Raków Częstochowa vs Termalica Nieciecza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
21/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 22
  • Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.700.93
Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
920
Shots on target
45
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
46
Passes
78% (319/410)70% (237/338)
Yellow cards
03
Expected goals (xG)
1.700.93
xG on target (xGOT)
0.500.56
Total shots
920
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
38
Blocked shots
27
Shots inside the box
810
Shots outside the box
110
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2229
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1510
Passes
78% (319/410)70% (237/338)
Long passes
41% (23/56)43% (26/61)
Passes in final third
68% (87/128)65% (75/116)
Crosses
30% (6/20)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.94
Throw ins
2227
Fouls
1015
Tackles
81% (13/16)75% (12/16)
Duels won
5454
Clearances
3727
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
30
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
53
xGOT faced
0.560.50
Goals prevented
0.56-0.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', Wolski M. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Lopez I. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Strzalek I. , Kurzawa R. ,
  • 46', Durdov I. , Zapolnik K. ,
  • 60', Kurzawa R. 🟨,
  • 61', Silva J. C. , Adriano ,
  • 61', Makuch P. , Diaby-Fadiga L. ,
  • 69', Putivtsev A. , Guerrero S. ,
  • 69', Lopez I. , Rocha L. ,
  • 77', Fassbender M. , Jimenez J. ,
  • 79', Kubica K. 🟨,
  • 81', Ameyaw M. , Ilenic M. ,
  • 81', Brunes J. , Pienko T. ,
  • 82', Boboc R. , Hilbrycht D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Raków Częstochowa
64.6%
Draw
20.8%
Termalica Nieciecza
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.2% 17.9% 12.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Termalica Nieciecza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Raków Częstochowa - Termalica Nieciecza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.29)
    4.52
    (5)
    6.34
    (6.9)
    6.3%
    (12%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa - Termalica Nieciecza?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Termalica will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Raków (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raków won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Termalica has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Raków is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Raków: Dawidowicz P. (Inactive) Kochergin V. (Knee Injury) Otieno E. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Repka O. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Raków: Arsenic Z. (Leg Injury) Lopez I. (Inactive)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Raków won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 2:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Raków won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Raków Częstochowa - Termalica Nieciecza were as follows:
    17.08.2025 Termalica Nieciecza - Raków Częstochowa 2:3
    Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
    Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zaglebie25118640:291141
    2Jagiellonia25118642:321041
    3Lech Poznan25118642:36641
    4Gornik Zabrze25115936:32438
    5Rakow251141034:32237
    6Wisla Plock2599726:24236
    7GKS Katowice251131135:34136
    8Pogon Szczecin251041135:38-334
    9Motor Lublin25810734:38-434
    10Radomiak Radom2589841:37433
    11Cracovia2589830:28233
    12Korona Kielce25961030:29133
    13Piast Gliwice25951129:32-332
    14Lechia Gdansk25106949:47231
    15Arka Gdynia25861125:41-1630
    16Legia25611829:30-129
    17Widzew Lodz25841331:34-328
    18Termalica B-B25571329:44-1522

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1