União de Santarém vs Mafra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
04/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 1

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
89
Shots on target
45
Corner kicks
36
Yellow cards
26
Total shots
89
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
44
Corner kicks
36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Simoes J. , Vinhas D. (A),
  • 26', Alves K. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 1, Iheanacho S. , Alves K. (A),
  • 44', 2 - 1, Goncalves E. F. , Grilo M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Matos R. , Ferreira J. ,
  • 46', Alves K. , Rossi R. ,
  • 49', Xico , Precatado J. ,
  • 62', Koume S. , Ayiah E. ,
  • 64', 🟨,
  • 64', 3 - 1, Grilo M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 71', Grilo M. 🟨,
  • 72', Rodrigues M. , Bura ,
  • 77', Ninte M. 🟨,
  • 79', Andrey 🟨,
  • 82', Pinto R. , Goba Zakpa ,
  • 82', Simoes J. 🟨,
  • 86', Goba Zakpa 🟨,
  • 89', Ventura B. , Teixeira G. ,
  • 89', Goncalves E. F. , Medalli N. ,
  • 90+1', Camara M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


União de Santarém
30.3%
Draw
30.8%
Mafra
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.5% 31.8% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2% 31.5% 37.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • União de Santarém has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • União de Santarém - Mafra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.02
    (2.93)
    2.97
    (2.9)
    2.35
    (2.52)
    9.5%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Santarém won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santarém won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between União de Santarém - Mafra were as follows:
    16.01.2026 Mafra - União de Santarém 0:0
    26.10.2025 União de Santarém - Mafra 1:2
    02.10.2022 União de Santarém - Mafra 0:1
    Latest results of União de Santarém
    Latest results of Mafra
    27.02.2026 Trofense - Mafra 1:1
    21.02.2026 Amarante - Mafra 1:0
    15.02.2026 Mafra - Varzim 1:0
    24.01.2026 Atlético CP - Mafra 1:2
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Academica54019:4512
    2Amarante54017:4312
    3Os Belenenses632111:8311
    4Vitoria Guimaraes B63129:6310
    5Santarem62047:10-36
    6Varzim62046:9-36
    7Trofense61234:7-35
    8Mafra61144:9-54

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