Result
0:2
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Kazakhstan Cup - Final
- Referee: Wolfensberger S. (Sui)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 10', Cavnic N. ↓, Victor Braga ↑,
- 19', 0 - 1, Signevich N. ⚽, Tagybergen A. (A),
- 33', 0 - 2, Chesnokov I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', Imnadze L. 🟨,
- 54', Capatina M. ↓, Maliy S. ↑,
- 55', Joao Paulino ↓, Canadjija D. ↑,
- 55', Khvalko E. ↓, Zhumashev Z. ↑,
- 80', Imnadze L. ↓, Naumets V. ↑,
- 83', Everton ↓, Sultaniyazov Z. ↑,
- 86', Tagybergen A. ↓, Zuev A. ↑,
- 86', El Messaoudi A. ↓, Mosiashvili T. ↑,
- 90+1', Astanov E. 🟨,
- 90+1', Mosiashvili T. 🟨,
- 90+4', Vakulko Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ordabasy
15.6% | Draw
24.1% | Tobol Kostanay
60.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ordabasy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Tobol Kostanay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tobol Kostanay's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ordabasy than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (-11.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tobol Kostanay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ordabasy - Tobol Kostanay Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.14 ↑
(4.51) |
4.63 ↑
(2.9) |
1.85 ↓
(1.97) |
-10.2%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Neutral location - Kaysar Arena.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ordabasy won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Tobol is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ordabasy won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ordabasy won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ordabasy won against Tobol Kostanay?
Ordabasy has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tobol Kostanay won against Ordabasy?
Tobol Kostanay has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ordabasy - Tobol Kostanay were as follows:
24.09.2025
Tobol Kostanay
-
Ordabasy
1:0
17.08.2025
Ordabasy
-
Tobol Kostanay
2:3
19.10.2024
Tobol Kostanay
-
Ordabasy
1:0
12.05.2024
Ordabasy
-
Tobol Kostanay
1:0
25.02.2024
Ordabasy
-
Tobol Kostanay
1:2
Latest results of Ordabasy
Latest results of Tobol Kostanay
Draw
Main1/8-finals| 1 | Kyzylzhar | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Ulytau | Yelimay Semey | 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Ordabasy | Khan Tengri | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Kairat Almaty | Kaspij Aktau | 3 : 0 |
| 5 | Turan | Atyrau | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Tobol | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Zhenis | Aktobe | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Okzhetpes | FC Astana | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Kyzylzhar | Yelimay Semey | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Ordabasy | Kairat Almaty | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Turan | Tobol | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Zhenis | FC Astana | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Kyzylzhar | Ordabasy | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Tobol | Zhenis | 1 : 1, 2 : 1 |
Final
