Valladolid vs Almería – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
13/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 5
  • Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDsports 9
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
ecuadorEcuadorDSports 9
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDSports 9
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Orange Futbol 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.042.05
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
65% (192/294)77% (355/464)
Yellow Cards
55
Expected Goals (xG)
2.042.05
xG on target (xGOT)
2.991.89
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
17
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
07
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
2718
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1227
Passes
65% (192/294)77% (355/464)
Long passes
41% (27/66)45% (32/71)
Passes in final third
47% (48/103)64% (89/138)
Crosses
19% (5/26)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.390.63
Throw-ins
2226
Fouls
2813
Tackles
60% (9/15)77% (10/13)
Duels won
4768
Clearances
1720
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.892.99
Goals prevented
0.89-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', Guilherme Fernandes 🟨,
  • 13', Embarba A. (Pen),
  • 14', Monte N. 🟨,
  • 21', 1 - 0, Marcos Andre ,
  • 37', Gui Guedes 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Gui Guedes , Horta A. ,
  • 56', Alejo I. 🟨,
  • 56', Leo Baptistao 🟨,
  • 62', Ndiaye A. , Peter Federico ,
  • 64', Embarba A. , Puigmal A. ,
  • 71', Meseguer Cavas V. A. 🟨,
  • 73', 1 - 1, Arribas S. (Pen),
  • 73', Chirino D. , Luna M. ,
  • 74', Leo Baptistao , Thalys ,
  • 76', Marcos Andre , Latasa J. ,
  • 76', Alejo I. , Trilli ,
  • 77', Peter Federico 🟨,
  • 79', Monte N. , Hernandez A. ,
  • 84', Ponceau J. , Maroto M. ,
  • 84', Meseguer Cavas V. A. , Alani I. ,
  • 90+1', Bonini F. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 2 - 1, Latasa J. (Pen),
  • 90+5', Dzodic S. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Latasa J. 🟨,
  • 90+9', 3 - 1, Maroto M. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2s4fxabx

Chances of winning


Valladolid
39%
Draw
33.7%
Almería
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 27% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 26.7% 32.7%

Valladolid - Almería Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.76
(2.35)
2.99
(3.48)
3.82
(2.85)
-4.1%
(6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Valladolid - Almería?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Valladolid will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Almería will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Valladolid: 35.2%84.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Valladolid (votes: 1 - 50%). Almería (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Almería (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Valladolid (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Almería (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 2.
    • Valladolid is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Almería has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Almería may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Valladolid: Jaouab M. (Injury) Marcos Andre (Injury)
    • There will not play in Almería: Iribarne B. (Inactive) Lopy D. (Red Card) Monte N. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Almería: Chumi (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Valladolid won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Valladolid - Almería were as follows:
    28.05.2023 Almería - Valladolid 0:0
    05.09.2022 Valladolid - Almería 1:0
    Latest results of Valladolid
    06.09.2025 Zaragoza - Valladolid 1:1
    30.08.2025 Valladolid - Córdoba 0:0
    22.08.2025 Castellón - Valladolid 0:1
    15.08.2025 Valladolid - Ceuta 3:0
    09.08.2025 Burgos - Valladolid 2:2
    Latest results of Almería
    29.08.2025 Real Sociedad B - Almería 2:2
    24.08.2025 Leonesa - Almería 0:1
    10.08.2025 Almería - Al-Nassr Riyadh 3:2
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander25145651:331847
    2Castellon25136642:251745
    3Dep. La Coruna25127640:271343
    4Almeria25126747:361142
    5Malaga25125838:29941
    6Las Palmas251010529:20940
    7Burgos CF25116828:24439
    8Gijon251231035:33239
    9Cordoba24108632:27538
    10Ceuta24105930:34-435
    11Cadiz CF2597927:29-234
    12Albacete25961031:36-533
    13Leganes2588927:25232
    14Eibar2588926:27-132
    15Granada CF25611826:29-329
    16Andorra25781027:35-829
    17Real Sociedad B25771132:35-328
    18Valladolid25771125:31-628
    19Huesca25761223:34-1127
    20Cultural Leonesa25741426:40-1425
    21Zaragoza25581222:38-1623
    22Mirandes25551525:42-1720

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