Result
0:2
14/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 11
- Referee: Penel A. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.75 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (288/380) | 72% (265/369) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (288/380) | 72% (265/369) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (29/69) | 28% (14/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (71/109) | 59% (57/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (3/23) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.30 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 68% (19/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.46 | -0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Monzon F. ⚽, Godoy D. (A),
- 15', Robertone L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', 0 - 2, Robertone L. ⚽, Godoy D. (A),
- 54', Amarfil M. 🟨,
- 63', Amarfil M. ↓, Merlini B. ↑,
- 63', Zapiola F. ↓, Lotti A. ↑,
- 68', Godoy D. ↓, Pellegrini M. ↑,
- 70', Retamar K. ↓, Mainero G. ↑,
- 70', Lencina G. ↓, Heredia L. ↑,
- 79', Ingenthron C. ↓, Bosch B. ↑,
- 79', Monzon F. ↓, Romero B. ↑,
- 79', Lanzini M. ↓, Valdes D. ↑,
- 84', Robertone L. ↓, Baeza C. ↑,
- 90+1', Romero B. 🟨,
- 90+5', Gomez E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Platense
32.5% | Draw
34.5% | Vélez Sársfield
32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Platense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platense than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Platense - Vélez Sársfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.9 ↑
(2.7) |
2.72 ↓
(2.8) |
2.88 ↑
(2.85) |
6%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Platense - Vélez Sársfield?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 91.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 76.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Platense (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Platense (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platense won 2.
- Platense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vélez is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Platense: Bay J.
(Knee Injury)
Bobadilla H.
(Muscle Injury)
Dalmasso S.
(Inactive)
Goni G.
(Muscle Injury)
Minerva F.
(Muscle Injury)
Nasif T.
(Inactive)
Portillo M.
(Muscle Injury)
Quiros S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Vélez: Escobar S.
(Inactive)
Garcia J.
(Inactive)
Gordon J.
(Inactive)
Pellegrini M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Vélez: Robertone L.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Platense won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Platense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Platense won against Vélez Sársfield?
Platense has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Platense?
Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Platense - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
19.07.2025
Platense
-
Vélez Sársfield
0:0
28.01.2025
Vélez Sársfield
-
Platense
0:1
25.07.2024
Platense
-
Vélez Sársfield
0:2
13.03.2023
Vélez Sársfield
-
Platense
1:1
Latest results of Platense
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 22 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14:6 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Lanus | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Talleres Cordoba | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 18 |
| 8 | Independiente | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Platense | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 | Instituto | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 12 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10:23 | -13 | 9 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 12 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 3:9 | -6 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 26 |
| 2 | River Plate | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17:9 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 23 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 | Racing Club | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:11 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Tigre | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | Huracan | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | Sarmiento Junin | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Gimnasia L.P | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Banfield | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3:13 | -10 | 6 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3:17 | -14 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
