Result
1:0
12/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 20
- Referee: Yilmaz A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.85 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (380/461) | 82% (402/489) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (380/461) | 82% (402/489) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (28/57) | 42% (27/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (61/95) | 70% (73/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kiprit M. ↓, Cissokho M. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 0, Diony L. ⚽, Lindseth J. (A),
- 63', Ekincier B. ↓, Ozdemir T. ↑,
- 63', Celik B. ↓, Kosoko T. ↑,
- 71', Karapo A. 🟨,
- 71', Goksu S. ↓, Hoti E. ↑,
- 71', Bardhi J. ↓, Babacan A. ↑,
- 83', Benny ↓, Soukou C. ↑,
- 84', Karapo A. ↓, Kahraman O. ↑,
- 89', Glumac T. 🟨,
- 90+3', Karakus V. 🟨,
- 90+5', Adekanye B. ↓, Sen A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Manisa FK
52.5% | Draw
24.8% | Umraniyespor
22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Manisa FK - Umraniyespor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(1.78) |
3.66 ↑
(3.65) |
4.08 ↑
(3.83) |
9%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Manisa FK - Umraniyespor?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Manisa (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Manisa (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -2 - Umraniyespor (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Manisa FK will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Manisa (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Umraniyespor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manisa won 2.
- Manisa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Umraniyespor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Manisa is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Umraniyespor: Saitoglu Y.
(Suspended)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Manisa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Manisa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Manisa FK won against Umraniyespor?
Manisa FK has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Umraniyespor won against Manisa FK?
Umraniyespor has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Manisa FK - Umraniyespor were as follows:
08.08.2025
Umraniyespor
-
Manisa FK
2:1
10.05.2025
Umraniyespor
-
Manisa FK
0:1
13.01.2025
Manisa FK
-
Umraniyespor
0:3
11.03.2024
Manisa FK
-
Umraniyespor
3:2
22.10.2023
Umraniyespor
-
Manisa FK
3:2
Latest results of Manisa FK
Latest results of Umraniyespor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amedspor | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 43:27 | 16 | 42 |
| 2 | Erzurumspor | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 37:17 | 20 | 39 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 46:20 | 26 | 38 |
| 4 | Pendikspor | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 38 |
| 5 | Corum | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 32:22 | 10 | 35 |
| 6 | Bodrumspor | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 39:20 | 19 | 33 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 30:28 | 2 | 33 |
| 8 | Boluspor | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 38:23 | 15 | 32 |
| 9 | Keciorengucu | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 38:25 | 13 | 30 |
| 10 | Bandirmaspor | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 26:22 | 4 | 30 |
| 11 | Vanspor FK | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 27:21 | 6 | 28 |
| 12 | Sivasspor | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 26:22 | 4 | 28 |
| 13 | Istanbulspor AS | 21 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 30:32 | -2 | 28 |
| 14 | Manisa FK | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31:33 | -2 | 27 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 16 | Serik Spor | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 23:37 | -14 | 26 |
| 17 | Umraniyespor | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 25:30 | -5 | 24 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 32:40 | -8 | 23 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 21 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 18:57 | -39 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 21 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15:92 | -77 | -28 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
