Unión Santa Fe vs Independiente Rivadavia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
20/09/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 9
  • Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.41
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
83% (413/500)72% (175/243)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.41
xG on target (xGOT)
1.351.37
Total shots
146
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
1316
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1315
Passes
83% (413/500)72% (175/243)
Long passes
59% (43/73)52% (28/54)
Passes in final third
70% (100/142)58% (48/83)
Crosses
18% (7/38)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.540.43
Throw-ins
2320
Fouls
1513
Tackles
81% (13/16)80% (8/10)
Duels won
5240
Clearances
1533
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.371.35
Goals prevented
0.370.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Pitton M. (Own goal),
  • 42', 1 - 1, Tarragona C. (Pen),
  • 43', Amarfil M. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Arce A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', 2 - 1, Villalba I. (Own goal),
  • 59', Studer S. 🟨,
  • 61', Costa L. , Retamar K. ,
  • 62', Martinez M. , Profini R. ,
  • 62', Palacios J. , Solari A. ,
  • 64', 2 - 2, Arce A. , Villa S. (A),
  • 67', Retamar K. 🟨,
  • 69', Amarfil M. , Cardillo M. ,
  • 73', Fragapane F. , Palavecino N. ,
  • 80', Fernandez M. , Sartori F. ,
  • 80', Bonifacio E. , Peinipil M. ,
  • 80', Gomez L. , Souto P. ,
  • 86', Estigarribia M. , Diaz D. ,
  • 90', Pitton M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Unión Santa Fe
50.4%
Draw
28.4%
Independiente Rivadavia
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.6% 31.7% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 30.4% 21.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Unión Santa Fe - Independiente Rivadavia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (2.06)
    3.34
    (2.96)
    4.52
    (4.13)
    4.9%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Unión Santa Fe - Independiente Rivadavia?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Unión Santa Fe will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Unión Santa Fe will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión won 4.
    • Unión is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Independiente R has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Independiente R may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Unión is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Unión won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Unión won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Santa Fe - Independiente Rivadavia were as follows:
    10.03.2025 Independiente Rivadavia - Unión Santa Fe 2:0
    04.06.2024 Independiente Rivadavia - Unión Santa Fe 0:1
    24.02.2024 Unión Santa Fe - Independiente Rivadavia 4:1
    Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
    Latest results of Independiente Rivadavia
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1694319:71231
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1686222:91330
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1675417:13426
    5Independiente ✔ 1666424:20424
    6Lanus ✔ 1666418:15324
    7San Lorenzo ✔ 1657414:14022
    8Union de Santa Fe1656524:20421
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1637610:15-516
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1644811:21-1016
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra161875:12-711


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 16104229:151434
    2River Plate ✔ 1692522:121029
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1685317:13429
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1684420:16428
    5Belgrano ✔ 1675417:13426
    6Gimnasia L.P. ✔ 1682619:19026
    7Huracan1657417:13422
    8Racing Club1656517:15221
    9Barracas Central1656515:15021
    10Tigre1648418:15320
    11Sarmiento Junin1661913:20-719
    12Banfield1653817:19-218
    13Atl. Tucuman1635815:20-514
    14Aldosivi160886:19-138
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Independiente is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Lorenzo is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Belgrano is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Gimnasia L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)