Bakersfield Condors vs Tucson Roadrunners – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/03/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2630
Shooting PCT
7.69% (2/26)0% (0/30)
Goalkeeper Saves
3024
Saves PCT
100% (30/30)92.31% (24/26)
Penalties
33
PIM
66
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/3)0% (0/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (3/3)100% (3/3)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 15:11, 1 - 0, Pitlick R. (G),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 17:01, 2 - 0, Hamblin J. (G), Griffith S. (A), Leppanen A. (A2)

Chances of winning


Bakersfield Condors
42.3%
Draw
22.1%
Tucson Roadrunners
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.2% 24% 34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 26.7% 38.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bakersfield Condors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Tucson Roadrunners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bakersfield Condors than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bakersfield Condors that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tucson Roadrunners than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Bakersfield Condors - Tucson Roadrunners Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.21)
    4.19
    (3.8)
    2.59
    (2.62)
    8.1%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bakersfield won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Bakersfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Tucson has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bakersfield won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 66:65. (average 3.3:3.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bakersfield won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:26. (average 3.5:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bakersfield Condors - Tucson Roadrunners were as follows:
    06.03.2026 Bakersfield Condors - Tucson Roadrunners 2:3
    13.12.2025 Tucson Roadrunners - Bakersfield Condors 7:8
    12.12.2025 Tucson Roadrunners - Bakersfield Condors 5:4
    03.12.2025 Bakersfield Condors - Tucson Roadrunners 5:1
    25.10.2025 Tucson Roadrunners - Bakersfield Condors 1:3
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins543111111177:11485
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton57315714189:15079
    3Charlotte Checkers56267518188:15771
    4Hershey Bears56206822160:17260
    5Bridgeport Islanders56194825165:17454
    6Lehigh Valley Phantoms55168625162:18354
    7Springfield Thunderbirds56193727151:19651
    8Hartford Wolf Pack55184627149:18550


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins5636749196:11190
    2Chicago Wolves522171113166:16067
    3Manitoba Moose50214619131:14356
    4Texas Stars53188423155:16556
    5Milwaukee Admirals54148725152:16551
    6Rockford IceHogs56155432152:19444
    7Iowa Wild54136530126:17043


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign55289216188:15076
    2Colorado Eagles55267814178:13974
    3San Jose Barracuda54259416188:16472
    4Bakersfield Condors572281017192:17870
    5Coachella Valley Firebirds54209520180:16963
    6San Diego Gulls552051218164:16162
    7Henderson Silver Knights522131018173:16658
    8Tucson Roadrunners551312822171:18258
    9Calgary Wranglers561091423151:20452
    10Abbotsford Canucks57138630132:19148


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket592610518192:15777
    2Syracuse Crunch55313417180:13572
    3Cleveland Monsters561713719164:16767
    4Toronto Marlies55207919176:17963
    5Rochester Americans54195921166:16857
    6Belleville Senators58166828181:21452
    7Utica Comets55173926143:17549

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )