Orense vs Universidad Católica del Ecuador – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio 9 de Mayo (Machala).

Liga Pro - Championship Group - Round 3
Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.85	1.34
Ball Possession
32%	68%
Total shots
14	16
Shots on target
7	9
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
4	6
Passes
74% (175/238)	84% (440/521)
Yellow Cards
3	5
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85	1.34
xG on target (xGOT)
1.78	2.96
Total shots
14	16
Shots on target
7	9
Shots off target
5	5
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
10	10
Shots outside the Box
4	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
17	27
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
13	8
Passes
74% (175/238)	84% (440/521)
Long passes
50% (28/56)	47% (22/47)
Passes in final third
69% (51/74)	69% (88/128)
Crosses
25% (3/12)	30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.92	1.06
Throw-ins
13	11
Fouls
8	13
Tackles
59% (10/17)	88% (15/17)
Duels won
45	43
Clearances
29	8
Interceptions
8	6
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
8	5
xGOT faced
2.96	1.78
Goals prevented
1.96	-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', Mejia E. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
25', Achilier G. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Vasquez S. ⚽, Luna R. (A),
33', 2 - 0, Herrera A. ⚽, Caicedo B. (A),
45+1', Jhon Chancellor 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Alonso M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
54', 2 - 1, Clavijo E. ⚽, Fajardo J. (A),
59', Luna R. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
66', Bermudez M. ↓, Romero N. ↑,
72', Fajardo J. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,
72', Anangono G. ↓, Romero Padilla D. A. ↑,
76', Caicedo B. 🟨,
77', Romero Padilla D. A. 🟨,
79', Silva R. 🟨,
79', Diaz M. 🟨,
82', Canga L. 🟨,
86', Rodriguez A. 🟥,
86', Armas D. ↓, Mina S. ↑,
87', Caicedo B. ↓, Bianchi O. ↑,
90', Londono A. 🟨,
90+1', Diaz M. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,

Chances of winning

Orense
37.5%

Draw
27.7%

Universidad Católica del Ecuador
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

30.3%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

32.1%

32.3%

Orense - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.6)	3.32 ↑ (3.04)	2.7 (2.7)	7.2% (8.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orense won 0.
Orense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Uni Católica is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Orense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Orense won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:19. (average 0.7:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Orense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?

Orense has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Orense?

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Orense - Universidad Católica del Ecuador were as follows:

08.08.2025 Orense - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:1

20.04.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Orense 2:0

13.09.2024 Orense - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 2:2

31.03.2024 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Orense 5:1

15.09.2023 Orense - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:2

Latest results of Orense

17.10.2025 Orense - Independiente del Valle 1:2 ✺

05.10.2025 Libertad Loja - Orense 2:0 ✺

28.09.2025 Orense - Emelec 0:0 ✺

21.09.2025 SD Aucas - Orense 0:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Orense - Mushuc Runa 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador

19.10.2025 Libertad Loja - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:1 ✺

13.10.2025 Independiente del Valle - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:2 ✺

04.10.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - LDU Quito 2:2 ✺

01.10.2025 LDU Portoviejo - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:3 ✺

28.09.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Cuenca 2:1 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

Placement Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Macara	35	13	11	11	44:34	10	50
8	Aucas	35	13	10	12	53:48	5	49
9	Dep. Cuenca	35	14	7	14	39:38	1	49
10	Emelec	35	13	10	12	35:40	-5	49
11	EL Nacional	35	11	9	15	41:54	-13	42
12	Delfin	35	7	14	14	30:57	-27	35

Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )