Ventura County vs Real Monarchs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Next Pro
Football MLS Next Pro Ventura County - Real Monarchs
Result
4:3 penalties
01/06/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.091.67
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
510
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
86% (369/431)81% (349/432)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.091.67
xG on target (xGOT)
1.021.27
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
510
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
1013
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2828
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
1810
Passes
86% (369/431)81% (349/432)
Long passes
47% (23/49)43% (17/40)
Passes in final third
64% (54/84)73% (94/128)
Crosses
28% (5/18)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.52
Throw-ins
1815
Fouls
1018
Tackles
69% (9/13)59% (13/22)
Duels won
4946
Clearances
2124
Interceptions
166
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
72
xGOT faced
1.271.02
Goals prevented
-1.73-1.98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Ramos R. ⚽, Miller H. (A),
  • 10', 1 - 1, Dillon G. ⚽, Marquez O. (A),
  • 13', O'Gara L. 🟨,
  • 17', Charpie W. 🟨,
  • 22', 1 - 2, Barea J. ⚽,
  • 43', Marquez O. ↓, Sandoval Molina B. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 48', 2 - 2, Musto T. ⚽, Muller L. (A),
  • 61', 2 - 3, Charpie W. ⚽,
  • 62', Henry K. ↓, Jennings M. ↑,
  • 67', 3 - 3, Sullivan N. ⚽,
  • 76', Sandoval Molina B. ↓, Touray O. ↑,
  • 78', Sullivan N. ↓, Karani S. ↑,
  • 89', Miller H. ↓, Bucknor J. ↑,
  • 90+2', Dillon G. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Muller L. ↓, El-Jindaoui N. ↑,
  • Penalties (4 - 3)
  • 1, Mesalles R. (Pen),
  • 1, Musto T. (Pen),
  • 2, Hezarkhani A. (Pen),
  • 2, Pepe (Pen),
  • 3, Anderson O. (Pen),
  • 3, Kocevski J. (Pen),
  • 4, O'Gara L. (Pen),
  • 4, Vanney D. (Pen),
  • 5, Barea J. (Pen),
  • 5, Ramos R. (Pen),
  • 6, Dillon G. (Pen),
  • 6, Miller H. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Ventura County
41.9%		Draw
24.4%		Real Monarchs
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.6% 23.9% 31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 23.8% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ventura County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
    •

    Ventura County - Real Monarchs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.22 ↑
    (2.07)    		 3.81 ↓
    (3.87)    		 2.76 ↓
    (2.93)    		 7.6%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Ventura County - Real Monarchs?
  • Users Predictions: Ventura County will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ventura County will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Ventura County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ventura County won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ventura County won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ventura County - Real Monarchs were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Real Monarchs - Ventura County 1:2
    06.10.2024 Real Monarchs - Ventura County 2:1
    25.08.2024 Ventura County - Real Monarchs 3:1
    19.05.2024 Ventura County - Real Monarchs 2:0
    Latest results of Ventura County
    18.05.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Ventura County 0:2
    13.05.2025 Ventura County - Austin II 0:1
    09.05.2025 Ventura County - Los Angeles II 2:1
    02.05.2025 Ventura County - Tacoma Defiance 1:2
    27.04.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Ventura County 2:3
    Latest results of Real Monarchs
    28.05.2025 Real Monarchs - Portland Timbers 2 4:1
    18.05.2025 Colorado Rapids 2 - Real Monarchs 2:1
    03.05.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Real Monarchs 2:1
    23.04.2025 Real Monarchs - Los Angeles II 1:2 ✺
    10.04.2025 Real Monarchs - The Town 2:1
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2181122345:3239
    2Philadelphia Union II16852140:1436
    3Chicago Fire II17822534:3030
    4New England Revolution II16741428:2130
    5New York City II18623733:3725
    6Cincinnati 217370716:2323
    7Toronto FC II18604820:2922
    8Columbus Crew 2163121017:3113


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga18833429:2633
    2Huntsville16732431:1929
    3Orlando City B18721826:3326
    4Crown Legacy18435627:3423
    5Carolina Core18344722:2521
    6Atlanta United 216326523:2619
    7Inter Miami II185031030:4118


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County18913534:2832
    2Vancouver Whitecaps 218731739:3328
    3Town FC15722434:2127
    4Real Monarchs16543429:2726
    5Tacoma Defiance16621740:4023
    6Los Angeles FC II17621827:3423
    7Portland Timbers 217522827:3321


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2181220437:2540
    2Colorado Rapids 219913634:3032
    3North Texas18821732:3529
    4Houston Dynamo 218631827:2725
    5Austin FC II17534520:2125
    6Minnesota 217703728:2524
    7Sporting Kansas City II160131211:405


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2181122345:3239
    2Philadelphia Union II16852140:1436
    3Chattanooga18833429:2633
    4Chicago Fire II17822534:3030
    5New England Revolution II16741428:2130
    6Huntsville16732431:1929
    7Orlando City B18721826:3326
    8New York City II18623733:3725
    9Crown Legacy18435627:3423
    10Cincinnati 217370716:2323
    11Toronto FC II18604820:2922
    12Carolina Core18344722:2521
    13Atlanta United 216326523:2619
    14Inter Miami II185031030:4118
    15Columbus Crew 2163121017:3113


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2181220437:2540
    2Ventura County18913534:2832
    3Colorado Rapids 219913634:3032
    4North Texas18821732:3529
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 218731739:3328
    6Town FC15722434:2127
    7Real Monarchs16543429:2726
    8Houston Dynamo 218631827:2725
    9Austin FC II17534520:2125
    10Minnesota 217703728:2524
    11Tacoma Defiance16621740:4023
    12Los Angeles FC II17621827:3423
    13Portland Timbers 217522827:3321
    14Sporting Kansas City II160131211:405

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