Piast Gliwice vs Termalica Nieciecza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Piast Gliwice - Termalica Nieciecza
Result
4:2
27/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 10
  • Referee: Malec P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.113.45
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
2022
Shots on target
77
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
83% (306/368)81% (311/385)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.113.45
xG on target (xGOT)
3.043.40
Total shots
2022
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
78
Shots inside the Box
1316
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
3042
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
157
Passes
83% (306/368)81% (311/385)
Long passes
38% (18/47)48% (24/50)
Passes in final third
77% (102/132)75% (126/168)
Crosses
6% (1/17)36% (10/28)
Expected assists (xA)
1.394.73
Throw-ins
1316
Fouls
715
Tackles
25% (2/8)54% (7/13)
Duels won
4152
Clearances
4222
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
3.403.04
Goals prevented
1.40-0.96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Hilbrycht D. , Fassbender M. (A),
  • 20', 0 - 2, Trubeha A. , Kubica K. (A),
  • 29', Drapinski I. 🟨,
  • 32', Trubeha A. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 2, Dalmau A. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Boisgard Q. , Jirka E. ,
  • 46', Zapolnik K. , Jimenez J. ,
  • 50', Ambrosiewicz M. 🟨,
  • 51', 2 - 2, Sanca L. , Felix J. (A),
  • 60', 3 - 2, Sanca L. ,
  • 62', Fassbender M. , Kurzawa R. ,
  • 62', Trubeha A. , Mini ,
  • 70', Dalmau A. 🟥,
  • 75', Sanca L. , Pitan L. ,
  • 75', Lokilo J. , Barkovskiy G. ,
  • 81', Tomasiewicz G. , Lesniak O. ,
  • 83', Hilbrycht D. , Strzalek I. ,
  • 83', Boboc R. , Jakubik W. ,
  • 84', Felix J. , Chrapek M. ,
  • 88', Jimenez J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 4 - 2, Jirka E. , Dziczek P. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Piast Gliwice
59.5%
Draw
28.7%
Termalica Nieciecza
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 26.2% 22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1% 26% 21.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Piast Gliwice's performance.
  • Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Termalica Nieciecza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Piast Gliwice that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Termalica Nieciecza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Piast Gliwice - Termalica Nieciecza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.82)
    3.75
    (3.6)
    10.17
    (4.28)
    -6.1%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Piast Gliwice - Termalica Nieciecza?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Piast will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Termalica will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Piast: 19%81%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Piast won 4.
    • Piast has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Termalica has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Piast will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Piast: Katsantonis A. (Knee Injury) Twumasi E. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Piast won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Piast won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Piast Gliwice - Termalica Nieciecza were as follows:
    31.10.2023 Termalica Nieciecza - Piast Gliwice 0:1
    Latest results of Piast Gliwice
    Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gornik Zabrze1061315:8719
    2Cracovia953117:10718
    3Korona Kielce1053214:7718
    4Jagiellonia953116:12418
    5Wisla Plock952211:6517
    6Legia943212:6615
    7Lech Poznan943217:16115
    8Zaglebie934220:13713
    9Radomiak Radom1033417:18-112
    10Motor Lublin925211:14-311
    11Rakow932410:13-311
    12Widzew Lodz1031613:13010
    13Pogon Szczecin1031614:19-510
    14Termalica B-B1023513:17-49
    15Arka Gdynia102355:14-99
    16GKS Katowice1022611:21-108
    17Piast Gliwice81437:9-27
    18Lechia Gdansk1032518:25-76

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1