Result
2:0
01/02/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 20
- Referee: Vieira B. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Reko ↓, Skuka X. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 63', 1 - 0, Xavier ⚽, Maranhao (A),
- 75', 2 - 0, Ceitil A. ⚽, Costinha (A),
- 77', Xavier ↓, Manso T. ↑,
- 78', Skuka X. ↓, Vieira P. ↑,
- 78', Silva A. ↓, Suker H. ↑,
- 79', Batista D. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 89', Gabriel Barbosa 🟨,
- 90', Costinha ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
- 90+2', Roberto ↓, Miro ↑,
Chances of winning
Tondela
53.4% | Draw
27.4% | Penafiel
19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tondela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Tondela - Penafiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(1.84) |
3.41 ↑
(3.34) |
4.81 ↑
(4.4) |
7.3%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Tondela - Penafiel?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Tondela will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Penafiel will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Tondela won 1.
- Recent matches Tondela is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Penafiel is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Tondela is a favorite.
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Tondela won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8:14 (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Tondela won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0:5 (average 0:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Tondela won against Penafiel?
Tondela has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Tondela?
Penafiel has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tondela - Penafiel were as follows:
25.08.2024
Penafiel
-
Tondela
2:2
13.04.2024
Tondela
-
Penafiel
0:1
03.12.2023
Penafiel
-
Tondela
0:2
14.05.2023
Penafiel
-
Tondela
1:0
09.01.2023
Tondela
-
Penafiel
0:1
Latest results of Tondela
Latest results of Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 43:21 | 22 | 56 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 50:28 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Torreense | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 45 |
| 4 | Vizela | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 36:31 | 5 | 44 |
| 5 | Leiria | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 41 |
| 6 | Sporting CP B | 27 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 39:26 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | FC Porto B | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 9 | Benfica B | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:32 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Chaves | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 29:26 | 3 | 36 |
| 11 | Feirense | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 35 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 32:49 | -17 | 34 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24:34 | -10 | 30 |
| 14 | Pacos Ferreira | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 22:26 | -4 | 29 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 29:40 | -11 | 27 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 26:37 | -11 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
