Result
0:2
08/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Horta Leitao D. ⚽, Bandarra M. (A),
- 16', Afonso A. 🟨,
- 28', Souza E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 42', Morgado T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Koume S. ↓, Eberth ↑,
- 50', Vinhas D. 🟨,
- 60', Pereira P. ↓, Ayiah E. ↑,
- 60', Ventura B. ↓, Bura ↑,
- 62', 0 - 2, Souza E. ⚽,
- 69', Souza E. ↓, Gastao J. ↑,
- 69', Bandarra M. ↓, Machado J. ↑,
- 71', Simoes J. ↓, Teixeira G. ↑,
- 72', Pinto A. 🟨,
- 78', Duda ↓, Cuca ↑,
- 78', Afonso A. ↓, Sambu M. ↑,
- 90', Horta Leitao D. ↓, Eduardo W. ↑,
Chances of winning
União de Santarém
29.3% | Draw
31.4% | Belenenses
39.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
União de Santarém has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
União de Santarém - Belenenses Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.14 ↑
(2.94) |
2.94 ↑
(2.82) |
2.34 ↓
(2.47) |
8.6%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Belenenses may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Santarém won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santarém won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has União de Santarém won against Belenenses?
União de Santarém has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Belenenses won against União de Santarém?
Belenenses has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between União de Santarém - Belenenses were as follows:
24.01.2026
União de Santarém
-
Belenenses
2:1
02.11.2025
Belenenses
-
União de Santarém
0:2
12.01.2025
Belenenses
-
União de Santarém
2:0
29.09.2024
União de Santarém
-
Belenenses
1:2
Latest results of União de Santarém
Latest results of Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Academica | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Amarante | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Santarem | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 6 | Varzim | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | Trofense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 |
| 8 | Mafra | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
