Tranmere Rovers vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
04/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 25
  • Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.531.10
Ball Possession
41%59%
Goal Attempts
1116
Shots on Goal
53
Shots off Goal
45
Blocked Shots
28
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
46
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
34
Free Kicks
414
Offsides
30
Fouls
144
Yellow Cards
31
Throw-ins
2836
Touches in the Opposition Box
1419
Passes
61% (210/344)75% (368/488)
Passes in the final third
51% (77/152)65% (73/113)
Crosses
36% (5/14)11% (2/19)
Tackles
79% (15/19)25% (2/8)
Clearances Total
3743
Interceptions
149

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Norman C. , Morris K. (A),
  • 38', Patrick O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Biggins H. , Neal H. ,
  • 58', Harper C. , Adu Adjei D. ,
  • 58', Davies T. 🟨,
  • 63', Patrick O. , Davison J. ,
  • 74', Morris K. , Dennis K. ,
  • 74', Saunders H. , Khan S. ,
  • 77', Hayden A. 🟨,
  • 79', Embleton E. , Dudik A. ,
  • 90+3', Jennings C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tranmere Rovers
43.7%
Draw
27.4%
Carlisle United
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.9% 28% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 27.5% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Tranmere Rovers - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.13)
    3.42
    (3.34)
    3.26
    (3.32)
    6.4%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Tranmere Rovers - Carlisle United?
  • Users Predictions: Tranmere Rovers will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tranmere won 1.
    • One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
    • Tranmere could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Tranmere will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 19 head-to-head matches Tranmere won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 20:23 (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tranmere won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:8 (average 0.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tranmere Rovers - Carlisle United were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Carlisle United - Tranmere Rovers 1:2
    07.04.2023 Carlisle United - Tranmere Rovers 2:0
    05.11.2022 Carlisle United - Tranmere Rovers 2:1
    29.10.2022 Tranmere Rovers - Carlisle United 0:2
    Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley351912458:352369
    2Cambridge Utd341810649:272264
    3MK Dons341711663:342962
    4Swindon351951157:411662
    5Notts Co34187952:331961
    6Chesterfield351414755:441156
    7Crewe351681152:411156
    8Grimsby341510949:381155
    9Salford341741347:46155
    10Barnet3514111044:37753
    11Walsall341581142:37553
    12Colchester3413101148:381049
    13Fleetwood341391244:42248
    14Oldham331113936:30646
    15Accrington341371437:36146
    16Gillingham3311111141:41044
    17Shrewsbury351081734:54-2038
    18Cheltenham331061734:55-2136
    19Tranmere35981847:62-1535
    20Bristol Rovers34942133:57-2431
    21Crawley356101933:56-2328
    22Newport35772135:61-2628
    23Barrow33762033:51-1827
    24Harrogate35692025:52-2727

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League