Real Monarchs vs Ventura County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/09/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Zions Bank Stadium (Herriman, UT).

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Where to Watch on TV:


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Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.85	0.30
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
13	5
Shots on target
2	2
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
4	3
Passes
85% (353/415)	91% (566/619)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85	0.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.32	0.51
Total shots
13	5
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
7	2
Blocked Shots
4	1
Shots inside the Box
7	4
Shots outside the Box
6	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
20	17
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
15	12
Passes
85% (353/415)	91% (566/619)
Long passes
48% (22/46)	60% (24/40)
Passes in final third
69% (86/124)	81% (128/159)
Crosses
38% (6/16)	19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.96	1.63
Throw-ins
15	16
Fouls
12	15
Tackles
60% (12/20)	46% (6/13)
Duels won
51	41
Clearances
22	19
Interceptions
2	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	0
xGOT faced
0.51	1.32
Goals prevented
-0.49	-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Barea J. ⚽, Piol A. (A),
9', 1 - 1, Musto T. ⚽,
17', Middleby M. 🟨,
25', Vivi Quesada G. ↓, Bucknor J. ↑,
29', Silva T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 2 - 1, Zambrano M. (Pen),
57', Moisa L. 🟨,
70', Zambrano M. ↓, Marquez O. ↑,
75', Sullivan N. ↓, Karani S. ↑,
75', Ramos R. ↓, Preston E. ↑,
88', Hezarkhani A. ↓, Anderson O. ↑,

Chances of winning

Real Monarchs
48.3%

Draw
26.1%

Ventura County
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

25.6%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

22.7%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Ventura County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Monarchs that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (+5%)

Real Monarchs - Ventura County Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.89)	3.54 ↑ (3.5)	3.61 ↑ (3.3)	8.3% (11.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

Preview Facts

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
In recent matches, Real Monarchs has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ventura County is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Real Monarchs is considered a favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.4:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Real Monarchs won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Real Monarchs won against Ventura County?

Real Monarchs has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ventura County won against Real Monarchs?

Ventura County has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Monarchs - Ventura County were as follows:

01.06.2025 Ventura County - Real Monarchs 4:3

06.04.2025 Real Monarchs - Ventura County 1:2

06.10.2024 Real Monarchs - Ventura County 2:1

25.08.2024 Ventura County - Real Monarchs 3:1

19.05.2024 Ventura County - Real Monarchs 2:0

Latest results of Real Monarchs

06.09.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - Real Monarchs 2:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance 3:0 ✺

27.08.2025 The Town - Real Monarchs 1:0 ✺

24.08.2025 Real Monarchs - Minnesota United 2 3:2 ✺

17.08.2025 Real Monarchs - Los Angeles 2 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Ventura County

06.09.2025 North Texas - Ventura County 2:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Ventura County - North Texas 0:1 ✺

22.08.2025 Austin II - Ventura County 2:1 ✺

15.08.2025 The Town - Ventura County 4:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Ventura County - Portland Timbers 2 3:2 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2026

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New England Revolution II	4	2	2	0	0	5:2	10
2	New York Red Bulls II	4	2	0	2	0	9:4	8
3	Columbus Crew 2	4	2	1	0	1	7:6	8
4	Philadelphia Union II	4	2	1	0	1	4:3	8
5	Connecticut FC	4	2	0	0	2	7:8	6
6	Toronto FC II	4	1	0	1	2	7:4	4
7	New York City II	3	0	1	1	1	1:6	3
8	Cincinnati 2	4	0	0	0	4	2:8	0

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Crown Legacy	4	4	0	0	0	17:3	12
2	Orlando City B	4	2	1	0	1	10:10	8
3	Atlanta United 2	4	2	0	1	1	7:6	7
4	Chicago Fire II	4	1	2	0	1	4:4	7
5	Huntsville	4	1	1	0	2	8:14	5
6	Chattanooga	4	1	0	1	2	8:10	4
7	Inter Miami II	4	0	0	2	2	5:11	2
8	Carolina Core	3	0	0	1	2	3:5	1

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Real Monarchs	4	2	2	0	0	12:6	10
2	San Jose Earthquakes II	4	2	0	1	1	9:4	7
3	Ventura County	4	1	2	0	1	8:7	7
4	Portland Timbers 2	4	1	1	1	1	2:6	6
5	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	4	1	0	1	2	6:8	4
6	Los Angeles FC 2	4	0	1	2	1	7:10	4
7	Tacoma Defiance	4	0	1	1	2	2:7	3

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Houston Dynamo 2	4	4	0	0	0	13:0	12
2	St. Louis City 2	4	3	1	0	0	12:4	11
3	Austin FC II	4	2	0	1	1	6:6	7
4	Minnesota 2	4	2	0	0	2	6:7	6
5	North Texas	4	1	0	1	2	5:6	4
6	Sporting Kansas City II	4	0	1	0	3	2:12	2
7	Colorado Rapids 2	4	0	0	1	3	4:11	1

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Crown Legacy	4	4	0	0	0	17:3	12
2	New England Revolution II	4	2	2	0	0	5:2	10
3	New York Red Bulls II	4	2	0	2	0	9:4	8
4	Columbus Crew 2	4	2	1	0	1	7:6	8
5	Philadelphia Union II	4	2	1	0	1	4:3	8
6	Orlando City B	4	2	1	0	1	10:10	8
7	Atlanta United 2	4	2	0	1	1	7:6	7
8	Chicago Fire II	4	1	2	0	1	4:4	7
9	Connecticut FC	4	2	0	0	2	7:8	6
10	Huntsville	4	1	1	0	2	8:14	5
11	Toronto FC II	4	1	0	1	2	7:4	4
12	Chattanooga	4	1	0	1	2	8:10	4
13	New York City II	3	0	1	1	1	1:6	3
14	Inter Miami II	4	0	0	2	2	5:11	2
15	Carolina Core	3	0	0	1	2	3:5	1
16	Cincinnati 2	4	0	0	0	4	2:8	0

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Houston Dynamo 2	4	4	0	0	0	13:0	12
2	St. Louis City 2	4	3	1	0	0	12:4	11
3	Real Monarchs	4	2	2	0	0	12:6	10
4	San Jose Earthquakes II	4	2	0	1	1	9:4	7
5	Austin FC II	4	2	0	1	1	6:6	7
6	Ventura County	4	1	2	0	1	8:7	7
7	Minnesota 2	4	2	0	0	2	6:7	6
8	Portland Timbers 2	4	1	1	1	1	2:6	6
9	North Texas	4	1	0	1	2	5:6	4
10	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	4	1	0	1	2	6:8	4
11	Los Angeles FC 2	4	0	1	2	1	7:10	4
12	Tacoma Defiance	4	0	1	1	2	2:7	3
13	Sporting Kansas City II	4	0	1	0	3	2:12	2
14	Colorado Rapids 2	4	0	0	1	3	4:11	1

Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)