UNAM vs Toluca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
06/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 10
  • Referee: Perez Comellas M. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, ViX Gratis, VIX+
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
76
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
64
Corner Kicks
54
Goalkeeper Saves
46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 30', 0 - 1, Chavero P. (Own goal),
  • 38', Torres C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 0 - 2, Le Sommer E. ,
  • 54', Henry A. 🟨,
  • 56', Flores S. , Herrera L. ,
  • 56', Rios X. , Gonzalez M. ,
  • 56', Bolanos N. , Hix A. ,
  • 63', Valadez N. , van de Sanden S. ,
  • 63', Erceg A. , Ramirez M. ,
  • 72', Guerrero A. , Acosta F. ,
  • 77', 1 - 2, Ribeiro S. ,
  • 77', Martinez K. , Guatemala D. ,
  • 83', Peraza C. , Munoz I. ,
  • 86', Munoz I. 🟥,
  • 90+7', 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Chances of winning


UNAM
41.8%
Draw
26.6%
Toluca
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 28.5% 33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 28.2% 32.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • UNAM - Toluca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.38)
    3.66
    (3.2)
    3.08
    (2.75)
    2.8%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for UNAM - Toluca?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 3.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • UNAM might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:14. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between UNAM - Toluca were as follows:
    31.01.2025 UNAM - Toluca 3:0
    19.07.2024 Toluca - UNAM 1:2
    17.01.2024 Toluca - UNAM 2:2
    16.09.2023 UNAM - Toluca 5:1
    06.03.2023 Toluca - UNAM 0:0
    Latest results of UNAM
    01.09.2025 Santos Laguna - UNAM 3:5
    25.08.2025 UNAM - Tijuana 1:0
    17.08.2025 UNAM - Club America 2:3
    09.08.2025 Puebla - UNAM 1:2
    04.08.2025 UNAM - Cruz Azul 3:1
    Latest results of Toluca
    31.08.2025 Toluca - Querétaro 2:0
    26.08.2025 Cruz Azul - Toluca 4:3
    17.08.2025 Juárez - Toluca 0:0
    09.08.2025 Toluca - Club León 1:0
    Mexican Liga MX Women Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Monterrey W1082029:42526
    2Pachuca W1072132:42823
    3Guadalajara Chivas W971117:51222
    4Toluca W1071222:111122
    5Club America W963023:51821
    6Tigres UANL W1063122:91321
    7UNAM Pumas W1052314:14017
    8Cruz Azul W1043321:15615
    9Club Tijuana W1043317:16115
    10Juarez W1043312:13-115
    11Mazatlan FC W1043314:16-215
    12Club Leon W1033416:16012
    13Puebla W102086:31-256
    14Santos Laguna W101277:16-95
    15Atlas W1012716:26-105
    16Atl. San Luis W101279:25-165
    17Necaxa W101094:35-313
    18Queretaro W100198:28-201

          Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)