Tranmere Rovers vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
04/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 25
  • Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.531.10
Ball Possession
41%59%
Goal Attempts
1116
Shots on Goal
53
Shots off Goal
45
Blocked Shots
28
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
46
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
34
Free Kicks
414
Offsides
30
Fouls
144
Yellow Cards
31
Throw-ins
2836
Touches in the Opposition Box
1419
Passes
61% (210/344)75% (368/488)
Passes in the final third
51% (77/152)65% (73/113)
Crosses
36% (5/14)11% (2/19)
Tackles
79% (15/19)25% (2/8)
Clearances Total
3743
Interceptions
149

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Norman C. , Morris K. (A),
  • 38', Patrick O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Biggins H. , Neal H. ,
  • 58', Harper C. , Adu Adjei D. ,
  • 58', Davies T. 🟨,
  • 63', Patrick O. , Davison J. ,
  • 74', Morris K. , Dennis K. ,
  • 74', Saunders H. , Khan S. ,
  • 77', Hayden A. 🟨,
  • 79', Embleton E. , Dudik A. ,
  • 90+3', Jennings C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tranmere Rovers
43.7%
Draw
27.4%
Carlisle United
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.9% 28% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 27.5% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Tranmere Rovers - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.13)
    3.42
    (3.34)
    3.26
    (3.32)
    6.4%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Tranmere Rovers - Carlisle United?
  • Users Predictions: Tranmere Rovers will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tranmere won 1.
    • One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
    • Tranmere could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Tranmere will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 19 head-to-head matches Tranmere won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 20:23 (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tranmere won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:8 (average 0.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tranmere Rovers - Carlisle United were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Carlisle United - Tranmere Rovers 1:2
    07.04.2023 Carlisle United - Tranmere Rovers 2:0
    05.11.2022 Carlisle United - Tranmere Rovers 2:1
    29.10.2022 Tranmere Rovers - Carlisle United 0:2
    Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley392213462:362679
    2MK Dons392111776:403674
    3Cambridge Utd382012656:282872
    4Notts Co392171165:422370
    5Swindon392161263:451869
    6Salford392141454:48667
    7Grimsby3817111056:401662
    8Chesterfield391614961:52962
    9Oldham381613947:311661
    10Crewe391791358:471160
    11Walsall391791348:41760
    12Barnet3915121249:43657
    13Fleetwood3914121348:46254
    14Colchester3814111350:41953
    15Accrington381391638:42-448
    16Gillingham3811121544:56-1245
    17Bristol Rovers391342240:60-2043
    18Cheltenham381191843:65-2242
    19Shrewsbury391182037:63-2641
    20Tranmere39992148:69-2136
    21Crawley396132036:60-2431
    22Newport39872439:67-2831
    23Harrogate39792329:58-2930
    24Barrow38782336:63-2729

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League