Unión Santa Fe vs Independiente Rivadavia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
20/09/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 9
  • Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.41
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
83% (413/500)72% (175/243)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.41
xG on target (xGOT)
1.351.37
Total shots
146
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
1316
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1315
Passes
83% (413/500)72% (175/243)
Long passes
59% (43/73)52% (28/54)
Passes in final third
70% (100/142)58% (48/83)
Crosses
18% (7/38)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.540.43
Throw-ins
2320
Fouls
1513
Tackles
81% (13/16)80% (8/10)
Duels won
5240
Clearances
1533
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.371.35
Goals prevented
0.370.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Pitton M. (Own goal),
  • 42', 1 - 1, Tarragona C. (Pen),
  • 43', Amarfil M. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Arce A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', 2 - 1, Villalba I. (Own goal),
  • 59', Studer S. 🟨,
  • 61', Costa L. , Retamar K. ,
  • 62', Martinez M. , Profini R. ,
  • 62', Palacios J. , Solari A. ,
  • 64', 2 - 2, Arce A. , Villa S. (A),
  • 67', Retamar K. 🟨,
  • 69', Amarfil M. , Cardillo M. ,
  • 73', Fragapane F. , Palavecino N. ,
  • 80', Fernandez M. , Sartori F. ,
  • 80', Bonifacio E. , Peinipil M. ,
  • 80', Gomez L. , Souto P. ,
  • 86', Estigarribia M. , Diaz D. ,
  • 90', Pitton M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Unión Santa Fe
50.4%
Draw
28.4%
Independiente Rivadavia
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.6% 31.7% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 30.4% 21.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Unión Santa Fe - Independiente Rivadavia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (2.06)
    3.34
    (2.96)
    4.52
    (4.13)
    4.9%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Unión Santa Fe - Independiente Rivadavia?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Unión Santa Fe will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Unión Santa Fe will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión won 4.
    • Unión is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Independiente R has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Independiente R may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Unión is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Unión won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Unión won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Santa Fe - Independiente Rivadavia were as follows:
    10.03.2025 Independiente Rivadavia - Unión Santa Fe 2:0
    04.06.2024 Independiente Rivadavia - Unión Santa Fe 0:1
    24.02.2024 Unión Santa Fe - Independiente Rivadavia 4:1
    Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
    Latest results of Independiente Rivadavia
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield85309:4518
    2Estudiantes L.P84317:3415
    3Union de Santa Fe842211:5614
    4Independiente834111:7413
    5Platense83415:3213
    6San Lorenzo83327:5212
    7Defensa y Justicia82607:5212
    8Talleres Cordoba83238:9-111
    9Boca Juniors72326:519
    10Lanus62319:909
    11Instituto82249:10-18
    12Central Cordoba82243:6-38
    13Gimnasia Mendoza82245:10-58
    14Dep. Riestra80532:5-35
    15Newells Old Boys80265:16-112


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia852112:8417
    2Tigre843114:7715
    3Belgrano74309:4515
    4Rosario Central842210:6414
    5River Plate83238:8011
    6Gimnasia L.P83239:10-111
    7Banfield83149:9010
    8Argentinos Jrs62314:319
    9Barracas Central82336:7-19
    10Huracan72325:6-19
    11Racing Club72238:9-18
    12Sarmiento Junin72055:9-46
    13Atl. Tucuman71249:10-15
    14Estudiantes Rio Cuarto71153:11-84
    15Aldosivi70342:8-63

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)