Result
0:2
05/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHILE: Liga de Primera - Round 4
- Referee: Carvajal R. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.56 | 0.61 |
Ball Possession |
---|
56% | 44% |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
79% (290/369) | 71% (207/292) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 4 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.56 | 0.61 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.61 | 0.32 |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
31 | 21 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
7 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
18 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
79% (290/369) | 71% (207/292) |
Long passes |
---|
67% (40/60) | 46% (26/57) |
Passes in final third |
---|
66% (94/142) | 63% (61/97) |
Crosses |
---|
25% (5/20) | 19% (3/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.44 | 0.75 |
Throw-ins |
---|
25 | 26 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 18 |
Tackles |
---|
80% (12/15) | 69% (18/26) |
Duels won |
---|
48 | 52 |
Clearances |
---|
24 | 39 |
Interceptions |
---|
13 | 16 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.32 | 0.61 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.30 | 0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', Jeraldino I. 🟨,
- 16', Contreras K. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 1, Sepulveda M. ⚽, Castellon G. (A),
- 34', Altamirano J. 🟨,
- 37', Di Yorio L. 🟨,
- 38', Di Yorio L. 🟨,
- 44', Ramirez S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Altamirano J. ↓, Guerrero Pena M. G. ↑,
- 46', Contreras K. ↓, Celis M. ↑,
- 46', Ramirez S. ↓, Vasquez R. ↑,
- 70', Jauregui B. ↓, Uribe A. ↑,
- 70', Alarcon R. ↓, Norambuena G. ↑,
- 73', Guerra N. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
- 83', Fernandez L. ↓, Assadi L. ↑,
- 85', Ramirez N. 🟨,
- 87', Aranguiz P. 🟨,
- 90', Diaz M. ↓, Montes G. ↑,
- 90+7', 0 - 2, Assadi L. ⚽, Montes G. (A),
Chances of winning
Unión Española 16.8% | Draw 21.9% | Universidad de Chile 61.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Española's form might have worsened.Universidad de Chile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad de Chile's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Española, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (-16.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad de Chile, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Unión Española - Universidad de Chile Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.46 ↑ (3.42) |
4.22 ↑ (3.27) |
1.58 ↓ (2.11) |
5.5% (7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Unión Española - Universidad de Chile?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Unión Española will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Universidad de Chile: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Universidad de Chile (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión Española won 1.
- Unión Española is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Universidad de Chile is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Universidad de Chile could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Universidad de Chile is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Unión Española won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 18:29 (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Unión Española won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:15 (average 1.2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Española won against Universidad de Chile?
Unión Española has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad de Chile won against Unión Española?
Universidad de Chile has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Española - Universidad de Chile were as follows:
27.08.2024
Universidad de Chile
-
Unión Española
2:0
07.04.2024
Unión Española
-
Universidad de Chile
0:1
20.01.2024
Unión Española
-
Universidad de Chile
0:4
17.07.2023
Unión Española
-
Universidad de Chile
3:0
28.01.2023
Universidad de Chile
-
Unión Española
1:0
Latest results of Unión Española
Latest results of Universidad de Chile
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coquimbo | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 23:8 | 15 | 35 |
2 | A. Italiano | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 33 |
3 | U. De Chile | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 35:16 | 19 | 32 |
4 | Palestino | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22:14 | 8 | 28 |
5 | U. Catolica | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | O'Higgins | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 26 |
7 | Colo Colo | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:18 | 8 | 24 |
8 | Cobresal | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19:18 | 1 | 23 |
9 | Union La Calera | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:14 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Huachipato | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 21 |
11 | Nublense | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:24 | -7 | 20 |
12 | La Serena | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 20:29 | -9 | 17 |
13 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:25 | -10 | 15 |
14 | Limache | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | U. Espanola | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 15:30 | -15 | 10 |
16 | Deportes Iquique | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 16:36 | -20 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso