Result
4:2
22/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball, ZhiBo8 |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.13 | 0.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (628/696) | 76% (232/306) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.13 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 1.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 66 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (628/696) | 76% (232/306) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (15/30) | 30% (19/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 89% (298/335) | 54% (34/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.20 | -2.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, Naganuma Y. ⚽,
- 29', Ishihara H. 🟨,
- 39', Nishikawa S. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 2, Matsuo Y. ⚽, Sekine T. (A),
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 46', Kakita Y. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
- 46', Mitsumaru H. ↓, Sugioka D. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 2, Segawa Y. ⚽, Sugioka D. (A),
- 58', Sekine T. ↓, Ogiwara T. ↑,
- 63', Koizumi Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
- 64', Matsuo Y. ↓, Thiago ↑,
- 74', Yamada Y. ↓, Konishi Y. ↑,
- 74', Watai M. ↓, Nakama H. ↑,
- 79', Ishihara H. ↓, Haraguchi G. ↑,
- 79', Matheus Savio ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
- 79', Kaneko T. 🟨,
- 79', Kaneko T. ↓, Okubo T. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 2, Hosoya M. ⚽, Segawa Y. (A),
- 90', 3 - 2, Konishi Y. ⚽, Koyamatsu T. (A),
- 90+6', 4 - 2, Kubo T. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Kashiwa Reysol
44.3% | Draw
27.2% | Urawa Red Diamonds
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Kashiwa Reysol - Urawa Red Diamonds Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(1.99) |
3.52 ↓
(3.66) |
3.32 ↑
(3.26) |
3.9%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Urawa Red Diamonds?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 11 - 50%). Urawa will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 29.1% – 70.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kashiwa Reysol will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 2.
- Kashiwa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Urawa is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Kashiwa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Kashiwa: Kumasaka K.
(Knee Injury)
Tezuka K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kashiwa won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.9:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Urawa Red Diamonds?
Kashiwa Reysol has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Urawa Red Diamonds has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Urawa Red Diamonds were as follows:
02.03.2025
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Kashiwa Reysol
0:2
23.10.2024
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Kashiwa Reysol
1:0
12.04.2024
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
1:0
20.10.2023
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Kashiwa Reysol
2:0
31.03.2023
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
0:3
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 53:29 | 24 | 67 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 55:33 | 22 | 66 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59:37 | 22 | 62 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 43:28 | 15 | 61 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 39:26 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Machida | 35 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 57 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 35 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 65:50 | 15 | 56 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 53 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 48:52 | -4 | 53 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 54:50 | 4 | 49 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 39:47 | -8 | 45 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 44 |
| 13 | Verdy | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 42 |
| 14 | Avispa Fukuoka | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 32:37 | -5 | 41 |
| 15 | Okayama | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 31:40 | -9 | 41 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 40 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 39:44 | -5 | 37 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 23:41 | -18 | 32 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare ✔ | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:58 | -29 | 26 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata ✔ | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 30:56 | -26 | 22 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Shonan Bellmare is Relegated to J2 League
Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League
