Result
2:1
06/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Araujo C. ⚽,
- 32', Momo Mbaye 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Sousa C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Okoli F. ↓, Filipe R. ↑,
- 60', Semedo K. 🟨,
- 62', 🟨,
- 64', Semedo K. ↓, Dinho ↑,
- 70', Monteiro J. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
- 71', Rebelo M. ↓, Graca H. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 1, Filipe R. (Pen),
- 78', Ribeiro O. ↓, Antunes Tiago C. J. ↑,
- 79', Sousa C. ↓, Leandro M. ↑,
- 84', Chicao ↓, Pereira N. ↑,
- 84', Silva Nhaga I. ↓, Sequeira D. ↑,
- 88', Araujo C. ↓, Freitas R. ↑,
- 90+6', Leandro M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Amarante
39.7% | Draw
30.9% | Varzim
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amarante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Varzim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Amarante - Varzim Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↓
(2.49) |
2.95 ↑
(2.83) |
3.1 ↑
(2.92) |
9.6%
(9.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 and 7).
- Amarante is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Varzim is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Varzim could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Amarante won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Amarante won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Amarante won against Varzim?
Amarante has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Varzim won against Amarante?
Varzim has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amarante - Varzim were as follows:
08.02.2025
Varzim
-
Amarante
1:2
15.12.2024
Amarante
-
Varzim
0:1
31.08.2024
Varzim
-
Amarante
1:3
Latest results of Amarante
Draw
PromotionFinal| 1 | Pacos Ferreira | Os Belenenses | 2 : 0, 1 : 2 |
