Result
3:1
10/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 Germany | NHL.tv |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 33 | 18 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 9.09% (3/33) | 5.56% (1/18) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 17 | 30 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 94.44% (17/18) | 93.75% (30/32) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/4) | 0% (0/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (4/4) | 100% (4/4) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 28 | 29 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 49.12 | 50.88 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 0)
- 04:46, 1 - 0, Kapanen O. (G), Newhook A. (A), Demidov I. (A2)
- 14:41, 2 - 0, Danault P. (G), Guhle K. (A), Hutson L. (A2)
- 19:35, McCabe J. (2 min),
- 19:35, McCabe J. (5 min),
- 19:35, Gallagher B. (2 min),
- 19:35, Gallagher B. (5 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 02:35, Xhekaj A. (2 min),
- 11:55, Hutson L. (2 min),
- 14:33, 2 - 1, Nylander W. (G), Cowan E. (A),
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 11:17, Knies M. (2 min),
- 13:26, Ekman-Larsson O. (2 min),
- 19:32, 3 - 1, Evans J. (G), Matheson M. (A),
Chances of winning
Montreal Canadiens
48.6% | Draw
21.7% | Toronto Maple Leafs
29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montreal Canadiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Toronto Maple Leafs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Montreal Canadiens - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.93) |
4.38 ↑
(4.35) |
3.21
(3.21) |
4.3%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
What is the prediction for Montreal Canadiens - Toronto Maple Leafs?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, OT - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5, OT - Montreal (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Montreal Canadiens will win
(15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Montreal Canadiens will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Montreal (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Toronto (votes: 1 - 8.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 3.
- Montreal has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Toronto is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Montreal will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Montreal: Laine P.
(Abdominal strain)
- There will not play in Toronto: Tanev C.
(Abdominal strain)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 43:69. (average 2.2:3.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:32. (average 2.1:3.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Montreal Canadiens won against Toronto Maple Leafs?
Montreal Canadiens has won 7 of their last 23 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Maple Leafs won against Montreal Canadiens?
Toronto Maple Leafs has won 16 of their last 23 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montreal Canadiens - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
06.12.2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Montreal Canadiens
1:2
22.11.2025
Montreal Canadiens
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
5:2
08.10.2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Montreal Canadiens
5:2
27.09.2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Montreal Canadiens
2:4
25.09.2025
Montreal Canadiens
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
2:7
Latest results of Montreal Canadiens
Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
NHL Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Colorado Avalanche ✔ | 71 | 42 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 266:179 | 106 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars ✔ | 72 | 33 | 10 | 11 | 18 | 245:198 | 97 |
| 3 | Minnesota Wild | 73 | 26 | 15 | 12 | 20 | 239:210 | 94 |
| 4 | Anaheim Ducks | 72 | 24 | 17 | 4 | 27 | 243:247 | 86 |
| 5 | Edmonton Oilers | 73 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 254:249 | 81 |
| 6 | Utah Mammoth | 73 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 30 | 229:210 | 80 |
| 7 | Vegas Golden Knights | 73 | 24 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 228:229 | 79 |
| 8 | Nashville Predators | 72 | 25 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 217:239 | 77 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Kings | 72 | 19 | 10 | 18 | 25 | 193:216 | 76 |
| 10 | Seattle Kraken | 71 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 204:221 | 74 |
| 11 | Winnipeg Jets | 72 | 24 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 205:223 | 72 |
| 12 | San Jose Sharks | 70 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 31 | 212:251 | 71 |
| 13 | St. Louis Blues | 71 | 26 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 186:226 | 71 |
| 14 | Calgary Flames | 72 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 182:222 | 68 |
| 15 | Chicago Blackhawks | 72 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 188:233 | 67 |
| 16 | Vancouver Canucks | 71 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 42 | 182:266 | 50 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Carolina Hurricanes | 71 | 32 | 13 | 6 | 20 | 252:211 | 96 |
| 2 | Buffalo Sabres | 72 | 37 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 254:211 | 96 |
| 3 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 71 | 35 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 260:199 | 94 |
| 4 | Montreal Canadiens | 71 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 21 | 251:231 | 90 |
| 5 | Boston Bruins | 72 | 29 | 11 | 8 | 24 | 240:224 | 88 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 72 | 29 | 7 | 16 | 20 | 247:228 | 88 |
| 7 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 72 | 27 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 232:219 | 87 |
| 8 | New York Islanders | 73 | 27 | 14 | 5 | 27 | 211:207 | 87 |
| 9 | Ottawa Senators | 72 | 32 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 242:220 | 86 |
| 10 | Detroit Red Wings | 71 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 25 | 207:211 | 84 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Flyers | 71 | 22 | 13 | 12 | 24 | 209:215 | 82 |
| 12 | Washington Capitals | 73 | 31 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 227:215 | 81 |
| 13 | New Jersey Devils | 71 | 25 | 12 | 2 | 32 | 197:215 | 76 |
| 14 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 73 | 23 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 229:255 | 75 |
| 15 | Florida Panthers | 71 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 213:236 | 73 |
| 16 | New York Rangers | 72 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 202:230 | 65 |
Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Colorado Avalanche is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Dallas Stars is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
