Result
1:3
30/08/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 7
- Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 2.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (277/361) | 83% (358/432) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 2.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 2.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 42 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (277/361) | 83% (358/432) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 21% (11/52) | 38% (20/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (75/125) | 70% (89/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.50 | 0.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.50 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Hilbrycht D. ⚽, Mini (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 47', 1 - 1, Blanik D. ⚽, Pieczek M. (A),
- 52', 1 - 2, Smolarczyk B. ⚽,
- 58', Jimenez J. ↓, Trubeha A. ↑,
- 58', Kubica K. ↓, Kurzawa R. ↑,
- 66', Mini ↓, Strzalek I. ↑,
- 66', Fassbender M. ↓, Zapolnik K. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 3, Matuszewski K. ⚽,
- 76', Antonin ↓, Nikolov V. ↑,
- 76', Blanik D. ↓, Davidovic S. ↑,
- 82', Nikolov V. 🟨,
- 83', Nono ↓, Niski N. ↑,
- 85', Masoero L. ↓, Jakubik W. ↑,
- 90', Remacle M. ↓, Strzebonski M. ↑,
- 90+3', Strzebonski M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Termalica Nieciecza
39.4% | Draw
28.6% | Korona Kielce
32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Termalica Nieciecza have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Termalica Nieciecza - Korona Kielce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↑
(2.4) |
3.41 ↓
(3.52) |
3.1 ↑
(2.8) |
2.7%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Termalica Nieciecza - Korona Kielce?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Termalica will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Korona will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korona: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Termalica (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Korona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Termalica: Zapolnik K.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Korona: Budnicki J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Termalica: Kasperkiewicz A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Korona: Svetlin T.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Termalica won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.1:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Termalica Nieciecza won against Korona Kielce?
Termalica Nieciecza has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Termalica Nieciecza?
Korona Kielce has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Termalica Nieciecza - Korona Kielce were as follows:
06.09.2024
Termalica Nieciecza
-
Korona Kielce
1:2
21.01.2023
Termalica Nieciecza
-
Korona Kielce
1:2
Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
Latest results of Korona Kielce
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | Cracovia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:9 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Korona Kielce | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:10 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Pogon Szczecin | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Termalica B-B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Motor Lublin | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 | Arka Gdynia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Legia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Zaglebie | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 6 |
| 16 | Rakow | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
