Result
2:4
10/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, Diarra M. ⚽, Nuninho (A),
- 38', 0 - 2, Cunha G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 40', Martins J. 🟨,
- 45+2', Daniel J. 🟨,
- 45+4', 1 - 2, Maio F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Santos R. ↓, Kiko Felix ↑,
- 53', 1 - 3, Diarra M. ⚽, Nuninho (A),
- 58', Nando 🟨,
- 60', Daniel J. ↓, Oliveira J. ↑,
- 60', Ivandro ↓, Melro R. ↑,
- 60', Pereira M. ↓, Borges F. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 3, Sa G. ⚽,
- 75', Reko Silva 🟨,
- 76', Sa G. 🟨,
- 82', Diarra M. ↓, Hachadi K. ↑,
- 83', Couto J. ↓, Gomes R. ↑,
- 83', Pinheiro Edu ↓, Mosquera Larrahondo S. D. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 4, Melro R. ⚽,
- 88', Sa G. ↓, Mosquera S. ↑,
- 90', Nuninho 🟨,
- 90', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sanjoanense
26.3% | Draw
29.4% | Trofense
44.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sanjoanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trofense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanjoanense than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Sanjoanense - Trofense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.47 ↑
(2.91) |
3.11 ↑
(3.06) |
2.06 ↓
(2.34) |
9.4%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sanjoanense - Trofense?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Trofense will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Trofense will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).
- Sanjoanense is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sanjoanense won 2.
- Sanjoanense has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Trofense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Trofense might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Trofense will win today's game, with odds of 2.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sanjoanense won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sanjoanense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Sanjoanense won against Trofense?
Sanjoanense has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Trofense won against Sanjoanense?
Trofense has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sanjoanense - Trofense were as follows:
04.10.2025
Trofense
-
Sanjoanense
1:2
26.04.2025
Sanjoanense
-
Trofense
3:1
22.02.2025
Trofense
-
Sanjoanense
2:0
07.12.2024
Trofense
-
Sanjoanense
3:2
25.08.2024
Sanjoanense
-
Trofense
0:2
Latest results of Sanjoanense
Latest results of Trofense
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Academica | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Amarante | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Varzim | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Os Belenenses | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 | Mafra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Santarem | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 8 | Trofense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
