Result
5:1
26/02/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
Germany | NHL.tv |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Italy | DAZN Italia |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Norway | Viaplay |
Slovakia | Nova Sport 1, Voyo |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Ukraine | Setanta Sports |
United-kingdom | DAZN, Premier Sports 2 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 37 | 29 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 13.51% (5/37) | 3.45% (1/29) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 28 | 32 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 96.55% (28/29) | 91.43% (32/35) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 25% (1/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 75% (3/4) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 29 | 23 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 55.77 | 44.23 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (3 - 0)
- 03:18, 1 - 0, Marchand B. (G), Lundell A. (A),
- 03:37, Roy N. (2 min),
- 05:13, 2 - 0, Verhaeghe C. (G), Rodrigues E. (A), Lundell A. (A2)
- 15:43, Ekblad A. (2 min),
- 16:40, 3 - 0, Rodrigues E. (G),
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 05:30, McCabe J. (2 min),
- 11:09, Samoskevich M. (2 min),
- 18:49, Benoit S. (2 min),
- 18:49, Ekblad A. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (2 - 1)
- 00:47, 3 - 1, Tavares J. (G), Matthews A. (A), Ekman-Larsson O. (A2)
- 10:01, Maccelli M. (2 min),
- 16:51, 4 - 1, Marchand B. (G),
- 18:08, 5 - 1, Tkachuk M. (G),
Chances of winning
Florida Panthers 46.9% | Draw 22.5% | Toronto Maple Leafs 30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Florida Panthers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florida Panthers than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Florida Panthers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toronto Maple Leafs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Florida Panthers - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.01 ↓ (2.03) |
4.17 ↓ (4.25) |
3.03 ↑ (3.02) |
6.7% (5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
What is the prediction for Florida Panthers - Toronto Maple Leafs?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Florida will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Toronto will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 15.4% – 84.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5, 3rd Period - Florida (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Toronto Maple Leafs will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Florida (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Toronto (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 12)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Florida won 2.
- Florida has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Toronto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Florida may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
- Florida might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Florida: Barkov A.
(Knee Injury)
Gadjovich J.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Jones S.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Kulikov D.
(Wrist Injury)
Nosek T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Toronto: Tanev C.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Florida: Bjornfot T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Toronto: Joshua D.
(Upper-Body Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Florida won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 62:48. (average 3.1:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Florida won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 2.8:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Florida Panthers won against Toronto Maple Leafs?
Florida Panthers has won 15 of their last 26 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Maple Leafs won against Florida Panthers?
Toronto Maple Leafs has won 11 of their last 26 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Florida Panthers - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
06.01.2026
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Florida Panthers
4:1
02.12.2025
Florida Panthers
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
1:4
18.05.2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Florida Panthers
1:6
16.05.2025
Florida Panthers
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
0:2
14.05.2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Florida Panthers
1:6
Latest results of Florida Panthers
Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
NHL Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Colorado Avalanche ✔ | 71 | 42 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 266:179 | 106 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars ✔ | 72 | 33 | 10 | 11 | 18 | 245:198 | 97 |
| 3 | Minnesota Wild | 73 | 26 | 15 | 12 | 20 | 239:210 | 94 |
| 4 | Anaheim Ducks | 72 | 24 | 17 | 4 | 27 | 243:247 | 86 |
| 5 | Utah Mammoth | 73 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 30 | 229:210 | 80 |
| 6 | Edmonton Oilers | 72 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 250:246 | 79 |
| 7 | Vegas Golden Knights | 72 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 26 | 225:225 | 78 |
| 8 | Nashville Predators | 72 | 25 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 217:239 | 77 |
| 9 | Seattle Kraken | 71 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 204:221 | 74 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Kings | 71 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 25 | 189:216 | 74 |
| 11 | Winnipeg Jets | 72 | 24 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 205:223 | 72 |
| 12 | San Jose Sharks | 70 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 31 | 212:251 | 71 |
| 13 | St. Louis Blues | 71 | 26 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 186:226 | 71 |
| 14 | Calgary Flames | 72 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 182:222 | 68 |
| 15 | Chicago Blackhawks | 72 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 188:233 | 67 |
| 16 | Vancouver Canucks | 70 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 41 | 182:262 | 50 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Carolina Hurricanes | 71 | 32 | 13 | 6 | 20 | 252:211 | 96 |
| 2 | Buffalo Sabres | 72 | 37 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 254:211 | 96 |
| 3 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 71 | 35 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 260:199 | 94 |
| 4 | Montreal Canadiens | 71 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 21 | 251:231 | 90 |
| 5 | Boston Bruins | 72 | 29 | 11 | 8 | 24 | 240:224 | 88 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 72 | 29 | 7 | 16 | 20 | 247:228 | 88 |
| 7 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 72 | 27 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 232:219 | 87 |
| 8 | New York Islanders | 73 | 27 | 14 | 5 | 27 | 211:207 | 87 |
| 9 | Ottawa Senators | 72 | 32 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 242:220 | 86 |
| 10 | Detroit Red Wings | 71 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 25 | 207:211 | 84 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Flyers | 71 | 22 | 13 | 12 | 24 | 209:215 | 82 |
| 12 | Washington Capitals | 73 | 31 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 227:215 | 81 |
| 13 | New Jersey Devils | 71 | 25 | 12 | 2 | 32 | 197:215 | 76 |
| 14 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 73 | 23 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 229:255 | 75 |
| 15 | Florida Panthers | 71 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 213:236 | 73 |
| 16 | New York Rangers | 72 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 202:230 | 65 |
Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Colorado Avalanche is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Dallas Stars is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )