Result
26/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Toluca
60.1% | Draw
20.8% | Pachuca
19.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Toluca - Pachuca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56
(1.56) |
4.5 ↑
(4.4) |
4.9 ↑
(4.8) |
6.9%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 4.
- Toluca is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Pachuca has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Toluca is the team to beat.
- We predict that Toluca will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:35. (average 1.9:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 2.1:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Pachuca?
Toluca has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pachuca won against Toluca?
Pachuca has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Pachuca were as follows:
29.03.2025
Toluca
-
Pachuca
3:2
17.09.2024
Pachuca
-
Toluca
2:2
30.03.2024
Pachuca
-
Toluca
2:3
03.09.2023
Toluca
-
Pachuca
5:0
19.02.2023
Pachuca
-
Toluca
1:2
Latest results of Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 39:16 | 23 | 31 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24:16 | 8 | 28 |
| 3 | Club America | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 27:13 | 14 | 27 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:20 | 6 | 27 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 27:13 | 14 | 26 |
| 6 | Pachuca | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26:17 | 9 | 20 |
| 8 | Guadalajara Chivas | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 20 |
| 9 | Juarez | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 19 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 | Atl. San Luis | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 19:20 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Santos Laguna | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 | Atlas | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 21:29 | -8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Leon | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:24 | -12 | 12 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15:23 | -8 | 11 |
| 16 | Queretaro | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14:25 | -11 | 11 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14:26 | -12 | 9 |
| 18 | Puebla | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:32 | -18 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
