Result
4:2
27/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 10
- Referee: Malec P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Canada | beIN Connect |
Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.11 | 3.45 |
Ball Possession |
---|
48% | 52% |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 22 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
83% (306/368) | 81% (311/385) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.11 | 3.45 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.04 | 3.40 |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 22 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 8 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 16 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
30 | 42 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
83% (306/368) | 81% (311/385) |
Long passes |
---|
38% (18/47) | 48% (24/50) |
Passes in final third |
---|
77% (102/132) | 75% (126/168) |
Crosses |
---|
6% (1/17) | 36% (10/28) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.39 | 4.73 |
Throw-ins |
---|
13 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
25% (2/8) | 54% (7/13) |
Duels won |
---|
41 | 52 |
Clearances |
---|
42 | 22 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
3.40 | 3.04 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.40 | -0.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 9', 0 - 1, Hilbrycht D. ⚽, Fassbender M. (A),
- 20', 0 - 2, Trubeha A. ⚽, Kubica K. (A),
- 29', Drapinski I. 🟨,
- 32', Trubeha A. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 2, Dalmau A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Boisgard Q. ↓, Jirka E. ↑,
- 46', Zapolnik K. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
- 50', Ambrosiewicz M. 🟨,
- 51', 2 - 2, Sanca L. ⚽, Felix J. (A),
- 60', 3 - 2, Sanca L. ⚽,
- 62', Fassbender M. ↓, Kurzawa R. ↑,
- 62', Trubeha A. ↓, Mini ↑,
- 70', Dalmau A. 🟥,
- 75', Sanca L. ↓, Pitan L. ↑,
- 75', Lokilo J. ↓, Barkovskiy G. ↑,
- 81', Tomasiewicz G. ↓, Lesniak O. ↑,
- 83', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Strzalek I. ↑,
- 83', Boboc R. ↓, Jakubik W. ↑,
- 84', Felix J. ↓, Chrapek M. ↑,
- 88', Jimenez J. 🟨,
- 90+6', 4 - 2, Jirka E. ⚽, Dziczek P. (A),
Chances of winning
Piast Gliwice 59.5% | Draw 28.7% | Termalica Nieciecza 11.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Piast Gliwice's performance.Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Termalica Nieciecza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Piast Gliwice that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Termalica Nieciecza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Piast Gliwice - Termalica Nieciecza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.74 ↓ (1.82) |
3.75 ↑ (3.6) |
10.17 ↑ (4.28) |
-6.1% (6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Piast Gliwice - Termalica Nieciecza?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Piast will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Termalica will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Piast: 19% – 81%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Piast won 4.
- Piast has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Termalica has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Piast will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Piast: Katsantonis A.
(Knee Injury)
Twumasi E.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Piast won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Piast won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Piast Gliwice won against Termalica Nieciecza?
Piast Gliwice has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Termalica Nieciecza won against Piast Gliwice?
Termalica Nieciecza has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Piast Gliwice - Termalica Nieciecza were as follows:
31.10.2023
Termalica Nieciecza
-
Piast Gliwice
0:1
Latest results of Piast Gliwice
Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 |
2 | Cracovia | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:10 | 7 | 18 |
3 | Korona Kielce | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
4 | Jagiellonia | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
5 | Wisla Plock | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 17 |
6 | Legia | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
7 | Lech Poznan | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:16 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Zaglebie | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 20:13 | 7 | 13 |
9 | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 12 |
10 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:14 | -3 | 11 |
11 | Rakow | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Widzew Lodz | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:13 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Pogon Szczecin | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 10 |
14 | Termalica B-B | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 9 |
15 | Arka Gdynia | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5:14 | -9 | 9 |
16 | GKS Katowice | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 8 |
17 | Piast Gliwice | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 18:25 | -7 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1