Result
16/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Mafra
56.4% | Draw
26% | União de Santarém
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Mafra - União de Santarém Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.75) |
3.48 ↑
(3.4) |
5.16 ↑
(4.79) |
10.4%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ))
- Mafra is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- In this match, Mafra is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Mafra will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mafra won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Mafra won against União de Santarém?
Mafra has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has União de Santarém won against Mafra?
União de Santarém has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mafra - União de Santarém were as follows:
26.10.2025
União de Santarém
-
Mafra
1:2
02.10.2022
União de Santarém
-
Mafra
0:1
Latest results of União de Santarém
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amarante | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 18:16 | 2 | 27 |
| 2 | Trofense | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 22:13 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Paredes | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 20:11 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Braga B | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 23 |
| 5 | AD Fafe | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 23 |
| 6 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 16:14 | 2 | 23 |
| 7 | Varzim | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 22 |
| 8 | AD Marco 09 ✔ | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 16 |
| 9 | Sao Joao Ver ✔ | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 10:24 | -14 | 13 |
| 10 | Sanjoanense ✔ | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18:27 | -9 | 13 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Os Belenenses ✔ | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 25:14 | 11 | 35 |
| 2 | Mafra ✔ | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 26:18 | 8 | 30 |
| 3 | Academica | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Santarem | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 21 |
| 5 | Atletico CP | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 | Caldas | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 18 |
| 7 | Lusitano GC | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:18 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 | Amora | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17:20 | -3 | 18 |
| 9 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 16 |
| 10 | Covilha | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
AD Marco 09 is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Sao Joao Ver is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Sanjoanense is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Os Belenenses is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
Mafra is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
