Cincinnati 2 vs Toronto FC II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Next Pro Cincinnati 2 - Toronto FC II
Result
2:1 penalties
08/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.572.08
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
86% (358/416)89% (465/522)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.572.08
xG on target (xGOT)
0.490.37
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
65
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1836
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
814
Passes
86% (358/416)89% (465/522)
Long passes
52% (30/58)53% (20/38)
Passes in final third
60% (59/98)77% (126/164)
Crosses
50% (6/12)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.602.41
Throw-ins
1114
Fouls
148
Tackles
67% (14/21)46% (6/13)
Duels won
4340
Clearances
2010
Interceptions
43
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.370.49
Goals prevented
-0.63-0.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', del Valle Y. , Manyana X. ,
  • 46', Davila A. , Cardenas J. ,
  • 46', Ythallo , Fisher M. ,
  • 48', 1 - 0, Schaefer B. ,
  • 55', Adnan N. 🟨,
  • 70', Henry M. , Iliadis C. ,
  • 72', Kuisel W. , Caicedo Y. ,
  • 72', Cardenas J. , Ikoba T. ,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Ayari H. ,
  • 77', Olguin L. , Edwards N. ,
  • 77', Bossenberry A. , McDonald P. ,
  • 79', Augee B. , Manfroy B. ,
  • 84', Nolan J. , Nugent J. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 2)
  • 1, Sullivan M. (Pen),
  • 1, Mangione P. (Pen),
  • 2, Iliadis C. (Pen),
  • 2, Ikoba T. (Pen),
  • 3, Ayari H. (Pen),
  • 3, Schaefer B. (Pen),
  • 4, Fisher M. (Pen),
  • 4, Locker C. (Pen),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Cincinnati 2
36.6%
Draw
25.8%
Toronto FC II
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 26.5% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1% 27.1% 33.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Toronto FC II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Cincinnati 2 - Toronto FC II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.3)
    3.56
    (3.4)
    2.44
    (2.63)
    8.9%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 1.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Cincinnati 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Toronto II has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.3:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati 2 - Toronto FC II were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Cincinnati 2 - Toronto FC II 0:1
    01.09.2024 Cincinnati 2 - Toronto FC II 0:2
    14.07.2024 Toronto FC II - Cincinnati 2 1:2
    14.04.2024 Toronto FC II - Cincinnati 2 2:1
    07.05.2023 Toronto FC II - Cincinnati 2 3:0
    Latest results of Cincinnati 2
    Latest results of Toronto FC II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2201222449:4242
    2Philadelphia Union II18952244:1739
    3Chicago Fire II18922543:3233
    4New England Revolution II17841431:2133
    5Cincinnati 218470719:2326
    6Toronto FC II19704822:3025
    7New York City II19623833:3925
    8Columbus Crew 2183121219:3513


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga19833530:2933
    2Huntsville17832435:1932
    3Orlando City B19721926:3726
    4Crown Legacy19535630:3526
    5Carolina Core19444725:2724
    6Atlanta United 217326623:2919
    7Inter Miami II195031130:4418


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County191013540:3235
    2Town FC16822438:2130
    3Vancouver Whitecaps 219731841:3628
    4Real Monarchs17543529:3126
    5Portland Timbers 218622829:3424
    6Tacoma Defiance18621945:4823
    7Los Angeles FC II18621928:3723


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2191320441:2543
    2Colorado Rapids 219913634:3032
    3North Texas18821732:3529
    4Austin FC II18634522:2128
    5Houston Dynamo 219631927:2925
    6Minnesota 218703828:2924
    7Sporting Kansas City II182131217:4311


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2201222449:4242
    2Philadelphia Union II18952244:1739
    3Chicago Fire II18922543:3233
    4New England Revolution II17841431:2133
    5Chattanooga19833530:2933
    6Huntsville17832435:1932
    7Orlando City B19721926:3726
    8Crown Legacy19535630:3526
    9Cincinnati 218470719:2326
    10Toronto FC II19704822:3025
    11New York City II19623833:3925
    12Carolina Core19444725:2724
    13Atlanta United 217326623:2919
    14Inter Miami II195031130:4418
    15Columbus Crew 2183121219:3513


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2191320441:2543
    2Ventura County191013540:3235
    3Colorado Rapids 219913634:3032
    4Town FC16822438:2130
    5North Texas18821732:3529
    6Vancouver Whitecaps 219731841:3628
    7Austin FC II18634522:2128
    8Real Monarchs17543529:3126
    9Houston Dynamo 219631927:2925
    10Minnesota 218703828:2924
    11Portland Timbers 218622829:3424
    12Tacoma Defiance18621945:4823
    13Los Angeles FC II18621928:3723
    14Sporting Kansas City II182131217:4311

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