İstanbul Başakşehir vs Umraniyespor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish Super League İstanbul Başakşehir - Umraniyespor
Result
1:1
17/05/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • TURKEY: SUPER LIG - ROUND 34
  • Referee: Pakkan B. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaSportKlub
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
franceFrancebeIN Sports Max
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub
turkeyTurkeybeIN Sports 1

Highlights

Chances of winning


İstanbul Başakşehir
52.3%
Draw
24.2%
Umraniyespor
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56% 24.6% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 18.9% 25.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Umraniyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with İstanbul Başakşehir that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • İstanbul Başakşehir - Umraniyespor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.67)
    3.9
    (3.81)
    4
    (4.83)
    6.3%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for İstanbul Başakşehir - Umraniyespor?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Başakşehir will win (votes: 22 - 78.6%). Umraniyespor will win (votes: 1 - 3.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Başakşehir: 63.4%93.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
    • Başakşehir has the most likely position - 5 (61.07%), project points - 58, currently - 48, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for ucl.
    • Umraniyespor has the most likely position - 17 (42.55%), project points - 33, currently - 26, a good chance of relegated (88%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
    • This event has quality 40, small importance 23, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Recent matches Başakşehir is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Umraniyespor is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Başakşehir could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Başakşehir is a favorite.
    • There are questionable in Başakşehir: Karzev E. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Umraniyespor: Kayra Yilmaz K. (Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Başakşehir won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Başakşehir won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between İstanbul Başakşehir - Umraniyespor were as follows:
    23.12.2022 Umraniyespor - İstanbul Başakşehir 1:3
    Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
    Latest results of Umraniyespor
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kayserispor00000:000
    2Trabzonspor00000:000
    3Antalyaspor00000:000
    4Gaziantep00000:000
    5Samsunspor00000:000
    6Alanyaspor00000:000
    7Eyupspor00000:000
    8Karagumruk00000:000
    9Galatasaray00000:000
    10Fenerbahce00000:000
    11Besiktas00000:000
    12Konyaspor00000:000
    13Genclerbirligi00000:000
    14Rizespor00000:000
    15Kasimpasa00000:000
    16Kocaelispor00000:000
    17Basaksehir00000:000
    18Goztepe00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig