Result
2:4
10/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, Diarra M. ⚽, Nuninho (A),
- 38', 0 - 2, Cunha G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 40', Martins J. 🟨,
- 45+2', Daniel J. 🟨,
- 45+4', 1 - 2, Maio F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Santos R. ↓, Kiko Felix ↑,
- 53', 1 - 3, Diarra M. ⚽, Nuninho (A),
- 58', Nando 🟨,
- 60', Daniel J. ↓, Oliveira J. ↑,
- 60', Ivandro ↓, Melro R. ↑,
- 60', Pereira M. ↓, Borges F. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 3, Sa G. ⚽,
- 75', Reko Silva 🟨,
- 76', Sa G. 🟨,
- 82', Diarra M. ↓, Hachadi K. ↑,
- 83', Couto J. ↓, Gomes R. ↑,
- 83', Pinheiro Edu ↓, Mosquera Larrahondo S. D. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 4, Melro R. ⚽,
- 88', Sa G. ↓, Mosquera S. ↑,
- 90', Nuninho 🟨,
- 90', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sanjoanense 26.3% | Draw 29.4% | Trofense 44.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Sanjoanense - Trofense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.47 ↑ (2.91) |
3.11 ↑ (3.06) |
2.06 ↓ (2.34) |
9.4% (9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sanjoanense - Trofense?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Trofense (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Trofense will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).
- Sanjoanense is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sanjoanense won 2.
- Sanjoanense has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Trofense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Trofense might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Trofense will win today's game, with odds of 2.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sanjoanense won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sanjoanense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Sanjoanense won against Trofense?
Sanjoanense has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Trofense won against Sanjoanense?
Trofense has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sanjoanense - Trofense were as follows:
04.10.2025
Trofense
-
Sanjoanense
1:2
26.04.2025
Sanjoanense
-
Trofense
3:1
22.02.2025
Trofense
-
Sanjoanense
2:0
07.12.2024
Trofense
-
Sanjoanense
3:2
25.08.2024
Sanjoanense
-
Trofense
0:2
Latest results of Sanjoanense
Latest results of Trofense
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amarante ✔ | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 18:16 | 2 | 28 |
| 2 | Trofense | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 27 |
| 3 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 17:14 | 3 | 26 |
| 4 | Varzim | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 23:16 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Paredes | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 20:11 | 9 | 24 |
| 6 | Braga B | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | AD Fafe | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21:19 | 2 | 23 |
| 8 | AD Marco 09 ✔ | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 19 |
| 9 | Sao Joao Ver ✔ | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10:24 | -14 | 14 |
| 10 | Sanjoanense ✔ | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 18:29 | -11 | 13 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Os Belenenses ✔ | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26:14 | 12 | 38 |
| 2 | Mafra ✔ | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 26:18 | 8 | 31 |
| 3 | Academica | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 29:17 | 12 | 28 |
| 4 | Santarem | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 | Atletico CP | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 15:15 | 0 | 22 |
| 6 | Lusitano GC | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 18:18 | 0 | 21 |
| 7 | Amora | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17:22 | -5 | 18 |
| 8 | Caldas ✔ | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 16:23 | -7 | 18 |
| 9 | 1u00ba Dezembro ✔ | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 16 |
| 10 | Covilha ✔ | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10:22 | -12 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Amarante is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
AD Marco 09 is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Sao Joao Ver is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Sanjoanense is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Os Belenenses is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
Mafra is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
Caldas is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
1u00ba Dezembro is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Covilha is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )