Result
2:0
20/04/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 9
- Referee: Zambrano Y. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.97 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (340/410) | 77% (224/290) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (340/410) | 77% (224/290) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (29/57) | 33% (16/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (72/110) | 64% (54/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 36 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Diaz I. (Pen),
- 45+3', Cacciabue J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 62', Molina N. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
- 62', Quinonez B. ↓, Armas D. ↑,
- 64', Anangono G. 🟨,
- 67', Cacciabue J. ↓, Clavijo E. ↑,
- 67', Palacios B. ↓, Londono A. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 0, Rodriguez A. ⚽, Clavijo E. (A),
- 80', Rodriguez A. ↓, Maciel M. ↑,
- 81', Caicedo B. ↓, Coronel D. ↑,
- 89', Diaz I. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
- 90', Olinick A. ↓, Zambrano Pesantez E. S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
61.4% | Draw
23.1% | Orense
15.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Orense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orense than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Orense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.57) |
4.04 ↑
(3.89) |
6 ↑
(5.49) |
7.6%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Orense?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Uni Católica won 3.
- Recent matches Uni Católica is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Orense is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Orense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Uni Católica is the unquestionable favorite.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Uni Católica won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:6 (average 2:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Uni Católica won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:2 (average 2.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Orense?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Orense has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Orense were as follows:
13.09.2024
Orense
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
2:2
31.03.2024
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Orense
5:1
15.09.2023
Orense
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
1:2
17.04.2023
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Orense
1:1
18.09.2022
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Orense
2:0
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 43:19 | 24 | 49 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 35:26 | 9 | 41 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 38:21 | 17 | 40 |
| 4 | Orense | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 37 |
| 5 | Aucas | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 30:27 | 3 | 35 |
| 6 | Dep. Cuenca | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Libertad | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:28 | 5 | 34 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 31 |
| 9 | Emelec | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 28 |
| 10 | Delfin | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:31 | -10 | 26 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Vinotinto | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Macara | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 23 |
| 14 | Manta | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 29:38 | -9 | 23 |
| 15 | Tecnico U | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 19 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 24:39 | -15 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
