Unión Santa Fe vs Independiente Rivadavia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
20/09/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 9
  • Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.41
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
83% (413/500)72% (175/243)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.41
xG on target (xGOT)
1.351.37
Total shots
146
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
1316
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1315
Passes
83% (413/500)72% (175/243)
Long passes
59% (43/73)52% (28/54)
Passes in final third
70% (100/142)58% (48/83)
Crosses
18% (7/38)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.540.43
Throw-ins
2320
Fouls
1513
Tackles
81% (13/16)80% (8/10)
Duels won
5240
Clearances
1533
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.371.35
Goals prevented
0.370.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Pitton M. (Own goal),
  • 42', 1 - 1, Tarragona C. (Pen),
  • 43', Amarfil M. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Arce A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', 2 - 1, Villalba I. (Own goal),
  • 59', Studer S. 🟨,
  • 61', Costa L. , Retamar K. ,
  • 62', Martinez M. , Profini R. ,
  • 62', Palacios J. , Solari A. ,
  • 64', 2 - 2, Arce A. , Villa S. (A),
  • 67', Retamar K. 🟨,
  • 69', Amarfil M. , Cardillo M. ,
  • 73', Fragapane F. , Palavecino N. ,
  • 80', Fernandez M. , Sartori F. ,
  • 80', Bonifacio E. , Peinipil M. ,
  • 80', Gomez L. , Souto P. ,
  • 86', Estigarribia M. , Diaz D. ,
  • 90', Pitton M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Unión Santa Fe
50.4%
Draw
28.4%
Independiente Rivadavia
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.6% 31.7% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 30.4% 21.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Unión Santa Fe - Independiente Rivadavia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (2.06)
    3.34
    (2.96)
    4.52
    (4.13)
    4.9%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Unión Santa Fe - Independiente Rivadavia?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Unión Santa Fe will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Unión Santa Fe will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión won 4.
    • Unión is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Independiente R has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Independiente R may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Unión is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Unión won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Unión won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Santa Fe - Independiente Rivadavia were as follows:
    10.03.2025 Independiente Rivadavia - Unión Santa Fe 2:0
    04.06.2024 Independiente Rivadavia - Unión Santa Fe 0:1
    24.02.2024 Unión Santa Fe - Independiente Rivadavia 4:1
    Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
    Latest results of Independiente Rivadavia
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P1373316:7924
    2Velez Sarsfield1264214:9522
    3Lanus1364318:14422
    4Boca Juniors1356215:8721
    5Talleres Cordoba1363414:12221
    6Union de Santa Fe1354419:14519
    7Defensa y Justicia1347216:12419
    8Independiente1346319:16318
    9San Lorenzo1346312:12018
    10Instituto1352614:15-117
    11Platense133737:8-116
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1334610:16-613
    13Central Cordoba123366:15-912
    14Newells Old Boys1324710:23-1310
    15Dep. Riestra130763:10-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 1392223:131029
    2River Plate1382319:91026
    3Argentinos Jrs1365214:10423
    4Belgrano1364313:12122
    5Rosario Central1363415:13221
    6Huracan1355315:10520
    7Barracas Central1354413:12119
    8Tigre1346316:12418
    9Racing Club1353515:13218
    10Gimnasia L.P1352615:19-417
    11Sarmiento Junin1351711:14-316
    12Banfield1341814:17-313
    13Atl. Tucuman1324713:18-510
    14Aldosivi130673:14-116
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1312104:19-155

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)