Result
4:2
27/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 10
- Referee: Malec P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 3.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (306/368) | 81% (311/385) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 3.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.04 | 3.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 42 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (306/368) | 81% (311/385) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (18/47) | 48% (24/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (102/132) | 75% (126/168) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/17) | 36% (10/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 4.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.40 | 3.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.40 | -0.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 9', 0 - 1, Hilbrycht D. ⚽, Fassbender M. (A),
- 20', 0 - 2, Trubeha A. ⚽, Kubica K. (A),
- 29', Drapinski I. 🟨,
- 32', Trubeha A. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 2, Dalmau A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Boisgard Q. ↓, Jirka E. ↑,
- 46', Zapolnik K. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
- 50', Ambrosiewicz M. 🟨,
- 51', 2 - 2, Sanca L. ⚽, Felix J. (A),
- 60', 3 - 2, Sanca L. ⚽,
- 62', Fassbender M. ↓, Kurzawa R. ↑,
- 62', Trubeha A. ↓, Mini ↑,
- 70', Dalmau A. 🟥,
- 75', Sanca L. ↓, Pitan L. ↑,
- 75', Lokilo J. ↓, Barkovskiy G. ↑,
- 81', Tomasiewicz G. ↓, Lesniak O. ↑,
- 83', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Strzalek I. ↑,
- 83', Boboc R. ↓, Jakubik W. ↑,
- 84', Felix J. ↓, Chrapek M. ↑,
- 88', Jimenez J. 🟨,
- 90+6', 4 - 2, Jirka E. ⚽, Dziczek P. (A),
Chances of winning
Piast Gliwice
59.5% | Draw
28.7% | Termalica Nieciecza
11.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Piast Gliwice's performance.Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Termalica Nieciecza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Piast Gliwice that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Termalica Nieciecza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Piast Gliwice - Termalica Nieciecza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.82) |
3.75 ↑
(3.6) |
10.17 ↑
(4.28) |
-6.1%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Piast Gliwice - Termalica Nieciecza?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Piast will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Termalica will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Piast: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Piast (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Termalica (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Piast (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Termalica (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Piast won 4.
- Piast has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Termalica has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Piast will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Piast: Katsantonis A.
(Knee Injury)
Twumasi E.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Piast won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Piast won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Piast Gliwice won against Termalica Nieciecza?
Piast Gliwice has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Termalica Nieciecza won against Piast Gliwice?
Termalica Nieciecza has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Piast Gliwice - Termalica Nieciecza were as follows:
31.10.2023
Termalica Nieciecza
-
Piast Gliwice
0:1
Latest results of Piast Gliwice
Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 37:27 | 10 | 38 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 40:34 | 6 | 38 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 31:29 | 2 | 34 |
| 6 | Cracovia | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 33 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 33 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 30 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 30 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 32:37 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 37:34 | 3 | 29 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Lechia Gdansk | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 46:45 | 1 | 28 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 21:38 | -17 | 26 |
| 16 | Legia | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 27:29 | -2 | 25 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 29:33 | -4 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
