União de Santarém vs Mafra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 União de Santarém - Mafra
Result
1:2
26/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
316
Shots on target
18
Corner Kicks
111
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
10
Total shots
316
Shots on target
18
Shots off target
28
Corner Kicks
111

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', Iheanacho S. 🟨,
  • 17', Sambu B. 🟨,
  • 20', Koume S. 🟨,
  • 26', 0 - 1, Niang M. , Beni D. (A),
  • 35', Koume S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Madeira T. , Eberth ,
  • 57', Medalli N. , Castro T. ,
  • 58', 0 - 2, Goncalves V. (Pen),
  • 59', Sambu B. , Ninte M. ,
  • 59', Iheanacho S. , Lucas Gabriel ,
  • 66', Reis N. , Teixeira R. ,
  • 67', 1 - 2, Eberth , Joao Ricardo (A),
  • 84', Monteiro D. , Rodeia M. ,
  • 84', Aguas G. , Silva R. ,
  • 84', Goncalves V. , Ferreira J. ,
  • 84', Alves K. , Serra S. ,
  • 84', Pinto R. , Rossi R. ,

Chances of winning


União de Santarém
32.3%
Draw
30.7%
Mafra
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 31.1% 38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3% 31.6% 37.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • União de Santarém has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • União de Santarém - Mafra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.87
    (3.05)
    3.02
    (3.02)
    2.5
    (2.46)
    8%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).
    • Santarém has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Mafra has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Santarém has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Santarém won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    • Including home match between the teams, Santarém won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between União de Santarém - Mafra were as follows:
    02.10.2022 União de Santarém - Mafra 0:1
    Latest results of União de Santarém
    Latest results of Mafra
    11.10.2025 Mafra - Amora 2:0
    05.10.2025 Mafra - 1 Dezembro 3:1
    28.09.2025 Caldas - Mafra 1:1
    21.09.2025 Celoricense - Mafra 1:0
    14.09.2025 Covilhã - Mafra 0:0
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trofense843113:6715
    2Sanjoanense826013:10312
    3Braga B83327:7012
    4AD Fafe83329:9012
    5Varzim824213:10310
    6AD Marco 0981614:5-19
    7Amarante82246:10-48
    8Paredes81528:808
    9Vitoria Guimaraes B81437:8-17
    10Sao Joao Ver81435:12-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Caldas852111:7417
    2Os Belenenses851210:7316
    3Mafra843111:8315
    4Academica841313:8513
    5Atletico CP83148:6210
    61u00ba Dezembro82336:11-59
    7Amora82248:11-38
    8Santarem82245:9-48
    9Lusitano GC82159:10-17
    10Covilha81434:8-47

          Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
          Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )