Caldas vs União de Santarém – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
19/12/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
45
Shots on target
03
Corner Kicks
111
Yellow Cards
14
Total shots
45
Shots on target
03
Shots off target
42
Corner Kicks
111

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Pereira P. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Aguas G. , Ventura B. ,
  • 46', Pipo , Ewandro Santos ,
  • 55', 0 - 2, Ventura B. ,
  • 57', 🟨,
  • 64', Monteiro E. , Lopes D. ,
  • 64', Chaves G. , Gata J. ,
  • 74', Alexandre R. , Farinha L. ,
  • 76', 🟨,
  • 78', Castro T. , Madeira T. ,
  • 89', Eberth 🟨,
  • 89', Pires Gomes J. R. 🟨,
  • 90', Eberth , Bamba ,
  • 90+1', Hidalgo N. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Grilo M. , Medalli N. ,

Chances of winning


Caldas
45%
Draw
29.3%
União de Santarém
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 29.1% 24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6% 29.3% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • União de Santarém has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldas than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Caldas - União de Santarém Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.97)
    3.12
    (3.13)
    3.57
    (3.71)
    9.2%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caldas won 2.
    • Caldas has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Santarém has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Caldas might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Caldas won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Caldas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Caldas - União de Santarém were as follows:
    24.09.2025 União de Santarém - Caldas 0:1
    12.04.2025 Caldas - União de Santarém 0:1
    15.12.2024 Caldas - União de Santarém 0:3
    01.09.2024 União de Santarém - Caldas 0:1
    Latest results of Caldas
    14.12.2025 1 Dezembro - Caldas 2:0
    07.12.2025 Caldas - Atlético CP 0:1
    30.11.2025 Caldas - Amora 1:2
    23.11.2025 Tondela - Caldas 0:1
    09.11.2025 Covilhã - Caldas 2:1
    Latest results of União de Santarém
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Guimaraes B42116:337
    2Academica32016:426
    3Amarante32014:316
    4Varzim42024:5-16
    5Os Belenenses41216:605
    6Mafra31112:204
    7Santarem31023:5-23
    8Trofense40222:5-32

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )