Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL
Result
1:2 penalties
06/12/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
slovakiaSlovakiaDajto, Voyo
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, Premier Sports 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2334
Shots off target
1519
Shooting PCT
4.35% (1/23)2.94% (1/34)
Blocked Shots
118
Goalkeeper Saves
3322
Saves PCT
97.06% (33/34)95.65% (22/23)
Penalties
43
PIM
86
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
10
Power-play PCT
0% (0/3)25% (1/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
75% (3/4)100% (3/3)
Hits
2821
Faceoffs Won
3626
Faceoffs %
58.0641.94
Giveaways
1212
Takeaways
53
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 06:22, Slafkovsky J. (2 min),
  • 10:52, Tavares J. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 1)
  • 07:58, Stecher T. (2 min),
  • 08:25, 0 - 1, Caufield C. (G), Slafkovsky J. (A), Demidov I. (A2)
  • 12:43, Dobson N. (2 min),
  • 13:54, Tavares J. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 08:36, (2 min),
  • 10:28, 1 - 1, Laughton S. (G), Roy N. (A),
  • 14:33, Xhekaj A. (2 min),
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (1 - 2)
  • 1, Nylander W. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Caufield C. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Matthews A. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Texier A. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Tavares J. (Penalty Shot),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto Maple Leafs
44.9%		Draw
22%		Montreal Canadiens
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.9% 21.7% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5% 21.4% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Montreal Canadiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
    •

    Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.12 ↑
    (2.06)    		 4.34 ↓
    (4.35)    		 2.86 ↓
    (2.92)    		 5.2%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
    What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Montreal will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.6% – 78.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Toronto (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Montreal (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
    • Toronto is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Montreal has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Carlo B. (Lower-Body Injury) Stolarz A. (Upper-Body Injury) Tanev C. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Montreal: Dach K. (Broken Leg) Guhle K. (Lower-Body Injury) Laine P. (Abdominal strain) Newhook A. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Woll J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 71:45. (average 3.6:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 36:20. (average 4:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens were as follows:
    22.11.2025 Montreal Canadiens - Toronto Maple Leafs 5:2
    08.10.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens 5:2
    27.09.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens 2:4
    25.09.2025 Montreal Canadiens - Toronto Maple Leafs 2:7
    12.04.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens 1:0
    Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
    04.12.2025 Carolina Hurricanes - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:5 ✺
    02.12.2025 Florida Panthers - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:4 ✺
    29.11.2025 Pittsburgh Penguins - Toronto Maple Leafs 2:7 ✺
    28.11.2025 Washington Capitals - Toronto Maple Leafs 4:2 ✺
    26.11.2025 Columbus Blue Jackets - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Montreal Canadiens
    03.12.2025 Montreal Canadiens - Winnipeg Jets 3:2 ✺
    02.12.2025 Montreal Canadiens - Ottawa Senators 2:5 ✺
    29.11.2025 Colorado Avalanche - Montreal Canadiens 7:2 ✺
    28.11.2025 Vegas Golden Knights - Montreal Canadiens 1:4 ✺
    26.11.2025 Utah Mammoth - Montreal Canadiens 3:4 ✺
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche60383910230:14991
    2Dallas Stars61317914212:16585
    3Minnesota Wild6223131016209:18082
    4Vegas Golden Knights622181419205:19772
    5Anaheim Ducks612014324205:21271
    6Utah Mammoth62267425196:16970
    7Edmonton Oilers62228824220:21068
    8Seattle Kraken61236923173:17967
    9San Jose Sharks591812425186:20764
    10Los Angeles Kings611691422160:18264
    11Nashville Predators62217826185:21364
    12Winnipeg Jets612141026175:18760
    13Chicago Blackhawks611851028163:19556
    14St. Louis Blues61221929159:21055
    15Calgary Flames61204730150:18555
    16Vancouver Canucks61126736157:23043


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes612910616214:17584
    2Tampa Bay Lightning60299418211:16280
    3Buffalo Sabres62316619214:18480
    4Detroit Red Wings622411720185:18777
    5Montreal Canadiens602211918213:20075
    6Pittsburgh Penguins612741317205:18075
    7New York Islanders632312523186:18275
    8Boston Bruins61268522205:19473
    9Columbus Blue Jackets612210821196:19372
    10Ottawa Senators61246922205:19469
    11Washington Capitals63265725199:18969
    12Philadelphia Flyers611991122177:19167
    13Toronto Maple Leafs631981125200:22165
    14New Jersey Devils622011229160:18664
    15Florida Panthers62246329188:20963
    16New York Rangers61159829166:19256

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