Nagoya Grampus vs Tokyo Verdy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo Verdy
Result
0:0
05/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.460.63
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
78
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
80% (373/465)79% (343/435)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.460.63
xG on target (xGOT)
0.070.62
Total shots
78
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
158
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
167
Passes
80% (373/465)79% (343/435)
Long passes
51% (36/71)21% (11/53)
Passes in final third
56% (68/122)72% (96/133)
Crosses
19% (3/16)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.640.68
Throw-ins
2411
Fouls
716
Tackles
50% (4/8)69% (11/16)
Duels won
4943
Clearances
1725
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.620.07
Goals prevented
0.620.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Tsunashima Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Nagai K. , Mateus ,
  • 57', Morishima T. , Nakayama K. ,
  • 71', Arai Y. , Someno I. ,
  • 71', Morita K. , Matsuhashi Y. ,
  • 81', Mateus , Junker K. ,
  • 81', Saito K. , Meshino S. ,
  • 81', Izumi R. , Kikuchi T. ,
  • 85', Fukuda Y. , Kawasaki S. ,
  • 88', Nakayama K. , Mori S. ,
  • 90+3', Fukazawa D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nagoya Grampus
41.8%
Draw
31.9%
Tokyo Verdy
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 31.4% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 31.8% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo Verdy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.17)
    2.96
    (3.05)
    3.6
    (3.92)
    6.4%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo Verdy?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nagoya (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 15).
    • Nagoya is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tokyo Verdy's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Nagoya could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Yamada G. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tokyo Verdy: Fukuda Y. (Injury) Sako M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo Verdy were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Nagoya Grampus 2:1
    11.08.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo Verdy 1:0
    22.06.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Nagoya Grampus 1:0
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds23107632:24837
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2387821:23-231
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare24661220:37-1724
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

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