Result
2:3 penalties
02/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 Germany | NHL.tv |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Amazon Prime Video, NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 31 | 25 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 6.45% (2/31) | 8% (2/25) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 23 | 29 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 92% (23/25) | 93.55% (29/31) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (1/3) | 33.33% (1/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 66.67% (2/3) | 66.67% (2/3) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 32 | 22 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 59.26 | 40.74 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 03:36, Cowan E. (2 min),
- 12:01, Roy N. (2 min),
- 13:00, (2 min),
- 15:22, 1 - 0, Joshua D. (G), Maccelli M. (A),
- 16:47, Carlo B. (2 min),
- 18:38, 1 - 1, Dvorak C. (G), Cates N. (A), Barkey D. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 00:40, Ristolainen R. (2 min),
- 14:42, 1 - 2, Cates N. (G), Brink B. (A),
- 15:37, Barkey D. (2 min),
- 17:30, 2 - 2, Nylander W. (G), Tavares J. (A), Knies M. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (1 - 2)
- 1, Nylander W. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Michkov M. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Matthews A. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Zegras T. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Domi M. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Toronto Maple Leafs
42.6% | Draw
22.7% | Philadelphia Flyers
34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Philadelphia Flyers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Flyers than the current prediction. (-2%)
Toronto Maple Leafs - Philadelphia Flyers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(2.12) |
4.16 ↑
(4.11) |
2.72 ↓
(2.92) |
5.7%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Philadelphia Flyers?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Toronto (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Toronto Maple Leafs will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Toronto (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 and 12)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 5.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Toronto: Tanev C.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Philadelphia: Abols R.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Foerster T.
(Upper-Body Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 86:53. (average 4.3:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 43:23. (average 4.8:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Maple Leafs won against Philadelphia Flyers?
Toronto Maple Leafs has won 10 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Flyers won against Toronto Maple Leafs?
Philadelphia Flyers has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Philadelphia Flyers were as follows:
08.01.2026
Philadelphia Flyers
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
1:2
01.11.2025
Philadelphia Flyers
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
2:5
25.03.2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Philadelphia Flyers
7:2
07.01.2025
Philadelphia Flyers
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
2:3
05.01.2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Philadelphia Flyers
3:2
Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
Latest results of Philadelphia Flyers
NHL Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Colorado Avalanche ✔ | 77 | 45 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 290:197 | 112 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars ✔ | 78 | 35 | 11 | 12 | 20 | 262:214 | 104 |
| 3 | Minnesota Wild ✔ | 78 | 30 | 15 | 12 | 21 | 261:225 | 102 |
| 4 | Utah Mammoth | 77 | 31 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 254:223 | 88 |
| 5 | Edmonton Oilers | 78 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 29 | 270:263 | 88 |
| 6 | Vegas Golden Knights | 78 | 28 | 8 | 16 | 26 | 249:241 | 88 |
| 7 | Anaheim Ducks | 77 | 24 | 17 | 5 | 31 | 257:271 | 87 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Kings | 77 | 19 | 13 | 19 | 26 | 211:236 | 83 |
| 9 | Nashville Predators | 77 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 233:256 | 82 |
| 10 | San Jose Sharks | 76 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 32 | 234:269 | 81 |
| 11 | Winnipeg Jets | 77 | 27 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 221:234 | 80 |
| 12 | St. Louis Blues | 77 | 29 | 4 | 12 | 32 | 206:241 | 78 |
| 13 | Seattle Kraken | 77 | 25 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 214:248 | 75 |
| 14 | Calgary Flames | 77 | 25 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 202:247 | 73 |
| 15 | Chicago Blackhawks | 78 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 36 | 202:256 | 70 |
| 16 | Vancouver Canucks | 77 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 202:297 | 52 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Carolina Hurricanes ✔ | 78 | 36 | 14 | 6 | 22 | 281:233 | 106 |
| 2 | Tampa Bay Lightning ✔ | 78 | 39 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 281:221 | 102 |
| 3 | Buffalo Sabres ✔ | 78 | 39 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 270:233 | 102 |
| 4 | Montreal Canadiens ✔ | 78 | 32 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 273:245 | 102 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 78 | 33 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 280:250 | 96 |
| 6 | Boston Bruins | 79 | 31 | 12 | 10 | 26 | 264:246 | 96 |
| 7 | Ottawa Senators | 78 | 35 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 264:240 | 92 |
| 8 | Philadelphia Flyers | 78 | 25 | 15 | 12 | 26 | 233:232 | 92 |
| 9 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 78 | 27 | 12 | 12 | 27 | 245:241 | 90 |
| 10 | New York Islanders | 78 | 28 | 14 | 5 | 31 | 226:229 | 89 |
| 11 | Detroit Red Wings | 78 | 29 | 11 | 9 | 29 | 228:238 | 89 |
| 12 | Washington Capitals | 78 | 33 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 248:240 | 87 |
| 13 | New Jersey Devils | 78 | 28 | 12 | 3 | 35 | 219:239 | 83 |
| 14 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 77 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 242:275 | 78 |
| 15 | Florida Panthers | 78 | 29 | 8 | 4 | 37 | 233:266 | 78 |
| 16 | New York Rangers | 78 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 36 | 229:238 | 75 |
Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Colorado Avalanche is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Dallas Stars is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Minnesota Wild is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Carolina Hurricanes is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Tampa Bay Lightning is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Buffalo Sabres is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Montreal Canadiens is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
