Manisa FK vs Umraniyespor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Mumin Ozkasap Stadyumu (Manisa).

1. Lig - Round 20
Referee: Yilmaz A. (Tur)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.60	1.85
Ball possession
49%	51%
Total shots
14	13
Shots on target
8	7
Big chances
1	3
Corner kicks
3	2
Passes
82% (380/461)	82% (402/489)
Yellow cards
2	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.60	1.85
xG on target (xGOT)
1.04	1.64
Total shots
14	13
Shots on target
8	7
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked shots
0	2
Shots inside the box
6	7
Shots outside the box
8	6
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	3
Corner kicks
3	2
Touches in opposition box
15	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free kicks
10	13
Passes
82% (380/461)	82% (402/489)
Long passes
49% (28/57)	42% (27/64)
Passes in final third
64% (61/95)	70% (73/105)
Crosses
17% (3/18)	29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.44	1.73
Throw ins
23	22
Fouls
13	10
Tackles
82% (9/11)	73% (11/15)
Duels won
41	49
Clearances
10	25
Interceptions
12	12
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
7	7
xGOT faced
1.64	1.04
Goals prevented
1.64	0.04

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kiprit M. ↓, Cissokho M. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Diony L. ⚽, Lindseth J. (A),
63', Ekincier B. ↓, Ozdemir T. ↑,
63', Celik B. ↓, Kosoko T. ↑,
71', Karapo A. 🟨,
71', Goksu S. ↓, Hoti E. ↑,
71', Bardhi J. ↓, Babacan A. ↑,
83', Benny ↓, Soukou C. ↑,
84', Karapo A. ↓, Kahraman O. ↑,
89', Glumac T. 🟨,
90+3', Karakus V. 🟨,
90+5', Adekanye B. ↓, Sen A. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Manisa FK
52.5%

Draw
24.8%

Umraniyespor
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

24.9%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

24.2%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manisa FK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Manisa FK - Umraniyespor Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.78)	3.66 ↑ (3.65)	4.08 ↑ (3.83)	9% (9.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Manisa FK - Umraniyespor?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Manisa (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.5 - Manisa (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -2 - Umraniyespor (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Manisa FK will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Manisa (votes: 3 - 60%). Umraniyespor (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manisa won 2.
Manisa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Umraniyespor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Manisa is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Umraniyespor: Saitoglu Y. (Suspended)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Manisa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.3:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Manisa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Manisa FK won against Umraniyespor?

Manisa FK has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Umraniyespor won against Manisa FK?

Umraniyespor has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Manisa FK - Umraniyespor were as follows:

08.08.2025 Umraniyespor - Manisa FK 2:1

10.05.2025 Umraniyespor - Manisa FK 0:1

13.01.2025 Manisa FK - Umraniyespor 0:3

11.03.2024 Manisa FK - Umraniyespor 3:2

22.10.2023 Umraniyespor - Manisa FK 3:2

Latest results of Manisa FK

26.12.2025 Sakaryaspor - Manisa FK 0:2 ✺

20.12.2025 Manisa FK - Keçiörengücü 2:2 ✺

13.12.2025 Serik Belediyespor - Manisa FK 0:1 ✺

07.12.2025 Manisa FK - Vanspor 2:1 ✺

28.11.2025 Pendikspor - Manisa FK 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Umraniyespor

28.12.2025 Keçiörengücü - Umraniyespor 3:1 ✺

21.12.2025 Umraniyespor - Adana Demirspor 5:0 ✺

14.12.2025 Vanspor - Umraniyespor 0:1 ✺

06.12.2025 Umraniyespor - Amed SK 3:4 ✺

29.11.2025 Sakaryaspor - Umraniyespor 1:1 ✺

Turkish First League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Erzurumspor	28	17	9	2	60:19	41	60
2	Erokspor	28	17	8	3	67:22	45	59
3	Amedspor	28	16	7	5	58:32	26	55
4	Corum	28	15	5	8	44:31	13	50
5	Bodrumspor	28	14	6	8	58:29	29	48
6	Pendikspor	28	13	9	6	43:22	21	48
7	Igdir FK	28	12	8	8	38:37	1	44
8	Bandirmaspor	28	12	6	10	40:32	8	42
9	Keciorengucu	28	10	10	8	53:36	17	40
10	Manisa FK	28	11	7	10	42:41	1	40
11	Boluspor	28	11	5	12	47:40	7	38
12	Vanspor FK	28	10	8	10	39:32	7	38
13	Sivasspor	28	9	11	8	36:29	7	38
14	Istanbulspor AS	28	9	11	8	37:41	-4	38
15	Sariyer	28	10	5	13	30:35	-5	35
16	Umraniyespor	28	9	5	14	33:38	-5	32
17	Serik Spor	28	8	5	15	29:54	-25	29
18	Sakaryaspor	28	6	7	15	34:52	-18	25
19	Hatayspor	28	0	7	21	20:77	-57	7
20	Adana Demirspor ✔	28	0	3	25	16:125	-109	-39

      Promotion ~ Super Lig
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

Adana Demirspor is Relegated to