Result
4:2
22/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Australia | Stan Sport |
Brazil | Canal GOAT |
China | K-Ball, ZhiBo8 |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.13 | 0.85 |
Ball Possession |
---|
69% | 31% |
Total shots |
---|
23 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
90% (628/696) | 76% (232/306) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.13 | 0.85 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.84 | 1.80 |
Total shots |
---|
23 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
8 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
14 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
9 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
66 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
90% (628/696) | 76% (232/306) |
Long passes |
---|
50% (15/30) | 30% (19/64) |
Passes in final third |
---|
89% (298/335) | 54% (34/63) |
Crosses |
---|
18% (3/17) | 14% (1/7) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.38 | 0.50 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 13 |
Fouls |
---|
6 | 6 |
Tackles |
---|
65% (11/17) | 53% (8/15) |
Duels won |
---|
45 | 36 |
Clearances |
---|
12 | 29 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.80 | 1.84 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.20 | -2.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, Naganuma Y. ⚽,
- 29', Ishihara H. 🟨,
- 39', Nishikawa S. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 2, Matsuo Y. ⚽, Sekine T. (A),
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 46', Kakita Y. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
- 46', Mitsumaru H. ↓, Sugioka D. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 2, Segawa Y. ⚽, Sugioka D. (A),
- 58', Sekine T. ↓, Ogiwara T. ↑,
- 63', Koizumi Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
- 64', Matsuo Y. ↓, Thiago ↑,
- 74', Yamada Y. ↓, Konishi Y. ↑,
- 74', Watai M. ↓, Nakama H. ↑,
- 79', Ishihara H. ↓, Haraguchi G. ↑,
- 79', Matheus Savio ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
- 79', Kaneko T. 🟨,
- 79', Kaneko T. ↓, Okubo T. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 2, Hosoya M. ⚽, Segawa Y. (A),
- 90', 3 - 2, Konishi Y. ⚽, Koyamatsu T. (A),
- 90+6', 4 - 2, Kubo T. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Kashiwa Reysol 44.3% | Draw 27.2% | Urawa Red Diamonds 28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Kashiwa Reysol - Urawa Red Diamonds Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.2 ↑ (1.99) |
3.52 ↓ (3.66) |
3.32 ↑ (3.26) |
3.9% (8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Urawa Red Diamonds?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 11 - 50%). Urawa will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 29.1% – 70.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kashiwa Reysol will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 2.
- Kashiwa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Urawa is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Kashiwa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Kashiwa: Kumasaka K.
(Knee Injury)
Tezuka K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kashiwa won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.9:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Urawa Red Diamonds?
Kashiwa Reysol has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Urawa Red Diamonds has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Urawa Red Diamonds were as follows:
02.03.2025
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Kashiwa Reysol
0:2
23.10.2024
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Kashiwa Reysol
1:0
12.04.2024
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
1:0
20.10.2023
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Kashiwa Reysol
2:0
31.03.2023
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
0:3
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Kyoto | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 47:30 | 17 | 51 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:26 | 14 | 51 |
3 | Machida | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 42:26 | 16 | 50 |
4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 40:27 | 13 | 50 |
5 | Vissel Kobe | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 36:26 | 10 | 50 |
6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 33:19 | 14 | 49 |
7 | Urawa Reds | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 38:30 | 8 | 44 |
8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 45:35 | 10 | 42 |
9 | Okayama | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 26:23 | 3 | 39 |
10 | Cerezo Osaka | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:38 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 27:26 | 1 | 37 |
12 | Gamba Osaka | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 33:40 | -7 | 37 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Verdy | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 31 |
15 | FC Tokyo | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29:41 | -12 | 30 |
16 | Nagoya Grampus | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 33:41 | -8 | 28 |
17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 26:34 | -8 | 25 |
18 | Shonan Bellmare | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 22:42 | -20 | 25 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 18:35 | -17 | 22 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League