Toronto Maple Leafs vs Chicago Blackhawks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
16/12/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Premium
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2625
Shots off target
154
Shooting PCT
11.54% (3/26)8% (2/25)
Blocked Shots
1214
Goalkeeper Saves
2323
Saves PCT
92% (23/25)88.46% (23/26)
Penalties
13
PIM
26
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
01
Power-play PCT
33.33% (1/3)0% (0/1)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (1/1)66.67% (2/3)
Hits
2915
Faceoffs Won
2920
Faceoffs %
59.1840.82
Giveaways
1311
Takeaways
24
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 2)
  • 10:21, 0 - 1, Kaiser W. (G), Toninato D. (A),
  • 14:28, Murphy C. (2 min),
  • 14:58, 0 - 2, Dickinson J. (G), Mikheyev I. (A), Crevier L. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 06:35, Joshua D. (2 min),
  • 18:44, Vlasic A. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (3 - 0)
  • 09:59, 1 - 2, Ekman-Larsson O. (G), Matthews A. (A), Nylander W. (A2)
  • 16:21, Toninato D. (2 min),
  • 16:51, 2 - 2, Matthews A. (G), Nylander W. (A),
  • 16:59, 3 - 2, Joshua D. (G), Stecher T. (A), McCabe J. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto Maple Leafs
52.4%
Draw
21.8%
Chicago Blackhawks
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.3% 21.2% 31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1% 19.6% 29.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto Maple Leafs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toronto Maple Leafs's performance.
  • Chicago Blackhawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chicago Blackhawks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Blackhawks than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Toronto Maple Leafs - Chicago Blackhawks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (2.05)
    4.4
    (4.57)
    3.67
    (3.09)
    4.9%
    (3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Chicago Blackhawks?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Chicago will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 9.6%70.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Toronto (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Chicago (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2.
    • Toronto has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Chicago has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Toronto is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Carlo B. (Lower-Body Injury) Mermis D. (Lower-Body Injury) Stolarz A. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Chicago: Bedard C. (Shoulder Injury) Foligno N. (Hand Injury) Weber S. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Joshua D. (Illness) Maccelli M. (Illness) Rifai M. (Wrist Injury) Tanev C. (Upper-Body Injury) Woll J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 63:76. (average 3.2:3.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:31. (average 3:3.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Chicago Blackhawks were as follows:
    15.11.2025 Chicago Blackhawks - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:2
    23.02.2025 Chicago Blackhawks - Toronto Maple Leafs 2:5
    02.12.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Chicago Blackhawks 4:1
    24.11.2023 Chicago Blackhawks - Toronto Maple Leafs 4:3
    16.10.2023 Toronto Maple Leafs - Chicago Blackhawks 1:4
    NHL Table
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    2Dallas Stars58296914197:16179
    3Minnesota Wild5821131014196:16978
    4Vegas Golden Knights572071416191:17968
    5Utah Mammoth57237423183:15764
    6Edmonton Oilers58217822198:19464
    7Anaheim Ducks561812323185:19563
    8Seattle Kraken57216921163:16963
    9Los Angeles Kings561491419146:16160
    10Nashville Predators57197724169:19859
    11San Jose Sharks551611424171:19358
    12Chicago Blackhawks57175926154:18553
    13Winnipeg Jets56202826160:17552
    14Calgary Flames56194627142:16952
    15St. Louis Blues57191928147:20349
    16Vancouver Canucks57126633149:21042


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Tampa Bay Lightning56299414203:14280
    2Carolina Hurricanes572610615197:16378
    3Montreal Canadiens572111817199:18772
    4Detroit Red Wings582310619174:17572
    5Buffalo Sabres58276619197:17772
    6Pittsburgh Penguins562541215192:16970
    7Boston Bruins57248520195:18269
    8New York Islanders582210521169:16269
    9Washington Capitals60255723192:17867
    10Columbus Blue Jackets56209720179:17765
    11Ottawa Senators57226722191:18463
    12Toronto Maple Leafs58198922190:19863
    13Florida Panthers57236325174:19161
    14Philadelphia Flyers571871121168:18361
    15New Jersey Devils581810228147:17758
    16New York Rangers57148629151:18050

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