Amarante vs Varzim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Amarante - Varzim
Result
2:1
06/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
95
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
33
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
95
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
41
Corner Kicks
33
Goalkeeper Saves
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Araujo C. ,
  • 32', Momo Mbaye 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Sousa C. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Okoli F. , Filipe R. ,
  • 60', Semedo K. 🟨,
  • 62', 🟨,
  • 64', Semedo K. , Dinho ,
  • 70', Monteiro J. , Gomes A. ,
  • 71', Rebelo M. , Graca H. ,
  • 77', 2 - 1, Filipe R. (Pen),
  • 78', Ribeiro O. , Antunes Tiago C. J. ,
  • 79', Sousa C. , Leandro M. ,
  • 84', Chicao , Pereira N. ,
  • 84', Silva Nhaga I. , Sequeira D. ,
  • 88', Araujo C. , Freitas R. ,
  • 90+6', Leandro M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Amarante
39.7%
Draw
30.9%
Varzim
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.6% 32.2% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8% 32.4% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Amarante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Varzim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Amarante - Varzim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.49)
    2.95
    (2.83)
    3.1
    (2.92)
    9.6%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 and 7).
    • Amarante is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Varzim is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Varzim could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Amarante won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Amarante won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Amarante - Varzim were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Varzim - Amarante 1:2
    15.12.2024 Amarante - Varzim 0:1
    31.08.2024 Varzim - Amarante 1:3
    Latest results of Amarante
    15.03.2025 Belenenses - Amarante 0:0
    09.03.2025 Amarante - Atlético CP 2:0
    01.03.2025 Lusitânia - Amarante 2:1
    23.02.2025 1 Dezembro - Amarante 2:1
    Latest results of Varzim
    29.03.2025 Fafe - Varzim 1:0
    15.03.2025 Varzim - 1 Dezembro 2:0
    09.03.2025 Varzim - Sporting Lisbon B 1:1
    01.03.2025 Belenenses - Varzim 0:0
    22.02.2025 Varzim - Atlético CP 2:1
    Draw
    Promotion

    Final
    1Pacos FerreiraOs Belenenses2 : 0, 1 : 2