Toronto FC II vs Cincinnati 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

York Lions Stadium (Toronto, ON).

MLS Next Pro
Where to Watch on TV:


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Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.41	0.92
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
9	15
Shots on target
2	3
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
7	6
Passes
83% (406/488)	88% (394/450)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41	0.92
xG on target (xGOT)
0.12	0.53
Total shots
9	15
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
6	6
Blocked Shots
1	6
Shots inside the Box
6	9
Shots outside the Box
3	6
Hit the Woodwork
2	1
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
7	6
Touches in opposition box
25	26
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
14	7
Passes
83% (406/488)	88% (394/450)
Long passes
46% (28/61)	63% (25/40)
Passes in final third
68% (118/174)	76% (79/104)
Crosses
18% (2/11)	43% (12/28)
Expected assists (xA)
1.39	1.02
Throw-ins
20	12
Fouls
7	15
Tackles
82% (14/17)	68% (15/22)
Duels won
50	51
Clearances
25	33
Interceptions
8	16
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
0.53	0.12
Goals prevented
0.53	0.12

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Olguin L. ↓, Fortier T. ↑,
46', Cimermancic M. ↓, Bossenberry A. ↑,
53', Edwards N. 🟨,
55', Chirila A. 🟨,
58', 1 - 0, Adnan N. (Own goal),
61', Locker C. ↓, Opeyemi M. ↑,
61', Hurtado D. ↓, Kuisel W. ↑,
64', Ikoba T. 🟨,
68', Nolan J. ↓, Barrow D. ↑,
71', Ythallo ↓, Chisholm M. ↑,
78', Ikoba T. ↓, Cardenas J. ↑,
78', del Valle Y. 🟨,
83', Mangione P. ↓, Augee B. ↑,
83', Adnan N. ↓, Lester J. ↑,
84', Kapor S. ↓, Chukwu R. ↑,

Official Live

Chances of winning

Toronto FC II
46.4%

Draw
24.9%

Cincinnati 2
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

25.2%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

25.1%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toronto FC II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Cincinnati 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (-3%)

Toronto FC II - Cincinnati 2 Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.86)	3.78 ↑ (3.63)	3.27 ↓ (3.58)	6.5% (9.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 3.
Recent performances by Toronto II have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Cincinnati 2 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Toronto II could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Toronto II won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 2.4:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC II won against Cincinnati 2?

Toronto FC II has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati 2 won against Toronto FC II?

Cincinnati 2 has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC II - Cincinnati 2 were as follows:

08.06.2025 Cincinnati 2 - Toronto FC II 2:1

09.03.2025 Cincinnati 2 - Toronto FC II 0:1

01.09.2024 Cincinnati 2 - Toronto FC II 0:2

14.07.2024 Toronto FC II - Cincinnati 2 1:2

14.04.2024 Toronto FC II - Cincinnati 2 2:1

Latest results of Toronto FC II

08.08.2025 Toronto FC II - Atlanta United II 1:3 ✺

02.08.2025 Chattanooga - Toronto FC II 1:2 ✺

27.07.2025 Columbus Crew 2 - Toronto FC II 1:2 ✺

20.07.2025 Toronto FC II - Chicago Fire II 2:3 ✺

16.07.2025 New York City II - Toronto FC II 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Cincinnati 2

11.08.2025 Cincinnati 2 - Crown Legacy 4:3 ✺

03.08.2025 Philadelphia Union II - Cincinnati 2 1:0 ✺

27.07.2025 Inter Miami II - Cincinnati 2 0:3 ✺

13.07.2025 Cincinnati 2 - Huntsville City 1:0 ✺

09.07.2025 Atlanta United II - Cincinnati 2 0:1 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	22	13	2	2	5	53:46	45
2	Philadelphia Union II	22	10	5	3	4	47:23	43
3	Chicago Fire II	21	11	3	2	5	54:36	41
4	New England Revolution II	20	9	5	1	5	37:26	38
5	Toronto FC II	23	9	1	4	9	28:36	33
6	New York City II	23	8	2	4	9	44:46	32
7	Cincinnati 2	22	5	7	0	10	25:31	29
8	Columbus Crew 2	22	4	1	3	14	25:47	17

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Huntsville	22	11	4	2	5	46:25	43
2	Chattanooga	23	10	4	3	6	35:33	41
3	Orlando City B	23	8	2	2	11	32:46	30
4	Carolina Core	23	6	4	4	9	31:33	30
5	Crown Legacy	23	6	3	5	9	39:44	29
6	Atlanta United 2	21	5	2	6	8	29:34	25
7	Inter Miami II	22	6	0	4	12	34:53	22

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Town FC	20	12	2	2	4	49:26	42
2	Ventura County	22	10	2	3	7	44:40	37
3	Real Monarchs	20	7	4	3	6	35:33	32
4	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	22	8	3	1	10	47:43	31
5	Tacoma Defiance	20	7	2	2	9	50:51	27
6	Los Angeles FC II	22	7	2	1	12	35:48	26
7	Portland Timbers 2	21	6	2	3	10	32:39	25

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	22	15	3	0	4	50:30	51
2	Colorado Rapids 2	23	12	1	4	6	45:34	42
3	Austin FC II	22	8	3	5	6	29:28	35
4	Minnesota 2	21	8	2	3	8	34:34	31
5	North Texas	21	8	3	1	9	35:43	31
6	Houston Dynamo 2	23	7	3	2	11	32:37	29
7	Sporting Kansas City II	21	2	1	3	15	21:52	11

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	22	13	2	2	5	53:46	45
2	Huntsville	22	11	4	2	5	46:25	43
3	Philadelphia Union II	22	10	5	3	4	47:23	43
4	Chicago Fire II	21	11	3	2	5	54:36	41
5	Chattanooga	23	10	4	3	6	35:33	41
6	New England Revolution II	20	9	5	1	5	37:26	38
7	Toronto FC II	23	9	1	4	9	28:36	33
8	New York City II	23	8	2	4	9	44:46	32
9	Orlando City B	23	8	2	2	11	32:46	30
10	Carolina Core	23	6	4	4	9	31:33	30
11	Crown Legacy	23	6	3	5	9	39:44	29
12	Cincinnati 2	22	5	7	0	10	25:31	29
13	Atlanta United 2	21	5	2	6	8	29:34	25
14	Inter Miami II	22	6	0	4	12	34:53	22
15	Columbus Crew 2	22	4	1	3	14	25:47	17

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	22	15	3	0	4	50:30	51
2	Town FC	20	12	2	2	4	49:26	42
3	Colorado Rapids 2	23	12	1	4	6	45:34	42
4	Ventura County	22	10	2	3	7	44:40	37
5	Austin FC II	22	8	3	5	6	29:28	35
6	Real Monarchs	20	7	4	3	6	35:33	32
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	22	8	3	1	10	47:43	31
8	Minnesota 2	21	8	2	3	8	34:34	31
9	North Texas	21	8	3	1	9	35:43	31
10	Houston Dynamo 2	23	7	3	2	11	32:37	29
11	Tacoma Defiance	20	7	2	2	9	50:51	27
12	Los Angeles FC II	22	7	2	1	12	35:48	26
13	Portland Timbers 2	21	6	2	3	10	32:39	25
14	Sporting Kansas City II	21	2	1	3	15	21:52	11

Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)