Result
3:1
04/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 1
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Simoes J. ⚽, Vinhas D. (A),
- 26', Alves K. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 1, Iheanacho S. ⚽, Alves K. (A),
- 44', 2 - 1, Goncalves E. F. ⚽, Grilo M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Matos R. ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,
- 46', Alves K. ↓, Rossi R. ↑,
- 49', Xico ↓, Precatado J. ↑,
- 62', Koume S. ↓, Ayiah E. ↑,
- 64', 🟨,
- 64', 3 - 1, Grilo M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 71', Grilo M. 🟨,
- 72', Rodrigues M. ↓, Bura ↑,
- 77', Ninte M. 🟨,
- 79', Andrey 🟨,
- 82', Pinto R. ↓, Goba Zakpa ↑,
- 82', Simoes J. 🟨,
- 86', Goba Zakpa 🟨,
- 89', Ventura B. ↓, Teixeira G. ↑,
- 89', Goncalves E. F. ↓, Medalli N. ↑,
- 90+1', Camara M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
União de Santarém 30.3% | Draw 30.8% | Mafra 38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
União de Santarém has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
União de Santarém - Mafra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.02 ↑ (2.93) |
2.97 ↑ (2.9) |
2.35 ↓ (2.52) |
9.5% (8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Santarém won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santarém won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has União de Santarém won against Mafra?
União de Santarém has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mafra won against União de Santarém?
Mafra has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between União de Santarém - Mafra were as follows:
16.01.2026
Mafra
-
União de Santarém
0:0
26.10.2025
União de Santarém
-
Mafra
1:2
02.10.2022
União de Santarém
-
Mafra
0:1
Latest results of União de Santarém
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Academica | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Amarante | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Santarem | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 6 | Varzim | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | Trofense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 |
| 8 | Mafra | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )