Termalica Nieciecza vs Widzew Łódź – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Termalica Nieciecza - Widzew Łódź
Result
2:4
04/10/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 11
  • Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 6
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.931.35
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
410
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
77% (289/377)78% (260/333)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.931.35
xG on target (xGOT)
0.572.34
Total shots
914
Shots on target
410
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1519
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1615
Passes
77% (289/377)78% (260/333)
Long passes
53% (39/74)48% (29/61)
Passes in final third
59% (75/127)68% (66/97)
Crosses
45% (5/11)6% (1/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.771.11
Throw-ins
2713
Fouls
1516
Tackles
67% (8/12)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4647
Clearances
2235
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
2.340.57
Goals prevented
-1.66-1.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 14', Hanousek Mar. , Shehu J. ,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Guerrero S. ,
  • 27', Bergier S. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 1, Bergier S. , Therkildsen P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 51', Trubeha A. , Strzalek I. ,
  • 52', Akere S. 🟨,
  • 54', 1 - 2, Alvarez F. , Akere S. (A),
  • 57', 1 - 3, Alvarez F. , Fornalczyk M. (A),
  • 63', Bergier S. , Zeqiri A. ,
  • 63', Akere S. , Baena Perez A. ,
  • 65', Boboc R. , Jakubik W. ,
  • 65', Fassbender M. , Kubica K. ,
  • 67', 1 - 4, Alvarez F. ,
  • 79', Jimenez J. , Putivtsev A. ,
  • 79', Hilbrycht D. , Deisadze D. ,
  • 82', 2 - 4, Guerrero S. , Jakubik W. (A),
  • 86', Czyz S. , Selahi L. ,
  • 86', Fornalczyk M. , Ba P. M. ,
  • 90+1', Putivtsev A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Termalica Nieciecza
16%
Draw
23.7%
Widzew Łódź
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.3% 26.1% 39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 24.7% 37.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Termalica Nieciecza's form might have worsened.
  • Widzew Łódź has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Widzew Łódź's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+20.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Termalica Nieciecza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (-22.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Widzew Łódź, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Termalica Nieciecza - Widzew Łódź Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    9
    (2.7)
    5.78
    (3.55)
    2.13
    (2.34)
    -24.5%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Termalica Nieciecza - Widzew Łódź?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Widzew (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Termalica is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Widzew has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Termalica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Termalica Nieciecza - Widzew Łódź were as follows:
    24.09.2025 Termalica Nieciecza - Widzew Łódź 2:3
    Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
    Latest results of Widzew Łódź
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jagiellonia1173123:131024
    2Gornik Zabrze1272319:10923
    3Cracovia1163220:12821
    4Wisla Plock1163215:8721
    5Korona Kielce1254316:11519
    6Lech Poznan1154220:18219
    7Zaglebie1245325:18717
    8Widzew Lodz1351720:20016
    9Legia1143414:12215
    10Radomiak Radom1243522:22015
    11Rakow1142512:15-314
    12Pogon Szczecin1242618:22-414
    13Motor Lublin1235416:21-514
    14Arka Gdynia123367:19-1212
    15GKS Katowice1232716:24-811
    16Lechia Gdansk1243521:27-610
    17Termalica B-B1324717:25-810
    18Piast Gliwice101459:13-47

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1