North Texas vs Ventura County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Choctaw Stadium (Arlington, TX).

MLS Next Pro

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.91	1.42
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
14	20
Shots on target
3	7
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
8	7
Passes
87% (361/414)	81% (303/373)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91	1.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.73	1.36
Total shots
14	20
Shots on target
3	7
Shots off target
7	5
Blocked Shots
4	8
Shots inside the Box
6	15
Shots outside the Box
8	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
8	7
Touches in opposition box
16	23
Accurate through passes
2	2
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
6	12
Passes
87% (361/414)	81% (303/373)
Long passes
56% (29/52)	48% (37/77)
Passes in final third
75% (82/109)	63% (60/95)
Crosses
23% (6/26)	18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.01	0.84
Throw-ins
18	17
Fouls
13	6
Tackles
60% (9/15)	55% (6/11)
Duels won
32	36
Clearances
23	16
Interceptions
8	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	2
xGOT faced
1.36	0.73
Goals prevented
0.36	-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Molina M. ↓, Molomo Z. ↑,
47', 0 - 1, Vivi Quesada G. ⚽, Vanney M. (A),
55', Essel A. 🟨,
58', Saribekyan L. 🟨,
61', 🟨,
62', Sangare F. ↓, Salazar C. ↑,
63', Baran D. ↓, Sedeh S. ↑,
69', Preston E. ↓, Coreas C. ↑,
75', Garcia V. ↓, Karani S. ↑,
78', Saribekyan L. ↓, Koreniuk K. ↑,
78', Vanney M. ↓, Luna I. ↑,
86', 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 1, Essel A. ⚽, DuBois J. (A), Contreras J. (A2)
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Musto T. (Pen),
1, Urzua A. (Pen),
2, Arnold G. (Pen),
2, Essel A. (Pen),
3, Karani S. (Pen),
3, Swann C. (Pen),
4, Bucknor J. (Pen),
4, Salazar C. (Pen),
5, Vivi Quesada G. (Pen),
5, Contreras J. (Pen),

Chances of winning

North Texas
39.4%

Draw
24.2%

Ventura County
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

23.9%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

23.4%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Texas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Ventura County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Texas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ventura County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

North Texas - Ventura County Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.07)	3.79 ↓ (3.84)	2.51 ↓ (2.87)	9.1% (9.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for North Texas - Ventura County?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - North Texas (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. North Texas (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Ventura County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has North Texas won against Ventura County?

North Texas has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ventura County won against North Texas?

Ventura County has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between North Texas - Ventura County were as follows:

31.08.2025 Ventura County - North Texas 0:1

11.09.2024 Ventura County - North Texas 1:3

Latest results of North Texas

31.08.2025 Ventura County - North Texas 0:1 ✺

24.08.2025 North Texas - Los Angeles 2 0:4 ✺

16.08.2025 North Texas - St. Louis City 2 1:3 ✺

08.08.2025 Austin II - North Texas 1:2 ✺

02.08.2025 North Texas - Colorado Rapids 2 1:4 ✺

Latest results of Ventura County

31.08.2025 Ventura County - North Texas 0:1 ✺

22.08.2025 Austin II - Ventura County 2:1 ✺

15.08.2025 The Town - Ventura County 4:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Ventura County - Portland Timbers 2 3:2 ✺

01.08.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County 4:6 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2026

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New England Revolution II	4	2	2	0	0	5:2	10
2	New York Red Bulls II	4	2	0	2	0	9:4	8
3	Columbus Crew 2	4	2	1	0	1	7:6	8
4	Philadelphia Union II	4	2	1	0	1	4:3	8
5	Connecticut FC	4	2	0	0	2	7:8	6
6	Toronto FC II	4	1	0	1	2	7:4	4
7	New York City II	3	0	1	1	1	1:6	3
8	Cincinnati 2	4	0	0	0	4	2:8	0

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Crown Legacy	4	4	0	0	0	17:3	12
2	Orlando City B	4	2	1	0	1	10:10	8
3	Atlanta United 2	4	2	0	1	1	7:6	7
4	Chicago Fire II	4	1	2	0	1	4:4	7
5	Huntsville	4	1	1	0	2	8:14	5
6	Chattanooga	4	1	0	1	2	8:10	4
7	Inter Miami II	4	0	0	2	2	5:11	2
8	Carolina Core	3	0	0	1	2	3:5	1

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Real Monarchs	4	2	2	0	0	12:6	10
2	San Jose Earthquakes II	4	2	0	1	1	9:4	7
3	Ventura County	4	1	2	0	1	8:7	7
4	Portland Timbers 2	4	1	1	1	1	2:6	6
5	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	4	1	0	1	2	6:8	4
6	Los Angeles FC 2	4	0	1	2	1	7:10	4
7	Tacoma Defiance	4	0	1	1	2	2:7	3

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Houston Dynamo 2	4	4	0	0	0	13:0	12
2	St. Louis City 2	4	3	1	0	0	12:4	11
3	Austin FC II	4	2	0	1	1	6:6	7
4	Minnesota 2	4	2	0	0	2	6:7	6
5	North Texas	4	1	0	1	2	5:6	4
6	Sporting Kansas City II	4	0	1	0	3	2:12	2
7	Colorado Rapids 2	4	0	0	1	3	4:11	1

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Crown Legacy	4	4	0	0	0	17:3	12
2	New England Revolution II	4	2	2	0	0	5:2	10
3	New York Red Bulls II	4	2	0	2	0	9:4	8
4	Columbus Crew 2	4	2	1	0	1	7:6	8
5	Philadelphia Union II	4	2	1	0	1	4:3	8
6	Orlando City B	4	2	1	0	1	10:10	8
7	Atlanta United 2	4	2	0	1	1	7:6	7
8	Chicago Fire II	4	1	2	0	1	4:4	7
9	Connecticut FC	4	2	0	0	2	7:8	6
10	Huntsville	4	1	1	0	2	8:14	5
11	Toronto FC II	4	1	0	1	2	7:4	4
12	Chattanooga	4	1	0	1	2	8:10	4
13	New York City II	3	0	1	1	1	1:6	3
14	Inter Miami II	4	0	0	2	2	5:11	2
15	Carolina Core	3	0	0	1	2	3:5	1
16	Cincinnati 2	4	0	0	0	4	2:8	0

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Houston Dynamo 2	4	4	0	0	0	13:0	12
2	St. Louis City 2	4	3	1	0	0	12:4	11
3	Real Monarchs	4	2	2	0	0	12:6	10
4	San Jose Earthquakes II	4	2	0	1	1	9:4	7
5	Austin FC II	4	2	0	1	1	6:6	7
6	Ventura County	4	1	2	0	1	8:7	7
7	Minnesota 2	4	2	0	0	2	6:7	6
8	Portland Timbers 2	4	1	1	1	1	2:6	6
9	North Texas	4	1	0	1	2	5:6	4
10	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	4	1	0	1	2	6:8	4
11	Los Angeles FC 2	4	0	1	2	1	7:10	4
12	Tacoma Defiance	4	0	1	1	2	2:7	3
13	Sporting Kansas City II	4	0	1	0	3	2:12	2
14	Colorado Rapids 2	4	0	0	1	3	4:11	1

Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)