Result
2:1 penalties
08/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS Next Pro
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Usa | MLS Next Pro |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.57 | 2.08 |
Ball Possession |
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44% | 56% |
Total shots |
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10 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 5 |
Passes |
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86% (358/416) | 89% (465/522) |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.57 | 2.08 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.49 | 0.37 |
Total shots |
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10 | 14 |
Shots on target |
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2 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
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6 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
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8 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
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2 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
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18 | 36 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 2 |
Offsides |
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2 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
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8 | 14 |
Passes |
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86% (358/416) | 89% (465/522) |
Long passes |
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52% (30/58) | 53% (20/38) |
Passes in final third |
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60% (59/98) | 77% (126/164) |
Crosses |
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50% (6/12) | 33% (4/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.60 | 2.41 |
Throw-ins |
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11 | 14 |
Fouls |
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14 | 8 |
Tackles |
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67% (14/21) | 46% (6/13) |
Duels won |
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43 | 40 |
Clearances |
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20 | 10 |
Interceptions |
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4 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
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0.37 | 0.49 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.63 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', del Valle Y. ↓, Manyana X. ↑,
- 46', Davila A. ↓, Cardenas J. ↑,
- 46', Ythallo ↓, Fisher M. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 0, Schaefer B. ⚽,
- 55', Adnan N. 🟨,
- 70', Henry M. ↓, Iliadis C. ↑,
- 72', Kuisel W. ↓, Caicedo Y. ↑,
- 72', Cardenas J. ↓, Ikoba T. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 1, Ayari H. ⚽,
- 77', Olguin L. ↓, Edwards N. ↑,
- 77', Bossenberry A. ↓, McDonald P. ↑,
- 79', Augee B. ↓, Manfroy B. ↑,
- 84', Nolan J. ↓, Nugent J. ↑,
- Penalties (4 - 2)
- 1, Sullivan M. (Pen),
- 1, Mangione P. (Pen),
- 2, Iliadis C. (Pen),
- 2, Ikoba T. (Pen),
- 3, Ayari H. (Pen),
- 3, Schaefer B. (Pen),
- 4, Fisher M. (Pen),
- 4, Locker C. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Cincinnati 2 36.6% | Draw 25.8% | Toronto FC II 37.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Toronto FC II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Cincinnati 2 - Toronto FC II Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.51 ↑ (2.3) |
3.56 ↑ (3.4) |
2.44 ↓ (2.63) |
8.9% (10.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Cincinnati 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Toronto II has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.3:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati 2 won against Toronto FC II?
Cincinnati 2 has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC II won against Cincinnati 2?
Toronto FC II has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati 2 - Toronto FC II were as follows:
09.03.2025
Cincinnati 2
-
Toronto FC II
0:1
01.09.2024
Cincinnati 2
-
Toronto FC II
0:2
14.07.2024
Toronto FC II
-
Cincinnati 2
1:2
14.04.2024
Toronto FC II
-
Cincinnati 2
2:1
07.05.2023
Toronto FC II
-
Cincinnati 2
3:0
Latest results of Cincinnati 2
Latest results of Toronto FC II
MLS Next Pro Table
2025Northeast Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | New York Red Bulls 2 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 49:42 | 42 |
2 | Philadelphia Union II | 18 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 44:17 | 39 |
3 | Chicago Fire II | 18 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 43:32 | 33 |
4 | New England Revolution II | 17 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 31:21 | 33 |
5 | Cincinnati 2 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 19:23 | 26 |
6 | Toronto FC II | 19 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 22:30 | 25 |
7 | New York City II | 19 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 33:39 | 25 |
8 | Columbus Crew 2 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 19:35 | 13 |
Southeast Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Chattanooga | 19 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 30:29 | 33 |
2 | Huntsville | 17 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 35:19 | 32 |
3 | Orlando City B | 19 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 26:37 | 26 |
4 | Crown Legacy | 19 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 30:35 | 26 |
5 | Carolina Core | 19 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 25:27 | 24 |
6 | Atlanta United 2 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 23:29 | 19 |
7 | Inter Miami II | 19 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 30:44 | 18 |
Pacific Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Ventura County | 19 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 40:32 | 35 |
2 | Town FC | 16 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 38:21 | 30 |
3 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 41:36 | 28 |
4 | Real Monarchs | 17 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 29:31 | 26 |
5 | Portland Timbers 2 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 29:34 | 24 |
6 | Tacoma Defiance | 18 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 45:48 | 23 |
7 | Los Angeles FC II | 18 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 28:37 | 23 |
Frontier Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | St. Louis City 2 | 19 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 41:25 | 43 |
2 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 34:30 | 32 |
3 | North Texas | 18 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 32:35 | 29 |
4 | Austin FC II | 18 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 22:21 | 28 |
5 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 27:29 | 25 |
6 | Minnesota 2 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 28:29 | 24 |
7 | Sporting Kansas City II | 18 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17:43 | 11 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | New York Red Bulls 2 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 49:42 | 42 |
2 | Philadelphia Union II | 18 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 44:17 | 39 |
3 | Chicago Fire II | 18 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 43:32 | 33 |
4 | New England Revolution II | 17 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 31:21 | 33 |
5 | Chattanooga | 19 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 30:29 | 33 |
6 | Huntsville | 17 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 35:19 | 32 |
7 | Orlando City B | 19 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 26:37 | 26 |
8 | Crown Legacy | 19 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 30:35 | 26 |
9 | Cincinnati 2 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 19:23 | 26 |
10 | Toronto FC II | 19 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 22:30 | 25 |
11 | New York City II | 19 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 33:39 | 25 |
12 | Carolina Core | 19 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 25:27 | 24 |
13 | Atlanta United 2 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 23:29 | 19 |
14 | Inter Miami II | 19 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 30:44 | 18 |
15 | Columbus Crew 2 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 19:35 | 13 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | St. Louis City 2 | 19 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 41:25 | 43 |
2 | Ventura County | 19 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 40:32 | 35 |
3 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 34:30 | 32 |
4 | Town FC | 16 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 38:21 | 30 |
5 | North Texas | 18 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 32:35 | 29 |
6 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 41:36 | 28 |
7 | Austin FC II | 18 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 22:21 | 28 |
8 | Real Monarchs | 17 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 29:31 | 26 |
9 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 27:29 | 25 |
10 | Minnesota 2 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 28:29 | 24 |
11 | Portland Timbers 2 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 29:34 | 24 |
12 | Tacoma Defiance | 18 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 45:48 | 23 |
13 | Los Angeles FC II | 18 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 28:37 | 23 |
14 | Sporting Kansas City II | 18 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17:43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)