Result
1:2
06/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 10
- Referee: Perez Comellas M. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, ViX Gratis, VIX+ |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', 0 - 1, Chavero P. (Own goal),
- 38', Torres C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', 0 - 2, Le Sommer E. ⚽,
- 54', Henry A. 🟨,
- 56', Flores S. ↓, Herrera L. ↑,
- 56', Rios X. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
- 56', Bolanos N. ↓, Hix A. ↑,
- 63', Valadez N. ↓, van de Sanden S. ↑,
- 63', Erceg A. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
- 72', Guerrero A. ↓, Acosta F. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 2, Ribeiro S. ⚽,
- 77', Martinez K. ↓, Guatemala D. ↑,
- 83', Peraza C. ↓, Munoz I. ↑,
- 86', Munoz I. 🟥,
- 90+7', 🟨,
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
UNAM
41.8% | Draw
26.6% | Toluca
31.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
UNAM - Toluca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↑
(2.38) |
3.7 ↑
(3.2) |
3.06 ↑
(2.75) |
1.6%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for UNAM - Toluca?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 3.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- UNAM might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:14. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Toluca?
UNAM has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against UNAM?
Toluca has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UNAM - Toluca were as follows:
31.01.2025
UNAM
-
Toluca
3:0
19.07.2024
Toluca
-
UNAM
1:2
17.01.2024
Toluca
-
UNAM
2:2
16.09.2023
UNAM
-
Toluca
5:1
06.03.2023
Toluca
-
UNAM
0:0
Mexican Liga MX Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tigres UANL W ✔ | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 53:8 | 45 | 38 |
| 2 | Pachuca W ✔ | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 52:18 | 34 | 36 |
| 3 | Club America W ✔ | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 48:19 | 29 | 32 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | Toluca W | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 28:15 | 13 | 28 |
| 6 | Monterrey W | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 33:22 | 11 | 26 |
| 7 | Club Leon W | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 29:30 | -1 | 24 |
| 8 | UNAM Pumas W | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 30:24 | 6 | 22 |
| 9 | Cruz Azul W | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32:23 | 9 | 21 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis W | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 21 |
| 11 | Juarez W | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 12 | Atlas W | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21:25 | -4 | 19 |
| 13 | Club Tijuana W | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:26 | -10 | 12 |
| 14 | Queretaro W | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13:42 | -29 | 10 |
| 15 | Santos Laguna W | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15:32 | -17 | 9 |
| 16 | Necaxa W | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8:32 | -24 | 8 |
| 17 | Puebla W | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5:36 | -31 | 5 |
| 18 | Mazatlan FC W | 14 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7:48 | -41 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tigres UANL W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Pachuca W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
