Mara Sugar vs Tusker – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
29/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Mara Sugar
35.9%
Draw
34.6%
Tusker
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.7% 31.2% 36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3% 31.7% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mara Sugar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Tusker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tusker might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mara Sugar than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tusker could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mara Sugar - Tusker Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.78)
    2.64
    (2.91)
    3.09
    (2.52)
    9.6%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Mara Sugar - Tusker?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Mara Sugar (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Tusker (2.04) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Mara Sugar (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tusker (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 10).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mara Sugar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Mara Sugar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mara Sugar - Tusker were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Mara Sugar - Tusker 1:1
    27.11.2024 Tusker - Mara Sugar 2:1
    Latest results of Mara Sugar
    22.11.2025 Mara Sugar - Kenya CB 0:1
    15.11.2025 Posta Rangers - Mara Sugar 1:1
    08.11.2025 Mara Sugar - AFC Leopards 2:0
    01.11.2025 Mara Sugar - Bandari 0:0
    28.10.2025 Sofapaka - Mara Sugar 2:2
    Latest results of Tusker
    22.11.2025 Gor Mahia - Tusker 1:0
    16.11.2025 Tusker - Police FC 1:2
    07.11.2025 Bidco United - Tusker 0:1
    02.11.2025 Kakamega Homeboyz - Tusker 1:1
    29.10.2025 Tusker - Kariobangi Sharks 2:1
    Kenyan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gor Mahia22154338:152349
    2Leopards22127330:141643
    3Shabana23117528:23540
    4Kakamega Homeboyz22108434:231138
    5Police FC23910420:14637
    6Muranga23106731:25636
    7Tusker23104921:24-334
    8Bandari23711519:17232
    9KCB2295822:23-132
    10Nairobi United1985625:20529
    11Mara Sugar22610623:23028
    12Mathare Utd23751117:22-526
    13Posta Rangers2259818:27-924
    14Kariobangi Sharks23410915:25-1022
    15Bidco United23481115:27-1220
    16Ulinzi Stars23471219:26-719
    17APS Bomet23471223:32-919
    18Sofapaka23351515:33-1814

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