Result
1:1
08/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (176/240) | 85% (351/415) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (176/240) | 85% (351/415) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (28/55) | 56% (23/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (41/70) | 69% (81/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (22/27) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 7 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.25 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 35', 1 - 0, Mena A. ⚽, Molina N. (A),
- 37', Diaz M. 🟨,
- 42', Palacios B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', Canga L. 🟨,
- 53', Vasquez S. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 1, Palacios B. ⚽,
- 62', Silva R. 🟥,
- 67', Burgoa V. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
- 68', Bianchi O. ↓, Olinick A. ↑,
- 78', Alonso M. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 84', Vasquez S. ↓, Vinan B. ↑,
- 84', Mena A. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
- 84', Palacios B. ↓, Fajardo J. ↑,
- 84', Diaz M. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
- 86', Moreno L. 🟨,
- 90+1', Herrera A. ↓, Quinonez B. ↑,
- 90+2', Anangono G. 🟨,
- 90+4', Mejia E. ↓, Romero Padilla D. A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Orense
39.7% | Draw
28.6% | Universidad Católica del Ecuador
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orense than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Orense - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↑
(2.24) |
3.21 ↓
(3.25) |
2.89 ↓
(3.13) |
8.5%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Orense - Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Uni Católica (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orense won 0.
- Recent performances by Orense have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Uni Católica is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Orense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:18. (average 0.7:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Orense has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Orense?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orense - Universidad Católica del Ecuador were as follows:
20.04.2025
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Orense
2:0
13.09.2024
Orense
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
2:2
31.03.2024
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Orense
5:1
15.09.2023
Orense
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
1:2
17.04.2023
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Orense
1:1
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 45:20 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:24 | 17 | 44 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37:29 | 8 | 44 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Libertad | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 41 |
| 6 | Aucas | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Orense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 36 |
| 9 | Emelec | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Macara | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:27 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Delfin | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24:35 | -11 | 25 |
| 14 | Manta | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
