Result
0:0
05/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (373/465) | 79% (343/435) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (373/465) | 79% (343/435) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (36/71) | 21% (11/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (68/122) | 72% (96/133) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Tsunashima Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Nagai K. ↓, Mateus ↑,
- 57', Morishima T. ↓, Nakayama K. ↑,
- 71', Arai Y. ↓, Someno I. ↑,
- 71', Morita K. ↓, Matsuhashi Y. ↑,
- 81', Mateus ↓, Junker K. ↑,
- 81', Saito K. ↓, Meshino S. ↑,
- 81', Izumi R. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
- 85', Fukuda Y. ↓, Kawasaki S. ↑,
- 88', Nakayama K. ↓, Mori S. ↑,
- 90+3', Fukazawa D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nagoya Grampus
41.8% | Draw
31.9% | Tokyo Verdy
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo Verdy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(2.17) |
2.96 ↓
(3.05) |
3.6 ↓
(3.92) |
6.4%
(4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo Verdy?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nagoya (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 15).
- Nagoya is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tokyo Verdy's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Nagoya could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Yamada G.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Tokyo Verdy: Fukuda Y.
(Injury)
Sako M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Tokyo Verdy?
Nagoya Grampus has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo Verdy won against Nagoya Grampus?
Tokyo Verdy has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo Verdy were as follows:
15.03.2025
Tokyo Verdy
-
Nagoya Grampus
2:1
11.08.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Tokyo Verdy
1:0
22.06.2024
Tokyo Verdy
-
Nagoya Grampus
1:0
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
| 4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
| 10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
| 11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
| 14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
| 17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
