Result
2:3
17/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Kazakhstan | Qazsport, Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 14', 0 - 1, El Messaoudi A. ⚽, Henrique (A),
- 32', 0 - 2, El Messaoudi A. ⚽,
- 40', 0 - 3, Tagybergen A. ⚽,
- 45', Chesnokov I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Tursynbay S. ↓, Alan Dias ↑,
- 46', Khalmatov M. ↓, Naumets V. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 3, Everton ⚽, Imnadze L. (A),
- 58', Zhaksybaev U. 🟨,
- 62', Henrique ↓, Victor Braga ↑,
- 64', Vakulko Y. 🟨,
- 66', Maliy S. 🟨,
- 68', Imnadze L. ↓, Zhumabek A. ↑,
- 73', Alan Dias 🟨,
- 77', Vakulko Y. ↓, Canadjija D. ↑,
- 78', Tagybergen A. 🟨,
- 82', 2 - 3, Astanov E. (Pen),
- 84', El Messaoudi A. ↓, Zuev A. ↑,
- 87', Canadjija D. 🟨,
- 90', Zhaksybaev U. ↓, Amir Z. ↑,
- 90+2', Amir Z. 🟨,
- 90+6', Victor Braga 🟨,
- 90+6', Chesnokov I. ↓, Galym B. ↑,
- 90+6', Tagybergen A. ↓, Mosiashvili T. ↑,
- 90+8', Busurmanov S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ordabasy
34.9% | Draw
30.4% | Tobol Kostanay
34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ordabasy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ordabasy's performance.Tobol Kostanay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tobol Kostanay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ordabasy than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ordabasy that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tobol Kostanay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ordabasy - Tobol Kostanay Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↓
(3.22) |
3.04 ↓
(3.22) |
2.66 ↑
(2.26) |
8.3%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ordabasy - Tobol Kostanay?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tobol (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ordabasy won 1.
- Recent performances by Ordabasy have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tobol is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ordabasy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ordabasy won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ordabasy won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ordabasy won against Tobol Kostanay?
Ordabasy has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tobol Kostanay won against Ordabasy?
Tobol Kostanay has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ordabasy - Tobol Kostanay were as follows:
18.05.2025
Tobol Kostanay
-
Ordabasy
Postponed
19.10.2024
Tobol Kostanay
-
Ordabasy
1:0
12.05.2024
Ordabasy
-
Tobol Kostanay
1:0
25.02.2024
Ordabasy
-
Tobol Kostanay
1:2
04.11.2023
Ordabasy
-
Tobol Kostanay
0:1
Latest results of Ordabasy
Latest results of Tobol Kostanay
Kazakh Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Astana | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 45:16 | 29 | 43 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 41:17 | 24 | 43 |
| 3 | Tobol | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 35:18 | 17 | 41 |
| 4 | Aktobe | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 29:17 | 12 | 36 |
| 5 | Yelimay Semey | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 31:22 | 9 | 35 |
| 6 | Okzhetpes | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 30:27 | 3 | 32 |
| 7 | Zhenis | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 23:17 | 6 | 28 |
| 8 | Ordabasy | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24:19 | 5 | 28 |
| 9 | Kyzylzhar | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 21:27 | -6 | 21 |
| 10 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 15:31 | -16 | 20 |
| 11 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 19:32 | -13 | 18 |
| 12 | Turan | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15:39 | -24 | 15 |
| 13 | Ulytau | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 11:30 | -19 | 14 |
| 14 | Atyrau | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 13:40 | -27 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
