Result
04/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 1
Chances of winning
União de Santarém 33.8% | Draw 30.7% | Mafra 35.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
União de Santarém has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
União de Santarém - Mafra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.65 ↓ (2.93) |
2.92 ↑ (2.9) |
2.53 ↑ (2.52) |
11.7% (8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Santarém won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santarém won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has União de Santarém won against Mafra?
União de Santarém has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mafra won against União de Santarém?
Mafra has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between União de Santarém - Mafra were as follows:
16.01.2026
Mafra
-
União de Santarém
0:0
26.10.2025
União de Santarém
-
Mafra
1:2
02.10.2022
União de Santarém
-
Mafra
0:1
Latest results of União de Santarém
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Varzim | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Academica | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Amarante | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Santarem | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Mafra | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Trofense | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )