Result
2:1
14/09/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS Next Pro
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Next Pro |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (353/415) | 91% (566/619) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (353/415) | 91% (566/619) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (22/46) | 60% (24/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (86/124) | 81% (128/159) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.49 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Barea J. ⚽, Piol A. (A),
- 9', 1 - 1, Musto T. ⚽,
- 17', Middleby M. 🟨,
- 25', Vivi Quesada G. ↓, Bucknor J. ↑,
- 29', Silva T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', 2 - 1, Zambrano M. (Pen),
- 57', Moisa L. 🟨,
- 70', Zambrano M. ↓, Marquez O. ↑,
- 75', Sullivan N. ↓, Karani S. ↑,
- 75', Ramos R. ↓, Preston E. ↑,
- 88', Hezarkhani A. ↓, Anderson O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Real Monarchs
48.3% | Draw
26.1% | Ventura County
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Ventura County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Monarchs that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (+5%)
Real Monarchs - Ventura County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↑
(1.89) |
3.54 ↑
(3.5) |
3.61 ↑
(3.3) |
8.3%
(11.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
- In recent matches, Real Monarchs has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ventura County is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Real Monarchs is considered a favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.4:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Real Monarchs won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Monarchs won against Ventura County?
Real Monarchs has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ventura County won against Real Monarchs?
Ventura County has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Monarchs - Ventura County were as follows:
01.06.2025
Ventura County
-
Real Monarchs
4:3
06.04.2025
Real Monarchs
-
Ventura County
1:2
06.10.2024
Real Monarchs
-
Ventura County
2:1
25.08.2024
Ventura County
-
Real Monarchs
3:1
19.05.2024
Ventura County
-
Real Monarchs
2:0
Latest results of Real Monarchs
Latest results of Ventura County
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | St. Louis City 2 (1) | Ventura County (8) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Real Monarchs (4) | Minnesota 2 (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Philadelphia Union II (2) | Cincinnati 2 (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Chattanooga (4) | Huntsville (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls II (1) | Carolina Core (8) | 5 : 1 |
| 6 | New England Revolution II (3) | Chicago Fire II (6) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Town FC (2) | North Texas (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids 2 (3) | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 (7) | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | St. Louis City 2 (1) | Minnesota 2 (5) | |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union II (2) | Huntsville (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II (1) | Chicago Fire II (6) | |
| 4 | Town FC (2) | Colorado Rapids 2 (3) | |
