Result
2:4
04/10/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 11
- Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (289/377) | 78% (260/333) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 2.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (289/377) | 78% (260/333) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (39/74) | 48% (29/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (75/127) | 68% (66/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 6% (1/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.34 | 0.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.66 | -1.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', Hanousek Mar. ↓, Shehu J. ↑,
- 20', 1 - 0, Guerrero S. ⚽,
- 27', Bergier S. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 1, Bergier S. ⚽, Therkildsen P. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 51', Trubeha A. ↓, Strzalek I. ↑,
- 52', Akere S. 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 2, Alvarez F. ⚽, Akere S. (A),
- 57', 1 - 3, Alvarez F. ⚽, Fornalczyk M. (A),
- 63', Bergier S. ↓, Zeqiri A. ↑,
- 63', Akere S. ↓, Baena Perez A. ↑,
- 65', Boboc R. ↓, Jakubik W. ↑,
- 65', Fassbender M. ↓, Kubica K. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 4, Alvarez F. ⚽,
- 79', Jimenez J. ↓, Putivtsev A. ↑,
- 79', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Deisadze D. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 4, Guerrero S. ⚽, Jakubik W. (A),
- 86', Czyz S. ↓, Selahi L. ↑,
- 86', Fornalczyk M. ↓, Ba P. M. ↑,
- 90+1', Putivtsev A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Termalica Nieciecza 16% | Draw 23.7% | Widzew Łódź 60.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Termalica Nieciecza's form might have worsened.Widzew Łódź has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Widzew Łódź's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+20.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Termalica Nieciecza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (-22.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Widzew Łódź, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Termalica Nieciecza - Widzew Łódź Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
9 ↑ (2.7) |
5.78 ↑ (3.55) |
2.13 ↓ (2.34) |
-24.5% (7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Termalica Nieciecza - Widzew Łódź?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Widzew (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Termalica is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Widzew has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Termalica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Termalica Nieciecza won against Widzew Łódź?
Termalica Nieciecza has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Widzew Łódź won against Termalica Nieciecza?
Widzew Łódź has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Termalica Nieciecza - Widzew Łódź were as follows:
24.09.2025
Termalica Nieciecza
-
Widzew Łódź
2:3
Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
Latest results of Widzew Łódź
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Cracovia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Wisla Plock | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Korona Kielce | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 25:18 | 7 | 17 |
| 8 | Widzew Lodz | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Legia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Rakow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 14 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16:21 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Arka Gdynia | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7:19 | -12 | 12 |
| 15 | GKS Katowice | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 11 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:27 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Termalica B-B | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 10 |
| 18 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1