Tacoma Defiance vs Vancouver Whitecaps 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
04/09/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.481.23
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
88% (373/426)86% (348/406)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.481.23
xG on target (xGOT)
1.122.31
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
613
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2728
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
88% (373/426)86% (348/406)
Long passes
61% (33/54)61% (35/57)
Passes in final third
76% (97/127)66% (70/106)
Crosses
24% (5/21)35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.080.54
Throw-ins
2322
Fouls
1111
Tackles
50% (9/18)60% (9/15)
Duels won
5647
Clearances
2230
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
2.311.12
Goals prevented
-0.690.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 35', Pierre N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 57', Pedder R. , Khoury J. ,
  • 57', Robles D. , Carli E. ,
  • 58', Vellios D. , Rogers C. ,
  • 59', Coupland A. , Elloumi R. ,
  • 72', Burney L. 🟨,
  • 75', Pelayo A. 🟨,
  • 77', 1 - 0, Tsukanome Y. (Pen),
  • 79', 1 - 1, Kachwele C. , Pierre N. (A), Russo D. (A2)
  • 80', Tsukanome Y. , Hassan O. ,
  • 82', 1 - 2, Pierre N. ,
  • 89', Dodzi C. , Gonzalez L. ,
  • 90+3', Kachwele C. , Sewell R. ,
  • 90+7', 1 - 3, Elloumi R. , Pierre N. (A),
  • 90+7', Elloumi R. 🟨,
  • 90+8', 🟨,
  • 90+8', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tacoma Defiance
46%
Draw
22.6%
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.2% 22.7% 29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 22.3% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Vancouver Whitecaps 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vancouver Whitecaps 2 than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Tacoma Defiance - Vancouver Whitecaps 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (1.92)
    4.1
    (4.07)
    2.96
    (3.18)
    7.8%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance - Vancouver Whitecaps 2?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Whitecaps 2 (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Whitecaps 2 (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Whitecaps 2 (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 2.
    • Tacoma has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Whitecaps 2 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Tacoma will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:36. (average 1.7:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 2.3:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - Vancouver Whitecaps 2 were as follows:
    14.05.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Tacoma Defiance 5:0
    06.04.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Vancouver Whitecaps 2 5:3
    21.09.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Tacoma Defiance 3:1
    14.07.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Tacoma Defiance 1:4
    21.04.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Vancouver Whitecaps 2 0:0
    Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New England Revolution II422005:210
    2New York Red Bulls II420209:48
    3Columbus Crew 2421017:68
    4Philadelphia Union II421014:38
    5Connecticut FC420027:86
    6Toronto FC II410127:44
    7New York City II301111:63
    8Cincinnati 2400042:80


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy4400017:312
    2Orlando City B4210110:108
    3Atlanta United 2420117:67
    4Chicago Fire II412014:47
    5Huntsville411028:145
    6Chattanooga410128:104
    7Inter Miami II400225:112
    8Carolina Core300123:51


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Real Monarchs4220012:610
    2San Jose Earthquakes II420119:47
    3Ventura County412018:77
    4Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 2410126:84
    6Los Angeles FC 2401217:104
    7Tacoma Defiance401122:73


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 24400013:012
    2St. Louis City 24310012:411
    3Austin FC II420116:67
    4Minnesota 2420026:76
    5North Texas410125:64
    6Sporting Kansas City II401032:122
    7Colorado Rapids 2400134:111


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy4400017:312
    2New England Revolution II422005:210
    3New York Red Bulls II420209:48
    4Columbus Crew 2421017:68
    5Philadelphia Union II421014:38
    6Orlando City B4210110:108
    7Atlanta United 2420117:67
    8Chicago Fire II412014:47
    9Connecticut FC420027:86
    10Huntsville411028:145
    11Toronto FC II410127:44
    12Chattanooga410128:104
    13New York City II301111:63
    14Inter Miami II400225:112
    15Carolina Core300123:51
    16Cincinnati 2400042:80


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 24400013:012
    2St. Louis City 24310012:411
    3Real Monarchs4220012:610
    4San Jose Earthquakes II420119:47
    5Austin FC II420116:67
    6Ventura County412018:77
    7Minnesota 2420026:76
    8Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    9North Texas410125:64
    10Vancouver Whitecaps 2410126:84
    11Los Angeles FC 2401217:104
    12Tacoma Defiance401122:73
    13Sporting Kansas City II401032:122
    14Colorado Rapids 2400134:111

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)