Result
3:1
05/04/2025 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 13
- Referee: Delgadillo Franco O. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, Bonilla Corbo E. ⚽,
- 42', 2 - 0, Vargas L. ⚽,
- 44', Catalan A. 🟨,
- 45+2', Bonilla Corbo E. ↓, Rezabala J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', Rochester L. 🟨,
- 62', Cortes J. 🟨,
- 62', Lora S. ↓, Madrid W. ↑,
- 62', Garcia M. ↓, Espinosa E. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 1, Lopez F. ⚽,
- 75', Hernandez J. ↓, Reyes J. ↑,
- 80', 3 - 1, Vargas L. ⚽,
- 82', Martinez J. ↓, Osuna D. ↑,
- 82', Galicia C. ↓, Leyva C. ↑,
- 82', Lopez F. ↓, Amador K. ↑,
- 84', Calzadilla L. 🟨,
- 88', Casillas J. 🟨,
- 90', 🟨,
- 90', Vidrio N. 🟨,
- 90+2', Amador K. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Dorados
27.5% | Draw
25.7% | Venados
46.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dorados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dorados's form might have worsened.Venados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Venados's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorados than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dorados, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venados than the current prediction. (-10.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Venados, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dorados - Venados Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.38 ↑
(2.46) |
3.62 ↑
(3.54) |
1.98 ↓
(2.54) |
7.7%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Dorados won 0.
- Dorados is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Venados is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Dorados could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Dorados won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 23:28 (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Dorados won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:11 (average 1.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Dorados won against Venados?
Dorados has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Venados won against Dorados?
Venados has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dorados - Venados were as follows:
18.10.2024
Venados
-
Dorados
4:0
31.01.2024
Dorados
-
Venados
2:3
15.10.2023
Venados
-
Dorados
4:1
11.04.2023
Dorados
-
Venados
0:5
Latest results of Dorados
Latest results of Venados
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Irapuato | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Tapatio | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Tampico Madero | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Cancun | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Atlante | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Atl. Morelia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Correcaminos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Zacatecas Mineros | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Leones Negros | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Atletico La Paz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Venados | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
