Result
3:2
06/04/2026 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 27
- Referee: Kos D. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.74 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (186/291) | 77% (364/474) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 1.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (186/291) | 77% (364/474) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (24/65) | 48% (32/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 38% (29/77) | 67% (109/162) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 33% (9/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 53 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.63 | 2.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.37 | -0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 14', Lewicki J. 🟨,
- 15', 1 - 0, Jimenez J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 35', Ambrosiewicz M. 🟨,
- 42', 2 - 0, Zapolnik K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Matysik M. ↓, Isik G. ↑,
- 46', Vallejo H. ↓, Sanca L. ↑,
- 61', Tomasiewicz G. ↓, Chrapek M. ↑,
- 61', Barkovskiy G. ↓, Dalmau A. ↑,
- 61', Felix J. ↓, Katsantonis A. ↑,
- 68', Strzalek I. ↓, Trubeha A. ↑,
- 68', Lesniak O. ↓, Lima I. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, Dalmau A. ⚽, Drapinski I. (A),
- 73', Hilbrycht D. 🟨,
- 73', 3 - 1, Hilbrycht D. ⚽,
- 78', Jimenez J. ↓, Biniek D. ↑,
- 79', Zapolnik K. ↓, Durdov I. ↑,
- 82', 3 - 2, Juande ⚽,
- 85', Biniek D. 🟨,
- 90+4', Lima I. 🟨,
- 90+5', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Jakubik W. ↑,
- 90+6', Lima I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Termalica Nieciecza
31.2% | Draw
27.1% | Piast Gliwice
41.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Termalica Nieciecza's form might have worsened.Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Piast Gliwice's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Termalica Nieciecza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Piast Gliwice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Termalica Nieciecza - Piast Gliwice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.99 ↑
(2.45) |
3.45 ↑
(3.37) |
2.26 ↓
(2.62) |
6.8%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Termalica Nieciecza - Piast Gliwice?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Termalica will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Piast will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Piast: 48.9% – 92.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 0.
- Termalica has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Piast has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Termalica: Kubica K.
(Yellow Cards)
Putivtsev A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Piast: Lokilo J.
(Yellow Cards)
Plach F.
(Knee Injury)
Twumasi E.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Termalica: Kopacz B.
(Inactive)
Kurzawa R.
(Inactive)
Wolski M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Piast: Boisgard Q.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Termalica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Termalica Nieciecza won against Piast Gliwice?
Termalica Nieciecza has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Piast Gliwice won against Termalica Nieciecza?
Piast Gliwice has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Termalica Nieciecza - Piast Gliwice were as follows:
27.09.2025
Piast Gliwice
-
Termalica Nieciecza
4:2
31.10.2023
Termalica Nieciecza
-
Piast Gliwice
0:1
Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
Latest results of Piast Gliwice
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 49:40 | 9 | 46 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42:33 | 9 | 44 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 44:35 | 9 | 43 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 43 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 42 |
| 6 | Rakow | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 40 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Motor Lublin | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 37:40 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 | Lechia Gdansk | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 55:51 | 4 | 37 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 33:33 | 0 | 37 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 35 |
| 14 | Legia | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 33:32 | 1 | 34 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:47 | -17 | 34 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33:35 | -2 | 33 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 33:51 | -18 | 25 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
