Termalica Nieciecza vs Korona Kielce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Termalica Nieciecza - Korona Kielce
Result
1:3
30/08/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 7
  • Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 6
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.622.64
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
824
Shots on target
59
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
31
Passes
77% (277/361)83% (358/432)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.622.64
xG on target (xGOT)
0.582.50
Total shots
824
Shots on target
59
Shots off target
29
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
719
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
31
Touches in opposition box
1542
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
77% (277/361)83% (358/432)
Long passes
21% (11/52)38% (20/53)
Passes in final third
60% (75/125)70% (89/127)
Crosses
47% (8/17)43% (6/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.371.39
Throw-ins
2013
Fouls
1312
Tackles
65% (11/17)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4649
Clearances
2322
Interceptions
52
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
64
xGOT faced
2.500.58
Goals prevented
-0.50-0.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Hilbrycht D. , Mini (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 47', 1 - 1, Blanik D. , Pieczek M. (A),
  • 52', 1 - 2, Smolarczyk B. ,
  • 58', Jimenez J. , Trubeha A. ,
  • 58', Kubica K. , Kurzawa R. ,
  • 66', Mini , Strzalek I. ,
  • 66', Fassbender M. , Zapolnik K. ,
  • 68', 1 - 3, Matuszewski K. ,
  • 76', Antonin , Nikolov V. ,
  • 76', Blanik D. , Davidovic S. ,
  • 82', Nikolov V. 🟨,
  • 83', Nono , Niski N. ,
  • 85', Masoero L. , Jakubik W. ,
  • 90', Remacle M. , Strzebonski M. ,
  • 90+3', Strzebonski M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Termalica Nieciecza
39.4%
Draw
28.6%
Korona Kielce
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 26.8% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 28.7% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Termalica Nieciecza have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Termalica Nieciecza - Korona Kielce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.4)
    3.41
    (3.52)
    3.1
    (2.8)
    2.7%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Termalica Nieciecza - Korona Kielce?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Termalica will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Korona will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Korona: 11.9%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Termalica (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Korona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Termalica: Zapolnik K. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Korona: Budnicki J. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Termalica: Kasperkiewicz A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Korona: Svetlin T. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Termalica won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.1:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Termalica Nieciecza - Korona Kielce were as follows:
    06.09.2024 Termalica Nieciecza - Korona Kielce 1:2
    21.01.2023 Termalica Nieciecza - Korona Kielce 1:2
    Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
    Latest results of Korona Kielce
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gornik Zabrze960314:7718
    2Cracovia852116:9717
    3Jagiellonia852114:10417
    4Wisla Plock851210:5516
    5Korona Kielce943211:7415
    6Lech Poznan842215:14114
    7Legia833211:6512
    8Radomiak Radom932415:16-111
    9Zaglebie824216:13310
    10Widzew Lodz931513:12110
    11Motor Lublin82429:12-310
    12Pogon Szczecin931514:18-410
    13Termalica B-B923411:13-29
    14Arka Gdynia92345:10-59
    15Rakow82249:13-48
    16GKS Katowice921610:20-107
    17Lechia Gdansk932418:22-46
    18Piast Gliwice70433:7-44

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1