Result
0:1
25/10/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Mejia G. ↓, Padilla J. ↑,
- 45+3', Banegas A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Erick M. ↓, Pena K. ↑,
- 62', Lopez E. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
- 62', Suazo O. ↓, Portillo A. ↑,
- 65', Sevilla L. ↓, Delgadillo Y. ↑,
- 70', 0 - 1, Barrios O. ⚽,
- 71', Barrios O. 🟨,
- 76', Garcia F. 🟨,
- 79', Barrios A. 🟥,
- 81', Pena K. 🟨,
- 82', Perez S. ↓, Oliva E. ↑,
- 82', Franco L. ↓, Chavez B. ↑,
- 82', Espinal M. ↓, Matute C. ↑,
- 88', Morales M. ↓, Onofre G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Victoria La Ceiba
32% | Draw
28.2% | Lobos UPNFM
39.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Victoria La Ceiba - Lobos UPNFM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.88 ↑
(2.55) |
3.28 ↑
(3.2) |
2.32 ↓
(2.55) |
8.4%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Victoria La Ceiba won 1.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Victoria La Ceiba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Victoria La Ceiba won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:16. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Victoria La Ceiba won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 1.5:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Victoria La Ceiba won against Lobos UPNFM?
Victoria La Ceiba has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lobos UPNFM won against Victoria La Ceiba?
Lobos UPNFM has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Victoria La Ceiba - Lobos UPNFM were as follows:
16.08.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
Victoria La Ceiba
2:0
02.04.2025
Victoria La Ceiba
-
Lobos UPNFM
0:0
03.02.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
Victoria La Ceiba
1:1
02.11.2024
Lobos UPNFM
-
Victoria La Ceiba
1:1
25.08.2024
Victoria La Ceiba
-
Lobos UPNFM
2:1
Latest results of Victoria La Ceiba
Latest results of Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia ✔ | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37:23 | 14 | 37 |
| 2 | Marathon ✔ | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 33:12 | 21 | 36 |
| 3 | Motagua | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 30:26 | 4 | 28 |
| 4 | Real Espana | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27:20 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | UPNFM | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
| 6 | Olancho | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 32:26 | 6 | 23 |
| 7 | Platense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 27:19 | 8 | 22 |
| 8 | Juticalpa | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
| 9 | Genesis | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 26:31 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 | Choloma | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 21:45 | -24 | 11 |
| 11 | Victoria | 17 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 15:35 | -20 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Olimpia is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares )
Marathon is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares )
