Result
2:1
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 15', Cesinha 🟨,
- 30', Eberth 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 1, Souza E. ⚽, Duda (A),
- 37', 1 - 1, Grilo M. ⚽, Teixeira R. (A),
- 41', 2 - 1, Eberth ⚽, Ventura B. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', David Rebelo ↓, Machado J. ↑,
- 57', Eberth ↓, Goncalves E. F. ↑,
- 62', Lucas J. ↓, Barros E. ↑,
- 63', Barros E. 🟨,
- 68', Bandarra M. ↓, Bruninho ↑,
- 68', Cesinha ↓, Cuca ↑,
- 84', Bruninho 🟨,
- 84', Duda ↓, Nuno Tomas ↑,
- 84', Ventura B. ↓, Koume S. ↑,
- 86', Nuno Tomas 🟨,
- 90+1', Teixeira R. ↓, Monteiro D. ↑,
- 90+1', Grilo M. ↓, Medalli N. ↑,
Chances of winning
União de Santarém
27.7% | Draw
30.7% | Belenenses
41.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
União de Santarém has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
União de Santarém - Belenenses Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.31 ↓
(3.64) |
2.99 ↑
(2.96) |
2.21 ↑
(2.03) |
9%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for União de Santarém - Belenenses?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Santarém will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Belenenses will win (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): União de Santarém will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Santarém is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Belenenses is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Belenenses may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Belenenses is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Santarém won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Santarém won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has União de Santarém won against Belenenses?
União de Santarém has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Belenenses won against União de Santarém?
Belenenses has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between União de Santarém - Belenenses were as follows:
02.11.2025
Belenenses
-
União de Santarém
0:2
12.01.2025
Belenenses
-
União de Santarém
2:0
29.09.2024
União de Santarém
-
Belenenses
1:2
Latest results of União de Santarém
Latest results of Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Varzim | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Academica | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Amarante | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Santarem | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Mafra | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Trofense | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
