Result
2:1
24/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Championship Group - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (175/238) | 84% (440/521) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 2.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (175/238) | 84% (440/521) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (28/56) | 47% (22/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (51/74) | 69% (88/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 88% (15/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.96 | 1.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.96 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 12', Mejia E. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 25', Achilier G. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 0, Vasquez S. ⚽, Luna R. (A),
- 33', 2 - 0, Herrera A. ⚽, Caicedo B. (A),
- 45+1', Jhon Chancellor 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Alonso M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 54', 2 - 1, Clavijo E. ⚽, Fajardo J. (A),
- 59', Luna R. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
- 66', Bermudez M. ↓, Romero N. ↑,
- 72', Fajardo J. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,
- 72', Anangono G. ↓, Romero Padilla D. A. ↑,
- 76', Caicedo B. 🟨,
- 77', Romero Padilla D. A. 🟨,
- 79', Silva R. 🟨,
- 79', Diaz M. 🟨,
- 82', Canga L. 🟨,
- 86', Rodriguez A. 🟥,
- 86', Armas D. ↓, Mina S. ↑,
- 87', Caicedo B. ↓, Bianchi O. ↑,
- 90', Londono A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Diaz M. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Orense
37.5% | Draw
27.7% | Universidad Católica del Ecuador
34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orense than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Orense - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↓
(2.6) |
3.32 ↑
(3.04) |
2.7
(2.7) |
7.2%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orense won 0.
- Orense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Uni Católica is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Orense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Orense won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:19. (average 0.7:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Orense has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Orense?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orense - Universidad Católica del Ecuador were as follows:
08.08.2025
Orense
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
1:1
20.04.2025
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Orense
2:0
13.09.2024
Orense
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
2:2
31.03.2024
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Orense
5:1
15.09.2023
Orense
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
1:2
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Placement Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 39:34 | 5 | 49 |
| 8 | Emelec | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 | Aucas | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 45 |
| 10 | Macara | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 44 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 34:50 | -16 | 35 |
| 12 | Delfin | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 28:48 | -20 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
