Cincinnati 2 vs Toronto FC II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro
Soccer MLS Next Pro Cincinnati 2 - Toronto FC II
Result
2:1 penalties
08/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Cincinnati 2 - Toronto FC II - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.572.08
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
86% (358/416)89% (465/522)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.572.08
xG on target (xGOT)
0.490.37
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
65
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1836
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
814
Passes
86% (358/416)89% (465/522)
Long passes
52% (30/58)53% (20/38)
Passes in final third
60% (59/98)77% (126/164)
Crosses
50% (6/12)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.602.41
Throw-ins
1114
Fouls
148
Tackles
67% (14/21)46% (6/13)
Duels won
4340
Clearances
2010
Interceptions
43
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.370.49
Goals prevented
-0.63-0.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', del Valle Y. ↓, Manyana X. ↑,
  • 46', Davila A. ↓, Cardenas J. ↑,
  • 46', Ythallo ↓, Fisher M. ↑,
  • 48', 1 - 0, Schaefer B. ⚽,
  • 55', Adnan N. 🟨,
  • 70', Henry M. ↓, Iliadis C. ↑,
  • 72', Kuisel W. ↓, Caicedo Y. ↑,
  • 72', Cardenas J. ↓, Ikoba T. ↑,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Ayari H. ⚽,
  • 77', Olguin L. ↓, Edwards N. ↑,
  • 77', Bossenberry A. ↓, McDonald P. ↑,
  • 79', Augee B. ↓, Manfroy B. ↑,
  • 84', Nolan J. ↓, Nugent J. ↑,
  • Penalties (4 - 2)
  • 1, Sullivan M. (Pen),
  • 1, Mangione P. (Pen),
  • 2, Iliadis C. (Pen),
  • 2, Ikoba T. (Pen),
  • 3, Ayari H. (Pen),
  • 3, Schaefer B. (Pen),
  • 4, Fisher M. (Pen),
  • 4, Locker C. (Pen),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Cincinnati 2
36.6%		Draw
25.8%		Toronto FC II
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 26.5% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1% 27.1% 33.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Toronto FC II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
    •

    Cincinnati 2 - Toronto FC II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.51 ↑
    (2.3)    		 3.56 ↑
    (3.4)    		 2.44 ↓
    (2.63)    		 8.9%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 1.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Cincinnati 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Toronto II has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.3:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati 2 - Toronto FC II were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Cincinnati 2 - Toronto FC II 0:1
    01.09.2024 Cincinnati 2 - Toronto FC II 0:2
    14.07.2024 Toronto FC II - Cincinnati 2 1:2
    14.04.2024 Toronto FC II - Cincinnati 2 2:1
    07.05.2023 Toronto FC II - Cincinnati 2 3:0
    Latest results of Cincinnati 2
    03.06.2025 Cincinnati 2 - Philadelphia Union II 1:4
    25.05.2025 Crown Legacy - Cincinnati 2 2:0
    18.05.2025 Columbus Crew 2 - Cincinnati 2 1:0
    09.05.2025 Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2 2:1
    27.04.2025 Cincinnati 2 - Atlanta United II 1:0
    Latest results of Toronto FC II
    30.05.2025 Toronto FC II - Crown Legacy 1:0
    23.05.2025 Toronto FC II - Huntsville City 1:2
    15.05.2025 New York City II - Toronto FC II 3:0
    09.05.2025 Toronto FC II - Chattanooga 1:2
    04.05.2025 Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II 3:4
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2161012339:2834
    2Philadelphia Union II14742133:1131
    3Chicago Fire II15722428:2427
    4New England Revolution II14541421:1824
    5New York City II16523630:3322
    6Toronto FC II15603616:2321
    7Cincinnati 215260715:2318
    8Columbus Crew 214312814:2613


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga16822424:2130
    2Huntsville14632329:1726
    3Orlando City B16621723:2923
    4Crown Legacy15334523:2719
    5Inter Miami II16502925:3517
    6Carolina Core15324620:2117
    7Atlanta United 213224519:2314


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County16911530:2430
    2Vancouver Whitecaps 216630735:3124
    3Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    4Real Monarchs13523325:2222
    5Town FC13522428:1821
    6Portland Timbers 215512726:3119
    7Los Angeles FC II15511823:3118


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2161110432:2235
    2Colorado Rapids 217803628:2627
    3North Texas16721628:3126
    4Austin FC II15533417:1624
    5Houston Dynamo 216531722:2322
    6Minnesota 214602623:2020
    7Sporting Kansas City II14013109:335


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2161012339:2834
    2Philadelphia Union II14742133:1131
    3Chattanooga16822424:2130
    4Chicago Fire II15722428:2427
    5Huntsville14632329:1726
    6New England Revolution II14541421:1824
    7Orlando City B16621723:2923
    8New York City II16523630:3322
    9Toronto FC II15603616:2321
    10Crown Legacy15334523:2719
    11Cincinnati 215260715:2318
    12Inter Miami II16502925:3517
    13Carolina Core15324620:2117
    14Atlanta United 213224519:2314
    15Columbus Crew 214312814:2613


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2161110432:2235
    2Ventura County16911530:2430
    3Colorado Rapids 217803628:2627
    4North Texas16721628:3126
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 216630735:3124
    6Austin FC II15533417:1624
    7Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    8Real Monarchs13523325:2222
    9Houston Dynamo 216531722:2322
    10Town FC13522428:1821
    11Minnesota 214602623:2020
    12Portland Timbers 215512726:3119
    13Los Angeles FC II15511823:3118
    14Sporting Kansas City II14013109:335

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