Toluca vs Columbus Crew – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football CONCACAF League Cup Toluca - Columbus Crew
Result
2:2
29/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Leagues Cup - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldApple TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.672.26
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
218
Shots on target
93
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
84% (363/432)78% (262/337)
Yellow Cards
62
Expected Goals (xG)
2.672.26
xG on target (xGOT)
2.532.04
Total shots
218
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2520
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1118
Passes
84% (363/432)78% (262/337)
Long passes
62% (37/60)33% (12/36)
Passes in final third
66% (70/106)69% (72/105)
Crosses
45% (9/20)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.471.14
Throw-ins
1810
Fouls
1811
Tackles
85% (11/13)67% (14/21)
Duels won
4855
Clearances
1818
Interceptions
512
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
2.042.53
Goals prevented
0.040.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Rossi D. (Pen),
  • 16', Gallardo J. 🟨,
  • 37', Angulo J. 🟨,
  • 43', Zawadzki S. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Russell-Rowe J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Barbosa D. , Castro H. ,
  • 48', 0 - 2, Arfsten M. , Russell-Rowe J. (A),
  • 63', Ruiz M. 🟨,
  • 63', Vega A. 🟨,
  • 71', 1 - 2, Paulinho ,
  • 76', Gazdag D. , Habroune T. ,
  • 76', Russell-Rowe J. , Lappalainen L. ,
  • 79', Chambost D. , Sejdic A. ,
  • 80', 2 - 2, Paulinho , Vega A. (A),
  • 87', Pereira F. 🟨,
  • 88', Rossi D. (Pen),
  • 89', Arfsten M. , Amundsen M. ,
  • 89', Angulo J. , Dominguez Chonteco J. P. ,
  • 90', Cheberko Y. , Herrera A. ,
  • 90', Romero F. , Castro N. ,
  • 90', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toluca
36.3%
Draw
25%
Columbus Crew
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.9% 25.8% 39.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Columbus Crew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Toluca - Columbus Crew Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (2.69)
    3.73
    (3.64)
    2.42
    (2.38)
    7%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Toluca - Columbus Crew?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Toluca will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Columbus will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Columbus has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Columbus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Toluca
    26.07.2025 Toluca - Tigres UANL 3:4
    20.07.2025 Club América - Toluca 1:3
    16.07.2025 Santos Laguna - Toluca 2:4
    12.07.2025 Toluca - Necaxa 3:1
    25.05.2025 Toluca - Club América 2:0
    Latest results of Columbus Crew
    CONCACAF League Cup Table
    2025

    Liga MX
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Tigres UANL220006:26
    2Mazatlan FC211003:15
    3Toluca211004:35
    4UNAM Pumas211004:35
    5Necaxa210105:34
    6Pachuca210104:34
    7Juarez110004:13
    8Puebla210014:33
    9Club America201105:53
    10Atl. San Luis201012:62
    11Club Leon200111:31
    12Santos Laguna100011:20
    13Monterrey100012:30
    14Guadalajara Chivas100010:10
    15Atlas200022:50
    16Club Tijuana100012:50
    17Queretaro200021:50
    18Cruz Azul100010:70


    MLS
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Portland Timbers220005:06
    2Inter Miami211004:35
    3Minnesota United210107:44
    4Columbus Crew210105:34
    5Orlando City210104:24
    6Seattle Sounders110007:03
    7Los Angeles Galaxy110005:23
    8New York Red Bulls110001:03
    9Colorado Rapids110002:13
    10FC Cincinnati110003:23
    11Real Salt Lake201104:43
    12Los Angeles FC201102:23
    13New York City210012:33
    14CF Montreal201012:32
    15San Diego FC200023:50
    16Atlanta Utd200023:60
    17Charlotte100011:40
    18Houston Dynamo200021:60

          Promotion ~ Leagues Cup (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)