Mara Sugar vs Tusker – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Kenyan Premier League Mara Sugar - Tusker
Result
1:1
06/04/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', 0 - 1, Erambo C. ,
  • 73', 1 - 1, Otieno Odaro S. ,

Chances of winning


Mara Sugar
27%
Draw
31.7%
Tusker
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30% 29.7% 40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6% 28.4% 42.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mara Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Tusker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mara Sugar than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Mara Sugar - Tusker Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.38
    (3.04)
    2.88
    (3.08)
    2.2
    (2.27)
    9.9%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 2).
    • Mara Sugar is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Tusker is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Tusker will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Mara Sugar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mara Sugar - Tusker were as follows:
    27.11.2024 Tusker - Mara Sugar 2:1
    Latest results of Mara Sugar
    16.03.2025 Mara Sugar - Bidco United 0:0
    01.03.2025 Sofapaka - Mara Sugar 1:1
    19.02.2025 Posta Rangers - Mara Sugar 1:1
    15.02.2025 Mara Sugar - AFC Leopards 1:2
    Latest results of Tusker
    29.03.2025 Bidco United - Tusker 0:1
    14.03.2025 Tusker - Posta Rangers 2:1
    02.03.2025 Bandari - Tusker 0:0
    26.02.2025 Tusker - Shabana 1:1
    16.02.2025 Gor Mahia - Tusker 0:0
    Kenyan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shabana32106:337
    2Posta Rangers32106:427
    3Gor Mahia32013:126
    4Bidco United22002:026
    5KCB42023:216
    6Ulinzi Stars41212:205
    7Kariobangi Sharks41212:205
    8Bandari31113:214
    9Kakamega Homeboyz21101:014
    10Police FC21101:014
    11Mara Sugar31112:204
    12Mathare Utd41123:4-14
    13Nairobi United21011:103
    14Muranga31023:4-13
    15Leopards20203:302
    16Tusker40222:5-32
    17Sofapaka30121:4-31
    18APS Bomet30032:7-50

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Super League