Result
1:1
02/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 33
- Referee: Lovric Z. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (521/616) | 68% (206/305) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (521/616) | 68% (206/305) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (34/64) | 33% (20/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (101/159) | 42% (22/52) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (5/30) | 40% (2/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Santini I. ⚽,
- 45+1', Pozo I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Barac M. ↓, Mladenovski M. ↑,
- 46', Alic E. ↓, Cuic M. ↑,
- 46', Dabro M. ↓, Antunovic M. ↑,
- 57', Cvek L. 🟨,
- 59', Mamic L. ↓, Latkovic A. ↑,
- 63', Pozo I. ↓, Kavelj A. ↑,
- 73', Laca I. ↓, Bozic I. ↑,
- 73', Santini I. ↓, Kulusic L. ↑,
- 82', Maglica F. ↓, Poldrugac J. ↑,
- 87', Bakic O. ↓, Roca I. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 1, Antunovic M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Varaždin
51.2% | Draw
29% | Šibenik
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Šibenik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Šibenik than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Varaždin - Šibenik Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.76) |
3.21 ↓
(3.42) |
4.77 ↓
(4.77) |
6.8%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Varaždin - Šibenik?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Varaždin will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Šibenik will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Varaždin: 28.1% – 78.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Varaždin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Varaždin is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Varaždin: Marina M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Šibenik: Nizic Z.
(Knee Injury)
Zuta L.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:16. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varaždin won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:11. (average 1.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Varaždin won against Šibenik?
Varaždin has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Šibenik won against Varaždin?
Šibenik has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varaždin - Šibenik were as follows:
02.03.2025
Šibenik
-
Varaždin
0:2
29.11.2024
Varaždin
-
Šibenik
2:1
15.09.2024
Šibenik
-
Varaždin
0:0
05.05.2023
Šibenik
-
Varaždin
0:2
04.03.2023
Varaždin
-
Šibenik
2:0
Latest results of Varaždin
Latest results of Šibenik
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 12 |
| 3 | Lok. Zagreb | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | Gorica | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 5 | Varazdin | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 6 | Rijeka | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 | Slaven Belupo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
| 8 | Istra 1961 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 2 |
| 9 | Vukovar 1991 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 |
| 10 | Osijek | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
