Unión Santa Fe vs Gimnasia La Plata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
24/11/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesDubai Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.121.35
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
236
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
79% (313/396)64% (146/227)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.121.35
xG on target (xGOT)
1.171.12
Total shots
236
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
122
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
144
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
3910
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
129
Passes
79% (313/396)64% (146/227)
Long passes
38% (23/60)45% (31/69)
Passes in final third
65% (99/152)60% (41/68)
Crosses
36% (14/39)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.270.38
Throw-ins
2812
Fouls
912
Tackles
55% (6/11)63% (12/19)
Duels won
4454
Clearances
1247
Interceptions
618
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
1.121.17
Goals prevented
-0.880.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Panaro M. ,
  • 24', 0 - 2, Martinez E. , Schelotto N. (A),
  • 26', Martinez M. 🟨,
  • 28', Martinez E. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Max A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Fragapane F. , Palavecino N. ,
  • 54', 1 - 2, Tarragona C. , Palacios J. (A),
  • 64', Vargas L. , Alvarez E. ,
  • 64', Colazo A. , Estigarribia M. ,
  • 64', Martinez M. , Solari A. ,
  • 67', Merlini B. , Aguiar P. ,
  • 67', Piedrahita A. , Merlo J. ,
  • 77', Palacios J. , Diaz D. ,
  • 83', Schelotto N. 🟨,
  • 84', Fascendini V. 🟨,
  • 86', Schelotto N. , German Conti ,
  • 86', Panaro M. , Briasco N. ,
  • 90+1', Torres M. , Jan Hurtado ,
  • 90+2', Insfran N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Unión Santa Fe
53.2%
Draw
28.3%
Gimnasia La Plata
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.8% 29.8% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 28.5% 22.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Santa Fe's performance.
  • Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (2)
    3.36
    (3.14)
    5.02
    (4)
    4.9%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Unión (1.93) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Gimnasia La Plata (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Unión Santa Fe will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Unión Santa Fe will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Unión (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Gimnasia La Plata (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Gimnasia La Plata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Unión is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Unión won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Unión won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 0.9:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Unión Santa Fe 1:3
    01.03.2025 Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata 1:0
    28.10.2024 Gimnasia La Plata - Unión Santa Fe 2:3
    04.06.2023 Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata 2:0
    Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
    Latest results of Gimnasia La Plata
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1164112:6622
    2Estudiantes L.P1163214:5921
    3Defensa y Justicia1147015:8719
    4Lanus1053216:12418
    5Talleres Cordoba1153312:10218
    6Boca Juniors1145213:7617
    7Union de Santa Fe1144316:12416
    8Independiente1135317:15214
    9Platense113536:7-114
    10San Lorenzo1034310:11-113
    11Central Cordoba113355:12-712
    12Instituto1132611:15-411
    13Gimnasia Mendoza112366:13-79
    14Dep. Riestra100642:6-46
    15Newells Old Boys111377:22-156


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1172218:12623
    2River Plate1162314:9520
    3Belgrano1154212:9319
    4Racing Club1153315:10518
    5Rosario Central1153312:9318
    6Tigre1145216:10617
    7Barracas Central1144310:9116
    8Argentinos Jrs93516:4214
    9Huracan113539:9014
    10Gimnasia L.P1142513:15-214
    11Banfield1141612:13-113
    12Sarmiento Junin114168:11-313
    13Atl. Tucuman1123612:16-49
    14Aldosivi100553:11-85
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto111193:17-144

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)