Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL
Result
2:3 penalties
02/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldAmazon Prime Video, NHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3125
Shots off target
1310
Shooting PCT
6.45% (2/31)8% (2/25)
Blocked shots
1415
Goalkeeper Saves
2329
Saves PCT
92% (23/25)93.55% (29/31)
Penalties
33
PIM
66
Power-play Goals
11
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
33.33% (1/3)33.33% (1/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
66.67% (2/3)66.67% (2/3)
Hits
2619
Faceoffs Won
3222
Faceoffs %
59.2640.74
Giveaways
1317
Takeaways
47
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 03:36, Cowan E. (2 min),
  • 12:01, Roy N. (2 min),
  • 13:00, (2 min),
  • 15:22, 1 - 0, Joshua D. (G), Maccelli M. (A),
  • 16:47, Carlo B. (2 min),
  • 18:38, 1 - 1, Dvorak C. (G), Cates N. (A), Barkey D. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 00:40, Ristolainen R. (2 min),
  • 14:42, 1 - 2, Cates N. (G), Brink B. (A),
  • 15:37, Barkey D. (2 min),
  • 17:30, 2 - 2, Nylander W. (G), Tavares J. (A), Knies M. (A2)
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (1 - 2)
  • 1, Nylander W. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Michkov M. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Matthews A. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Zegras T. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Domi M. (Penalty Shot),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto Maple Leafs
42.6%		Draw
22.7%		Philadelphia Flyers
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.6% 23% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 23.2% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Philadelphia Flyers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Flyers than the current prediction. (-2%)
    •

    Toronto Maple Leafs - Philadelphia Flyers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.23 ↑
    (2.12)    		 4.16 ↑
    (4.11)    		 2.72 ↓
    (2.92)    		 5.7%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Philadelphia Flyers?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Toronto (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Toronto (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Toronto (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 and 12)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 5.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Tanev C. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Abols R. (Lower-Body Injury) Foerster T. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 86:53. (average 4.3:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 43:23. (average 4.8:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Philadelphia Flyers were as follows:
    08.01.2026 Philadelphia Flyers - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:2
    01.11.2025 Philadelphia Flyers - Toronto Maple Leafs 2:5
    25.03.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Philadelphia Flyers 7:2
    07.01.2025 Philadelphia Flyers - Toronto Maple Leafs 2:3
    05.01.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Philadelphia Flyers 3:2
    Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
    28.02.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Ottawa Senators 2:5 ✺
    26.02.2026 Florida Panthers - Toronto Maple Leafs 5:1 ✺
    25.02.2026 Tampa Bay Lightning - Toronto Maple Leafs 4:2 ✺
    03.02.2026 Edmonton Oilers - Toronto Maple Leafs 2:5 ✺
    02.02.2026 Calgary Flames - Toronto Maple Leafs 2:4 ✺
    Latest results of Philadelphia Flyers
    28.02.2026 Philadelphia Flyers - Boston Bruins 3:1 ✺
    26.02.2026 New York Rangers - Philadelphia Flyers 2:3 ✺
    25.02.2026 Washington Capitals - Philadelphia Flyers 3:1 ✺
    05.02.2026 Philadelphia Flyers - Ottawa Senators 1:2 ✺
    03.02.2026 Philadelphia Flyers - Washington Capitals 4:2 ✺
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche66395913249:17097
    2Dallas Stars673391015235:18494
    3Minnesota Wild6925141218230:19990
    4Anaheim Ducks672215327223:23377
    5Edmonton Oilers69268926243:23577
    6Utah Mammoth68278627214:19176
    7Vegas Golden Knights682381423220:21176
    8Seattle Kraken67256927193:20571
    9Los Angeles Kings6718101524180:20171
    10San Jose Sharks662012628207:23470
    11Nashville Predators67228928199:22869
    12Winnipeg Jets672351128191:20667
    13St. Louis Blues672431030177:22264
    14Chicago Blackhawks671871230178:21762
    15Calgary Flames67224734167:21259
    16Vancouver Canucks67147838176:24850


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes673111619235:19790
    2Buffalo Sabres68357620237:20090
    3Tampa Bay Lightning66329421237:18486
    4Montreal Canadiens6725121020236:22284
    5Pittsburgh Penguins672951518230:20483
    6New York Islanders682514524200:19283
    7Detroit Red Wings682611823200:20382
    8Boston Bruins682710823224:21482
    9Columbus Blue Jackets6724111121217:20981
    10Ottawa Senators66286923225:20577
    11Philadelphia Flyers6620111223191:20574
    12Washington Capitals68285827212:20374
    13New Jersey Devils672212231180:20470
    14Toronto Maple Leafs692181228216:24170
    15Florida Panthers67267331201:22569
    16New York Rangers67199831190:20964

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