União de Santarém vs Mafra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 1

Chances of winning


União de Santarém
33.8%
Draw
30.7%
Mafra
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.5% 31.8% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2% 31.5% 37.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • União de Santarém has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • União de Santarém - Mafra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.65
    (2.93)
    2.92
    (2.9)
    2.53
    (2.52)
    11.7%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Santarém won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santarém won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between União de Santarém - Mafra were as follows:
    16.01.2026 Mafra - União de Santarém 0:0
    26.10.2025 União de Santarém - Mafra 1:2
    02.10.2022 União de Santarém - Mafra 0:1
    Latest results of União de Santarém
    Latest results of Mafra
    21.02.2026 Amarante - Mafra 1:0
    15.02.2026 Mafra - Varzim 1:0
    24.01.2026 Atlético CP - Mafra 1:2
    10.01.2026 1 Dezembro - Mafra 1:1
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Varzim32014:226
    2Os Belenenses31205:415
    3Vitoria Guimaraes B31113:304
    4Academica21013:303
    5Amarante21012:203
    6Santarem21012:203
    7Mafra21011:103
    8Trofense30121:4-31

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