Result
1:2
14/03/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Championship Group - Round 28
- Referee: Jones A. (Wal)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', 1 - 0, Venables C. ⚽,
- 23', Redmond D. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 1, Brobbel R. ⚽,
- 44', Daley N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', McGahey H. 🟨,
- 66', Barton D. ↓, Marshall J. ↑,
- 80', Redmond D. ↓, Wilson B. ↑,
- 86', 🟨,
- 88', Daley N. ↓, Phillips I. ↑,
- 90+1', Wood N. ↓, Warlow O. ↑,
- 90+1', Owen K. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 2, Williams J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Pen-y-Bont
13% | Draw
19.6% | The New Saints
67.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pen-y-Bont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)The New Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for The New Saints than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Pen-y-Bont - The New Saints Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.08 ↓
(7.23) |
4.71 ↓
(4.83) |
1.37 ↑
(1.35) |
8.3%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pen-y-Bont - The New Saints?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Pen-y-Bont will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). TNS will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- TNS is Qualified for Champions League (Qualification )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pen-y-Bont won 1.
- Pen-y-Bont has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- TNS is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- TNS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, TNS is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pen-y-Bont won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 20:53. (average 1:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pen-y-Bont won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:23. (average 0.9:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Pen-y-Bont won against The New Saints?
Pen-y-Bont has won 2 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has The New Saints won against Pen-y-Bont?
The New Saints has won 9 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pen-y-Bont - The New Saints were as follows:
07.02.2026
The New Saints
-
Pen-y-Bont
6:0
11.10.2025
The New Saints
-
Pen-y-Bont
6:2
16.08.2025
Pen-y-Bont
-
The New Saints
0:2
29.03.2025
Pen-y-Bont
-
The New Saints
1:0
08.02.2025
The New Saints
-
Pen-y-Bont
4:0
Latest results of Pen-y-Bont
Latest results of The New Saints
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS ✔ | 28 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 74:22 | 52 | 71 |
| 2 | Connahs Q. ✔ | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 56:33 | 23 | 53 |
| 3 | Colwyn Bay | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:34 | 4 | 40 |
| 4 | Penybont | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:43 | -5 | 40 |
| 5 | Caernarfon | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 51:41 | 10 | 39 |
| 6 | Barry | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 38:30 | 8 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
TNS is Qualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Connahs Q. is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
