Result
4:2
20/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (190/306) | 68% (256/379) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.50 | 2.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (190/306) | 68% (256/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (25/83) | 23% (15/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 42% (38/91) | 52% (76/145) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 12% (3/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 71 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.54 | 3.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.54 | -0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 8', 1 - 0, Someno I. ⚽, Morita K. (A),
- 37', 1 - 1, Esaka A. ⚽, Kato H. (A),
- 45+2', Suzuki Y. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 2, Ichimi K. ⚽, Tabei R. (A),
- 45+4', 2 - 2, Hirao H. ⚽, Morita K. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Ichimi K. ↓, Lucao ↑,
- 46', Arai Y. ↓, Fukuda Y. ↑,
- 63', Esaka A. ↓, Iwabuchi H. ↑,
- 63', Yanagi T. ↓, Matsumoto M. ↑,
- 69', 3 - 2, Fukuda Y. ⚽,
- 73', Kato H. ↓, Werik Popo ↑,
- 74', Someno I. ↓, Teranuma S. ↑,
- 74', Matsuhashi Y. ↓, Uchida Y. ↑,
- 76', Hirao H. ↓, Toyama S. ↑,
- 81', Kamiya Yuta ↓, Motoyama H. ↑,
- 81', Morita K. ↓, Inami T. ↑,
- 88', 4 - 2, Taniguchi H. ⚽, Fukuda Y. (A),
Chances of winning
Tokyo Verdy
46.4% | Draw
32.2% | Fagiano Okayama
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Tokyo Verdy - Fagiano Okayama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↓
(2.4) |
3.12 ↑
(3.05) |
4.77 ↑
(3.3) |
0.4%
(4.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy - Fagiano Okayama?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Okayama will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo Verdy: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 3.
- Tokyo Verdy has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Okayama has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Tokyo Verdy is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Hirakawa R.
(Yellow Cards)
Yamada G.
(Knee Injury)
Yamami H.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Okayama: Sato R.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo Verdy won against Fagiano Okayama?
Tokyo Verdy has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Tokyo Verdy?
Fagiano Okayama has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Verdy - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
29.04.2025
Fagiano Okayama
-
Tokyo Verdy
0:1
26.08.2023
Tokyo Verdy
-
Fagiano Okayama
2:3
11.06.2023
Fagiano Okayama
-
Tokyo Verdy
1:2
23.10.2022
Tokyo Verdy
-
Fagiano Okayama
2:0
Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 36 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 55:30 | 25 | 70 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 56:33 | 23 | 69 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 59:40 | 19 | 62 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 42:26 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 45:30 | 15 | 62 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 66:51 | 15 | 57 |
| 7 | Machida | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 49:36 | 13 | 57 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 53 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 48:52 | -4 | 53 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 54:50 | 4 | 49 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 40:47 | -7 | 48 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 33:37 | -4 | 45 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 44 |
| 14 | Verdy | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 43 |
| 15 | Okayama | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 42 |
| 16 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 42:44 | -2 | 40 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 42:53 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 24:43 | -19 | 32 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 34:61 | -27 | 29 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata ✔ | 36 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 34:63 | -29 | 23 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League
