Result
1:2 penalties
18/03/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
China | K-Ball |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.08 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (266/345) | 86% (458/534) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (266/345) | 86% (458/534) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (27/56) | 43% (20/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (64/102) | 80% (121/151) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.45 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (13/21) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Koizumi Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Koizumi Y. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 0, Yasui K. ⚽,
- 60', Harakawa R. ↓, Shimano R. ↑,
- 60', Baba S. ↓, Yamanouchi Y. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Segawa Y. ⚽, Mitsumaru H. (A),
- 68', Onaiwu A. ↓, Hidano R. ↑,
- 68', Yasui K. ↓, Sekine T. ↑,
- 74', Nakagawa N. ↓, Toshima S. ↑,
- 83', Hosoya M. ↓, Kakita Y. ↑,
- 84', Matheus Savio ↓, Kiese I. ↑,
- 84', Kaneko T. ↓, Hayakawa J. ↑,
- 90', Ishihara H. ↓, Teruuchi T. ↑,
- Penalties (2 - 4)
- 1, Watanabe R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Komi Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Kiese I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Yamauchi H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Hayakawa J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Toshima S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Miyamoto Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Segawa Y. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Urawa Red Diamonds 31.2% | Draw 27.3% | Kashiwa Reysol 41.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Urawa Red Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashiwa Reysol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.01 ↑ (2.85) |
3.42 ↓ (3.62) |
2.26 ↓ (2.32) |
6.7% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashiwa Reysol?
Users Predictions:
Urawa Red Diamonds will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 2.
- Urawa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kashiwa is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Kashiwa: Kumasaka K.
(Knee Injury)
Tezuka K.
(Knee Injury)
Watai M.
(Knee Injury)
Yamada Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Urawa: Komori H.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Kashiwa: Harada W.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:25. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Urawa Red Diamonds has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Urawa Red Diamonds?
Kashiwa Reysol has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:
22.08.2025
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
4:2
02.03.2025
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Kashiwa Reysol
0:2
23.10.2024
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Kashiwa Reysol
1:0
12.04.2024
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
1:0
20.10.2023
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Kashiwa Reysol
2:0
Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:5 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Machida | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Verdy | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 9 | Mito | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 10 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 6 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)