Result
2:1
07/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 1
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', Franca F. 🟨,
- 35', Pedro R. 🟨,
- 38', Mendes F. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 0, Chamito ⚽, Franca F. (A),
- 44', Derick 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Innusah H. ↓, Ventura ↑,
- 46', Ribeiro O. ↓, Zangre A. ↑,
- 46', Rodrigues D. ↓, Arome ↑,
- 46', Pedro Clemente ↓, Boloto ↑,
- 46', Benchi D. ↓, Chicao ↑,
- 61', Pedro R. ↓, Conceicao M. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 1, Saint-Louis J. ⚽,
- 71', Franca F. ↓, Gunjo J. ↑,
- 71', Chamito ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
- 84', Roger ↓, Antunes Tiago C. J. ↑,
- 90+1', Ventura 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Gunjo J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Varzim
47.4% | Draw
30.6% | Amarante
22% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varzim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Amarante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varzim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Varzim - Amarante Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↑
(1.83) |
3.01 ↓
(3.15) |
4.19 ↓
(4.38) |
8.7%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varzim won 2.
- Recent performances by Varzim have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Amarante is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Varzim is a strong favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Varzim won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varzim won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Varzim won against Amarante?
Varzim has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Amarante won against Varzim?
Amarante has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varzim - Amarante were as follows:
09.11.2025
Varzim
-
Amarante
0:0
10.08.2025
Amarante
-
Varzim
0:1
06.04.2025
Amarante
-
Varzim
2:1
08.02.2025
Varzim
-
Amarante
1:2
15.12.2024
Amarante
-
Varzim
0:1
Latest results of Amarante
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Academica | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Amarante | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Varzim | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Os Belenenses | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 | Mafra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Santarem | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 8 | Trofense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
