Ventura County vs Real Monarchs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/06/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Dignity Health Sports Park (Carson, CA).

MLS Next Pro
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Next Pro

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.09	1.67
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
15	16
Shots on target
5	10
Big Chances
4	4
Corner Kicks
6	3
Passes
86% (369/431)	81% (349/432)
Yellow Cards
0	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09	1.67
xG on target (xGOT)
1.02	1.27
Total shots
15	16
Shots on target
5	10
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked Shots
5	4
Shots inside the Box
10	13
Shots outside the Box
5	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
4	4
Corner Kicks
6	3
Touches in opposition box
28	28
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	0
Free Kicks
18	10
Passes
86% (369/431)	81% (349/432)
Long passes
47% (23/49)	43% (17/40)
Passes in final third
64% (54/84)	73% (94/128)
Crosses
28% (5/18)	36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.51	0.52
Throw-ins
18	15
Fouls
10	18
Tackles
69% (9/13)	59% (13/22)
Duels won
49	46
Clearances
21	24
Interceptions
16	6
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
1	1
Goalkeeper Saves
7	2
xGOT faced
1.27	1.02
Goals prevented
-1.73	-1.98

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 1 - 0, Ramos R. ⚽, Miller H. (A),
10', 1 - 1, Dillon G. ⚽, Marquez O. (A),
13', O'Gara L. 🟨,
17', Charpie W. 🟨,
22', 1 - 2, Barea J. ⚽,
43', Marquez O. ↓, Sandoval Molina B. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 2 - 2, Musto T. ⚽, Muller L. (A),
61', 2 - 3, Charpie W. ⚽,
62', Henry K. ↓, Jennings M. ↑,
67', 3 - 3, Sullivan N. ⚽,
76', Sandoval Molina B. ↓, Touray O. ↑,
78', Sullivan N. ↓, Karani S. ↑,
89', Miller H. ↓, Bucknor J. ↑,
90+2', Dillon G. 🟨,
90+2', Muller L. ↓, El-Jindaoui N. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Mesalles R. (Pen),
1, Musto T. (Pen),
2, Hezarkhani A. (Pen),
2, Pepe (Pen),
3, Anderson O. (Pen),
3, Kocevski J. (Pen),
4, O'Gara L. (Pen),
4, Vanney D. (Pen),
5, Barea J. (Pen),
5, Ramos R. (Pen),
6, Dillon G. (Pen),
6, Miller H. (Pen),

Chances of winning

Ventura County
41.9%

Draw
24.4%

Real Monarchs
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

23.9%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

23.8%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ventura County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Ventura County - Real Monarchs Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.07)	3.81 ↓ (3.87)	2.76 ↓ (2.93)	7.6% (8.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Ventura County - Real Monarchs?

Users Predictions: Ventura County will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ventura County will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Ventura County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ventura County won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ventura County won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Ventura County won against Real Monarchs?

Ventura County has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Monarchs won against Ventura County?

Real Monarchs has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ventura County - Real Monarchs were as follows:

06.04.2025 Real Monarchs - Ventura County 1:2

06.10.2024 Real Monarchs - Ventura County 2:1

25.08.2024 Ventura County - Real Monarchs 3:1

19.05.2024 Ventura County - Real Monarchs 2:0

Latest results of Ventura County

18.05.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Ventura County 0:2 ✺

13.05.2025 Ventura County - Austin II 0:1 ✺

09.05.2025 Ventura County - Los Angeles II 2:1 ✺

02.05.2025 Ventura County - Tacoma Defiance 1:2 ✺

27.04.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Ventura County 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Real Monarchs

28.05.2025 Real Monarchs - Portland Timbers 2 4:1 ✺

18.05.2025 Colorado Rapids 2 - Real Monarchs 2:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Real Monarchs 2:1 ✺

23.04.2025 Real Monarchs - Los Angeles II 1:2 ✺

10.04.2025 Real Monarchs - The Town 2:1 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	24	15	2	2	5	61:50	51
2	Philadelphia Union II	24	11	5	3	5	50:27	46
3	Chicago Fire II	23	11	4	2	6	56:39	43
4	New England Revolution II	22	10	5	2	5	42:29	42
5	Toronto FC II	24	10	1	4	9	31:36	36
6	New York City II	24	8	2	4	10	44:49	32
7	Cincinnati 2	23	5	7	0	11	26:33	29
8	Columbus Crew 2	24	5	1	3	15	33:54	20

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Huntsville	23	11	4	2	6	46:27	43
2	Chattanooga	23	10	4	3	6	35:33	41
3	Orlando City B	24	9	2	2	11	33:46	33
4	Carolina Core	24	7	4	4	9	35:36	33
5	Atlanta United 2	23	7	2	6	8	35:35	31
6	Crown Legacy	25	6	3	5	11	42:49	29
7	Inter Miami II	24	6	0	4	14	35:61	22

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Town FC	23	12	4	2	5	51:29	46
2	Real Monarchs	24	9	4	4	7	42:37	39
3	Ventura County	24	10	2	4	8	45:42	38
4	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	24	10	3	1	10	54:45	37
5	Los Angeles FC II	24	9	2	1	12	40:48	32
6	Portland Timbers 2	24	7	2	4	11	37:46	29
7	Tacoma Defiance	23	7	2	2	12	52:59	27

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	24	16	3	1	4	55:32	55
2	Colorado Rapids 2	24	13	1	4	6	48:36	45
3	Minnesota 2	24	10	2	3	9	38:37	37
4	North Texas	24	9	4	1	10	37:48	36
5	Austin FC II	24	8	3	5	8	29:30	35
6	Houston Dynamo 2	24	7	4	2	11	34:39	31
7	Sporting Kansas City II	24	3	1	3	17	25:59	14

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	24	15	2	2	5	61:50	51
2	Philadelphia Union II	24	11	5	3	5	50:27	46
3	Huntsville	23	11	4	2	6	46:27	43
4	Chicago Fire II	23	11	4	2	6	56:39	43
5	New England Revolution II	22	10	5	2	5	42:29	42
6	Chattanooga	23	10	4	3	6	35:33	41
7	Toronto FC II	24	10	1	4	9	31:36	36
8	Orlando City B	24	9	2	2	11	33:46	33
9	Carolina Core	24	7	4	4	9	35:36	33
10	New York City II	24	8	2	4	10	44:49	32
11	Atlanta United 2	23	7	2	6	8	35:35	31
12	Crown Legacy	25	6	3	5	11	42:49	29
13	Cincinnati 2	23	5	7	0	11	26:33	29
14	Inter Miami II	24	6	0	4	14	35:61	22
15	Columbus Crew 2	24	5	1	3	15	33:54	20

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	24	16	3	1	4	55:32	55
2	Town FC	23	12	4	2	5	51:29	46
3	Colorado Rapids 2	24	13	1	4	6	48:36	45
4	Real Monarchs	24	9	4	4	7	42:37	39
5	Ventura County	24	10	2	4	8	45:42	38
6	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	24	10	3	1	10	54:45	37
7	Minnesota 2	24	10	2	3	9	38:37	37
8	North Texas	24	9	4	1	10	37:48	36
9	Austin FC II	24	8	3	5	8	29:30	35
10	Los Angeles FC II	24	9	2	1	12	40:48	32
11	Houston Dynamo 2	24	7	4	2	11	34:39	31
12	Portland Timbers 2	24	7	2	4	11	37:46	29
13	Tacoma Defiance	23	7	2	2	12	52:59	27
14	Sporting Kansas City II	24	3	1	3	17	25:59	14

Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)