Tristán Suárez vs Ferrocarril Midland – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/05/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Tristán Suárez
41.9%
Draw
32.4%
Ferrocarril Midland
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 32% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40% 31.4% 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tristán Suárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Ferrocarril Midland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Tristán Suárez - Ferrocarril Midland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.26)
    2.88
    (2.88)
    3.54
    (3.37)
    8.5%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Tristán Suárez could have a small edge in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Moron1163218:11721
    2Colon Santa Fe1154212:8419
    3Los Andes114529:4517
    4Almirante Brown115248:8017
    5Deportivo Madryn1144315:11416
    6Godoy Cruz1137110:8216
    7Ciudad Bolivar113719:7216
    8Ferro1143411:10115
    9Def. de Belgrano1136210:9115
    10Racing Cordoba1143411:12-115
    11San Miguel113539:11-214
    12CA Estudiantes114257:9-214
    13San Telmo1134412:14-213
    14CA Mitre1126310:11-112
    15All Boys112545:8-311
    16Central Norte112454:8-410
    17Acassuso113178:13-510
    18Chaco For Ever111469:16-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy1172219:12723
    2Tristan Suarez1155112:6620
    3Atletico Atlanta1161414:9519
    4San Martin T1146112:8418
    5Nueva Chicago1145211:8317
    6Atl. Rafaela1144311:8316
    7Midland1144310:8216
    8Temperley113719:7216
    9Agropecuario1142512:15-314
    10Quilmes1134411:8313
    11San Martin S.J113449:11-213
    12Patronato113446:10-413
    13Deportivo Maipu1133512:14-212
    14Gimnasia y Tiro1133512:15-312
    15Chacarita Juniors113359:12-312
    16Colegiales113358:12-412
    17Club A. Guemes1124511:16-510
    18Almagro112366:14-89

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation