Radomiak Radom vs Termalica Nieciecza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Radomiak Radom - Termalica Nieciecza
Result
1:1
22/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 6
  • Referee: Kos D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
ukraineUkraineSport 1, Sport 2
worldWorldSport 2 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.220.93
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
85% (402/474)75% (214/286)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.220.93
xG on target (xGOT)
0.421.24
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
610
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1918
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
85% (402/474)75% (214/286)
Long passes
50% (24/48)43% (29/68)
Passes in final third
70% (73/105)52% (42/81)
Crosses
9% (2/23)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.910.90
Throw-ins
2018
Fouls
1211
Tackles
67% (12/18)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4850
Clearances
2932
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.240.42
Goals prevented
0.24-0.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Jimenez J. ,
  • 6', 1 - 1, Maurides , Grzesik J. (A),
  • 37', Dieguez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Putivtsev A. 🟨,
  • 55', Mini , Trubeha A. ,
  • 55', Putivtsev A. , Masoero L. ,
  • 69', Zie Ouattara , Balde E. ,
  • 73', Hilbrycht D. , Boboc R. ,
  • 75', Lopes V. , Tapsoba A. ,
  • 75', Donis C. , Alves R. ,
  • 80', Jimenez J. , Jakubik W. ,
  • 80', Fassbender M. , Kurzawa R. ,
  • 84', Maurides , Depu ,
  • 84', Kaput M. , Camara I. ,
  • 85', Trubeha A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Radomiak Radom
43.8%
Draw
26.7%
Termalica Nieciecza
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.2% 24.7% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 24.9% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Radomiak Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Termalica Nieciecza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Radomiak Radom - Termalica Nieciecza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (1.92)
    3.54
    (3.75)
    3.22
    (3.4)
    5.9%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Radomiak Radom - Termalica Nieciecza?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Radomiak will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Termalica will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2%92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Radomiak (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Radomiak will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Radomiak: Capita (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Termalica: Zapolnik K. (Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Radomiak won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Radomiak Radom - Termalica Nieciecza were as follows:
    24.03.2023 Termalica Nieciecza - Radomiak Radom 0:2
    Latest results of Radomiak Radom
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock54108:2613
    2Gornik Zabrze640210:4612
    3Cracovia632111:8311
    4Jagiellonia430110:919
    5Radomiak Radom622211:928
    6Termalica B-B62229:728
    7Korona Kielce62227:618
    8Legia42115:237
    9Widzew Lodz62138:717
    10Lech Poznan42118:9-17
    11Pogon Szczecin62139:13-47
    12Rakow42026:7-16
    13Zaglebie41219:635
    14Motor Lublin51225:9-45
    15Arka Gdynia61234:8-45
    16GKS Katowice61147:13-64
    17Piast Gliwice40220:3-32
    18Lechia Gdansk612312:17-50

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1