Result
0:1
10/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 38
- Referee: Dursun Y. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Avaz, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (475/549) | 73% (224/306) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (475/549) | 73% (224/306) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (29/55) | 32% (15/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (98/130) | 75% (82/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 4% (1/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 43% (9/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.73 | 0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', Kiprit M. ↓, Diallo D. ↑,
- 67', Soukou C. ↓, Goksu S. ↑,
- 73', Toure B. ↓, Dani Ramirez ↑,
- 75', 0 - 1, Dani Ramirez ⚽, Fofana M. (A),
- 77', Goksu S. 🟨,
- 85', Apaydin F. ↓, Bulbul A. T. ↑,
- 85', Bardhi J. ↓, Sertkaya Y. ↑,
- 86', Minchev G. ↓, Akgun E. ↑,
- 90+2', Diallo D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Umraniyespor
25.6% | Draw
23.4% | Manisa FK
51% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Umraniyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Umraniyespor's performance.Manisa FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manisa FK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Umraniyespor that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (+14.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manisa FK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Umraniyespor - Manisa FK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.74 ↓
(5.73) |
4.02 ↓
(4.37) |
1.8 ↑
(1.46) |
7%
(9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Umraniyespor - Manisa FK?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Umraniyespor will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Manisa will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Manisa: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Manisa FK will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Manisa is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Umraniyespor: Ekincier B.
(Red Card)
Hoti E.
(Yellow Cards)
Kocaturk Y.
(Knee Injury)
Uluag E.
(Inactive)
Yildirim O.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Manisa: Celik M.
(Inactive)
Cissokho M.
(Yellow Cards)
Hodzic A.
(Inactive)
Osuji B.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Umraniyespor won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Umraniyespor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Umraniyespor won against Manisa FK?
Umraniyespor has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Manisa FK won against Umraniyespor?
Manisa FK has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Umraniyespor - Manisa FK were as follows:
13.01.2025
Manisa FK
-
Umraniyespor
0:3
11.03.2024
Manisa FK
-
Umraniyespor
3:2
22.10.2023
Umraniyespor
-
Manisa FK
3:2
Latest results of Umraniyespor
Latest results of Manisa FK
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Karagumruk (3) | Bye | |
| 3 | Bandirmaspor (5) | Erzurumspor (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Istanbulspor AS (4) | Boluspor (7) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Karagumruk (3) | Bye | |
| 2 | Bandirmaspor (5) | Boluspor (7) | 1 : 0, 4 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Karagumruk (3) | Bandirmaspor (5) | 3 : 1 |
