Result
0:4
28/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 17
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 2.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (201/267) | 89% (563/633) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 2.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 2.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (201/267) | 89% (563/633) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (33/61) | 57% (25/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (39/76) | 81% (116/144) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 33% (8/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.87 | 0.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.13 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 11', Monreal D. 🟥,
- 13', 0 - 1, Assadi L. ⚽,
- 22', 0 - 2, Hormazabal F. ⚽, Altamirano J. (A),
- 24', Guerrero Pena M. G. ↓, Guerra N. ↑,
- 34', Poblete Zuniga I. E. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 3, Contreras R. ⚽, Assadi L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Poblete Zuniga I. E. ↓, Moya F. ↑,
- 46', Zaldivia M. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
- 46', Benegas L. ↓, Mendez K. ↑,
- 46', Moya C. ↓, Tomarelli F. ↑,
- 58', Calderon F. 🟨,
- 61', Contreras R. ↓, Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. ↑,
- 62', Saez S. 🟨,
- 63', Alvarez Wallace A. 🟨,
- 65', Saez S. ↓, Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ↑,
- 76', 0 - 4, Altamirano J. ⚽, Assadi L. (A),
- 80', Mesias Gonzalez I. S. 🟨,
- 81', Altamirano J. ↓, Salomoni F. ↑,
- 81', De Los Santos E. ↓, Soto J. ↑,
- 87', Alvarez Wallace A. ↓, Lobos F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Unión La Calera
14% | Draw
22.8% | Universidad de Chile
63.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión La Calera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión La Calera's form might have worsened.Universidad de Chile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad de Chile's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad de Chile, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Unión La Calera - Universidad de Chile Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.11 ↑
(4.93) |
4.88 ↑
(3.77) |
1.67 ↓
(1.68) |
-7.3%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Unión La Calera - Universidad de Chile?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Unión La Calera will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Universidad de Chile: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 1.
- Recent form of Unión La Calera has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Universidad de Chile is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Universidad de Chile may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Universidad de Chile is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Unión La Calera won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Unión La Calera won against Universidad de Chile?
Unión La Calera has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad de Chile won against Unión La Calera?
Universidad de Chile has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Unión La Calera - Universidad de Chile were as follows:
23.02.2025
Universidad de Chile
-
Unión La Calera
1:0
05.10.2024
Universidad de Chile
-
Unión La Calera
1:0
13.05.2024
Unión La Calera
-
Universidad de Chile
1:3
25.08.2023
Unión La Calera
-
Universidad de Chile
2:1
02.03.2023
Universidad de Chile
-
Unión La Calera
1:1
Latest results of Unión La Calera
Latest results of Universidad de Chile
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 30:10 | 20 | 44 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 43:18 | 25 | 38 |
| 3 | Palestino | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 35 |
| 4 | A. Italiano | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 34 |
| 5 | O'Higgins | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 22:21 | 1 | 34 |
| 6 | U. Catolica | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 29:21 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 23:21 | 2 | 29 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 31:26 | 5 | 27 |
| 9 | Nublense | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:24 | -5 | 26 |
| 10 | Huachipato | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 25 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 23 |
| 12 | Everton | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 20:28 | -8 | 19 |
| 13 | La Serena | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 24:36 | -12 | 19 |
| 14 | Limache | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 22:26 | -4 | 17 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 19:37 | -18 | 14 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 21:42 | -21 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
