UNAM vs Toluca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Women UNAM - Toluca
Result
1:2
06/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 10
  • Referee: Perez Comellas M. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, ViX Gratis, VIX+
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
76
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
64
Corner Kicks
54
Goalkeeper Saves
46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 30', 0 - 1, Chavero P. (Own goal),
  • 38', Torres C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 0 - 2, Le Sommer E. ,
  • 54', Henry A. 🟨,
  • 56', Flores S. , Herrera L. ,
  • 56', Rios X. , Gonzalez M. ,
  • 56', Bolanos N. , Hix A. ,
  • 63', Valadez N. , van de Sanden S. ,
  • 63', Erceg A. , Ramirez M. ,
  • 72', Guerrero A. , Acosta F. ,
  • 77', 1 - 2, Ribeiro S. ,
  • 77', Martinez K. , Guatemala D. ,
  • 83', Peraza C. , Munoz I. ,
  • 86', Munoz I. 🟥,
  • 90+7', 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Chances of winning


UNAM
41.8%
Draw
26.6%
Toluca
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 28.5% 33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 28.2% 32.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • UNAM - Toluca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.38)
    3.66
    (3.2)
    3.08
    (2.75)
    2.8%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for UNAM - Toluca?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 3.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • UNAM might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:14. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between UNAM - Toluca were as follows:
    31.01.2025 UNAM - Toluca 3:0
    19.07.2024 Toluca - UNAM 1:2
    17.01.2024 Toluca - UNAM 2:2
    16.09.2023 UNAM - Toluca 5:1
    06.03.2023 Toluca - UNAM 0:0
    Latest results of UNAM
    01.09.2025 Santos Laguna - UNAM 3:5
    25.08.2025 UNAM - Tijuana 1:0
    17.08.2025 UNAM - Club America 2:3
    13.08.2025 Mazatlan - UNAM Postponed
    09.08.2025 Puebla - UNAM 1:2
    Latest results of Toluca
    31.08.2025 Toluca - Querétaro 2:0
    26.08.2025 Cruz Azul - Toluca 4:3
    17.08.2025 Juárez - Toluca 0:0
    09.08.2025 Toluca - Club León 1:0
    Mexican Liga MX Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tigres UANL W1191139:73228
    2Pachuca W1182138:142426
    3Club America W1181238:132525
    4Toluca W1172217:10723
    5Monterrey W1162323:17620
    6Guadalajara Chivas W1162316:11520
    7UNAM Pumas W1061321:16519
    8Juarez W1153316:10618
    9Club Leon W1153318:14418
    10Atl. San Luis W1152416:13317
    11Atlas W1143416:19-315
    12Cruz Azul W1142523:18514
    13Club Tijuana W1123610:16-69
    14Necaxa W112278:25-178
    15Santos Laguna W1112814:27-135
    16Puebla W111285:29-245
    17Queretaro W1104710:39-294
    18Mazatlan FC W100196:36-301

          Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)