Result
1:3
14/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (330/405) | 69% (216/315) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 2.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (330/405) | 69% (216/315) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (29/46) | 29% (22/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (55/93) | 55% (55/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 9% (2/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.23 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.77 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Suso G. 🟨,
- 41', Garayalde N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Briasco N. ↓, Jan Hurtado ↑,
- 47', 0 - 1, Del Blanco M. ⚽, Tarragona C. (A),
- 48', Del Blanco M. 🟨,
- 52', 1 - 1, Torres M. ⚽, Seoane M. (A),
- 57', 1 - 2, Tarragona C. ⚽,
- 62', 1 - 3, Martinez M. ⚽,
- 64', Garayalde N. ↓, Castro L. ↑,
- 64', Merlo J. ↓, Merlini B. ↑,
- 64', Panaro M. ↓, Sosa A. ↑,
- 73', Palacios J. ↓, Solari A. ↑,
- 73', Estigarribia M. ↓, Gamba L. ↑,
- 74', Silva Torrejon P. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
- 79', Vargas L. 🟨,
- 82', Giampaoli R. 🟨,
- 83', Tarragona C. ↓, Colazo A. ↑,
- 83', Fragapane F. ↓, Alvarez E. ↑,
- 88', Martinez M. ↓, Profini R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gimnasia La Plata
28.3% | Draw
32.9% | Unión Santa Fe
38.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnasia La Plata's form might have worsened.Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unión Santa Fe's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+11.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnasia La Plata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-10.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión Santa Fe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gimnasia La Plata - Unión Santa Fe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.27 ↑
(2.38) |
2.9 ↓
(2.94) |
2.48 ↓
(3.28) |
5.5%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Gimnasia La Plata - Unión Santa Fe?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Unión will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Briasco N.
(Muscle Injury)
Mammini I.
(Knee Injury)
Melluso M.
(Muscle Injury)
Torres F.
(Knee Injury)
Villarreal S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Unión: Pitton B.
(Knee Injury)
Rodriguez M.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia La Plata won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Gimnasia La Plata won against Unión Santa Fe?
Gimnasia La Plata has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Santa Fe won against Gimnasia La Plata?
Unión Santa Fe has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia La Plata - Unión Santa Fe were as follows:
01.03.2025
Unión Santa Fe
-
Gimnasia La Plata
1:0
28.10.2024
Gimnasia La Plata
-
Unión Santa Fe
2:3
04.06.2023
Unión Santa Fe
-
Gimnasia La Plata
2:0
Latest results of Gimnasia La Plata
Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Union de Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 4 | Tigre | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 16 |
| 5 | Estudiantes L.P | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | Huracan | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 16 |
| 7 | Argentinos Jrs | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:8 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Central Cordoba | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 10 | Banfield | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 | Belgrano | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3:14 | -11 | 6 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Riestra | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 14:6 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | Lanus | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 20 |
| 4 | River Plate | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | Rosario Central | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | Atl. Tucuman | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Gimnasia L.P | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 7:12 | -5 | 13 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | Instituto | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 12 |
| 11 | San Martin S.J | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Talleres Cordoba | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Platense | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Independiente | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
