Result
1:1
17/05/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- TURKEY: SUPER LIG - ROUND 34
- Referee: Pakkan B. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | SportKlub |
 Croatia | SportKlub |
 Czech-republic | Sport 2 |
 France | beIN Sports Max |
 Serbia | SportKlub |
 Slovenia | SportKlub |
 Turkey | beIN Sports 1 |
Chances of winning
İstanbul Başakşehir
52.3% | Draw
24.2% | Umraniyespor
23.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Umraniyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with İstanbul Başakşehir that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
İstanbul Başakşehir - Umraniyespor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↑
(1.67) |
3.9 ↑
(3.81) |
4 ↓
(4.83) |
6.3%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for İstanbul Başakşehir - Umraniyespor?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Başakşehir will win (votes: 22 - 78.6%). Umraniyespor will win (votes: 1 - 3.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Başakşehir: 63.4% – 93.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
- Başakşehir has the most likely position - 5 (61.07%), project points - 58, currently - 48, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for ucl.
- Umraniyespor has the most likely position - 17 (42.55%), project points - 33, currently - 26, a good chance of relegated (88%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 40, small importance 23, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Recent matches Başakşehir is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Umraniyespor is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Başakşehir could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Başakşehir is a favorite.
- There are questionable in Başakşehir: Karzev E.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Umraniyespor: Kayra Yilmaz K.
(Injury)
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Başakşehir won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.
- Including matches at home between the teams Başakşehir won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
How many head-to-head matches has İstanbul Başakşehir won against Umraniyespor?
İstanbul Başakşehir has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Umraniyespor won against İstanbul Başakşehir?
Umraniyespor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between İstanbul Başakşehir - Umraniyespor were as follows:
23.12.2022
Umraniyespor
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
1:3
Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
Latest results of Umraniyespor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 10 | 9 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Goztepe | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Konyaspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 6 |
| 5 | Samsunspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Antalyaspor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Fenerbahce | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Besiktas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Eyupspor | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 10 | Gaziantep | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
| 11 | Basaksehir | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Rizespor | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Kayserispor | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 15 | Kasimpasa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Genclerbirligi | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
| 17 | Kocaelispor | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
