. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
- 64', Aguilar M. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
- 68', Cruz J. ↓, Santos E. ↑,
- 68', Ruiz A. 🟨,
- 73', Chavez A. ↓, Machado J. ↑,
- 73', Munoz Z. ↓, Ballesteros O. ↑,
- 75', Reyes J. 🟨,
- 75', Vazquez Garza H. A. 🟨,
- 77', Cerda J. 🟨,
- 79', 1 - 1, Aguilar D. ⚽,
- 85', Reyes J. ↓, Montano T. ↑,
- 87', Morales F. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
- 90+1', Arellano A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Mascorro H. ↓, Bustos J. ↑,
- 90+2', Vazquez Garza H. A. ↓, Olaguez E. ↑,
- 90+4', Garcia D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
28.5% | Draw
26.4% | Tepatitlán de Morelos
45.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Tepatitlán de Morelos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (-1%)
Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tepatitlán de Morelos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.27 ↑
(3.24) |
3.52 ↓
(3.58) |
2.06 ↑
(2.01) |
7.6%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Tepatitlán (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Tepatitlán (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tepatitlán (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 1.
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tepatitlán is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Tepatitlán could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:20. (average 0.7:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.6:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Alebrijes de Oaxaca won against Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tepatitlán de Morelos won against Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Tepatitlán de Morelos has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tepatitlán de Morelos were as follows:
11.04.2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
4:0
27.10.2024
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
0:2
26.03.2024
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1:0
25.10.2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
3:1
08.02.2023
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
0:3
Latest results of Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Latest results of Tepatitlán de Morelos
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico La Paz | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | Atl. Morelia | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:9 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Tapatio | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Atlante | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | Cancun | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Zacatecas Mineros | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | Irapuato | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:20 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Correcaminos | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:23 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 | Venados | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 7 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
