Result
1:0
21/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 22
- Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.93 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (319/410) | 70% (237/338) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (319/410) | 70% (237/338) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (23/56) | 43% (26/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (87/128) | 65% (75/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.94 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.56 | -0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', Wolski M. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 0, Lopez I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Strzalek I. ↓, Kurzawa R. ↑,
- 46', Durdov I. ↓, Zapolnik K. ↑,
- 60', Kurzawa R. 🟨,
- 61', Silva J. C. ↓, Adriano ↑,
- 61', Makuch P. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
- 69', Putivtsev A. ↓, Guerrero S. ↑,
- 69', Lopez I. ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
- 77', Fassbender M. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
- 79', Kubica K. 🟨,
- 81', Ameyaw M. ↓, Ilenic M. ↑,
- 81', Brunes J. ↓, Pienko T. ↑,
- 82', Boboc R. ↓, Hilbrycht D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Raków Częstochowa
64.6% | Draw
20.8% | Termalica Nieciecza
14.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Termalica Nieciecza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Raków Częstochowa - Termalica Nieciecza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↑
(1.29) |
4.52 ↓
(5) |
6.34 ↓
(6.9) |
6.3%
(12%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa - Termalica Nieciecza?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Termalica will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Raków Częstochowa will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raków won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Termalica has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Raków is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Raków: Dawidowicz P.
(Inactive)
Kochergin V.
(Knee Injury)
Otieno E.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Repka O.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Raków: Arsenic Z.
(Leg Injury)
Lopez I.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Raków won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Raków won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Termalica Nieciecza?
Raków Częstochowa has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Termalica Nieciecza won against Raków Częstochowa?
Termalica Nieciecza has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Raków Częstochowa - Termalica Nieciecza were as follows:
17.08.2025
Termalica Nieciecza
-
Raków Częstochowa
2:3
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 46:37 | 9 | 45 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 42 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39:32 | 7 | 42 |
| 4 | Zaglebie | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 41:33 | 8 | 41 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 28:26 | 2 | 39 |
| 6 | Rakow | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 36:34 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 36:35 | 1 | 39 |
| 8 | Motor Lublin | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Lechia Gdansk | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 55:50 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:33 | 2 | 36 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 36 |
| 12 | Piast Gliwice | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 34:36 | -2 | 35 |
| 13 | Radomiak Radom | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 43:41 | 2 | 34 |
| 14 | Pogon Szczecin | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 36:42 | -6 | 34 |
| 15 | Legia | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 32:31 | 1 | 33 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 28:45 | -17 | 33 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 32:35 | -3 | 30 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 33:50 | -17 | 25 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
