Termalica Nieciecza vs Widzew Łódź – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/10/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza (Nieciecza).

Ekstraklasa - Round 11
Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.93	1.35
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
9	14
Shots on target
4	10
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
3	4
Passes
77% (289/377)	78% (260/333)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93	1.35
xG on target (xGOT)
0.57	2.34
Total shots
9	14
Shots on target
4	10
Shots off target
2	2
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
6	9
Shots outside the Box
3	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
3	4
Touches in opposition box
15	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
16	15
Passes
77% (289/377)	78% (260/333)
Long passes
53% (39/74)	48% (29/61)
Passes in final third
59% (75/127)	68% (66/97)
Crosses
45% (5/11)	6% (1/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.77	1.11
Throw-ins
27	13
Fouls
15	16
Tackles
67% (8/12)	75% (9/12)
Duels won
46	47
Clearances
22	35
Interceptions
5	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
6	2
xGOT faced
2.34	0.57
Goals prevented
-1.66	-1.43

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', Hanousek Mar. ↓, Shehu J. ↑,
20', 1 - 0, Guerrero S. ⚽,
27', Bergier S. 🟨,
29', 1 - 1, Bergier S. ⚽, Therkildsen P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
51', Trubeha A. ↓, Strzalek I. ↑,
52', Akere S. 🟨,
54', 1 - 2, Alvarez F. ⚽, Akere S. (A),
57', 1 - 3, Alvarez F. ⚽, Fornalczyk M. (A),
63', Bergier S. ↓, Zeqiri A. ↑,
63', Akere S. ↓, Baena Perez A. ↑,
65', Boboc R. ↓, Jakubik W. ↑,
65', Fassbender M. ↓, Kubica K. ↑,
67', 1 - 4, Alvarez F. ⚽,
79', Jimenez J. ↓, Putivtsev A. ↑,
79', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Deisadze D. ↑,
82', 2 - 4, Guerrero S. ⚽, Jakubik W. (A),
86', Czyz S. ↓, Selahi L. ↑,
86', Fornalczyk M. ↓, Ba P. M. ↑,
90+1', Putivtsev A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Termalica Nieciecza
16%

Draw
23.7%

Widzew Łódź
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

26.1%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

24.7%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Termalica Nieciecza's form might have worsened.

Widzew Łódź has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Widzew Łódź's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+20.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Termalica Nieciecza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (-22.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Widzew Łódź, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Termalica Nieciecza - Widzew Łódź Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	9 ↑ (2.7)	5.78 ↑ (3.55)	2.13 ↓ (2.34)	-24.5% (7.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Termalica Nieciecza - Widzew Łódź?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Widzew (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Widzew (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Widzew (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Termalica is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Widzew has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Termalica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Termalica Nieciecza won against Widzew Łódź?

Termalica Nieciecza has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Widzew Łódź won against Termalica Nieciecza?

Widzew Łódź has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Termalica Nieciecza - Widzew Łódź were as follows:

24.09.2025 Termalica Nieciecza - Widzew Łódź 2:3

Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza

27.09.2025 Piast Gliwice - Termalica Nieciecza 4:2 ✺

24.09.2025 Termalica Nieciecza - Widzew Łódź 2:3 ✺

20.09.2025 Termalica Nieciecza - Lech Poznań 0:2 ✺

14.09.2025 Motor Lublin - Termalica Nieciecza 1:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Termalica Nieciecza - Korona Kielce 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Widzew Łódź

28.09.2025 Widzew Łódź - Raków Częstochowa 0:1 ✺

24.09.2025 Termalica Nieciecza - Widzew Łódź 2:3 ✺

21.09.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Widzew Łódź 3:2 ✺

14.09.2025 Widzew Łódź - Arka Gdynia 2:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Widzew Łódź 2:1 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Jagiellonia	22	10	8	4	39:26	13	38
2	Zaglebie	23	10	8	5	37:27	10	38
3	Lech Poznan	23	10	8	5	40:34	6	38
4	Gornik Zabrze	23	10	4	9	33:31	2	34
5	Rakow	23	10	4	9	31:29	2	34
6	Cracovia	23	8	9	6	29:25	4	33
7	Wisla Plock	23	8	9	6	24:20	4	33
8	Pogon Szczecin	23	9	4	10	33:35	-2	31
9	Korona Kielce	23	8	6	9	27:26	1	30
10	GKS Katowice	22	9	3	10	31:32	-1	30
11	Motor Lublin	23	7	9	7	32:37	-5	30
12	Radomiak Radom	22	7	8	7	37:34	3	29
13	Piast Gliwice	23	8	5	10	26:28	-2	29
14	Lechia Gdansk	23	9	6	8	46:45	1	28
15	Arka Gdynia	22	7	5	10	21:38	-17	26
16	Legia	23	5	10	8	27:29	-2	25
17	Widzew Lodz	23	7	3	13	29:33	-4	24
18	Termalica B-B	23	5	7	11	27:40	-13	22

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1