Raków Częstochowa vs Termalica Nieciecza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
21/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 22
  • Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.700.93
Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
920
Shots on target
45
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
46
Passes
78% (319/410)70% (237/338)
Yellow cards
03
Expected goals (xG)
1.700.93
xG on target (xGOT)
0.500.56
Total shots
920
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
38
Blocked shots
27
Shots inside the box
810
Shots outside the box
110
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2229
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1510
Passes
78% (319/410)70% (237/338)
Long passes
41% (23/56)43% (26/61)
Passes in final third
68% (87/128)65% (75/116)
Crosses
30% (6/20)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.94
Throw ins
2227
Fouls
1015
Tackles
81% (13/16)75% (12/16)
Duels won
5454
Clearances
3727
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
30
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
53
xGOT faced
0.560.50
Goals prevented
0.56-0.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', Wolski M. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Lopez I. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Strzalek I. , Kurzawa R. ,
  • 46', Durdov I. , Zapolnik K. ,
  • 60', Kurzawa R. 🟨,
  • 61', Silva J. C. , Adriano ,
  • 61', Makuch P. , Diaby-Fadiga L. ,
  • 69', Putivtsev A. , Guerrero S. ,
  • 69', Lopez I. , Rocha L. ,
  • 77', Fassbender M. , Jimenez J. ,
  • 79', Kubica K. 🟨,
  • 81', Ameyaw M. , Ilenic M. ,
  • 81', Brunes J. , Pienko T. ,
  • 82', Boboc R. , Hilbrycht D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Raków Częstochowa
64.6%
Draw
20.8%
Termalica Nieciecza
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.2% 17.9% 12.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Termalica Nieciecza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Raków Częstochowa - Termalica Nieciecza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.29)
    4.52
    (5)
    6.34
    (6.9)
    6.3%
    (12%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa - Termalica Nieciecza?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Termalica will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Raków (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raków won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Termalica has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Raków is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Raków: Dawidowicz P. (Inactive) Kochergin V. (Knee Injury) Otieno E. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Repka O. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Raków: Arsenic Z. (Leg Injury) Lopez I. (Inactive)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Raków won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 2:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Raków won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Raków Częstochowa - Termalica Nieciecza were as follows:
    17.08.2025 Termalica Nieciecza - Raków Częstochowa 2:3
    Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
    Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jagiellonia21107437:241337
    2Zaglebie2298535:27835
    3Lech Poznan2298536:31535
    4Gornik Zabrze22104832:28434
    5Rakow22104828:25334
    6Wisla Plock2289524:18633
    7Cracovia2289527:22533
    8Korona Kielce2286827:24330
    9Radomiak Radom2177736:33328
    10Pogon Szczecin22841032:35-328
    11Lechia Gdansk2295844:43127
    12GKS Katowice21831028:31-327
    13Motor Lublin2269730:37-727
    14Piast Gliwice22751023:26-326
    15Arka Gdynia21741019:36-1725
    16Legia2259825:27-224
    17Widzew Lodz22731229:32-324
    18Termalica B-B22561126:39-1321

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
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          Relegation ~ Division 1