Result
0:1
25/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 65', 0 - 1, Kasinde I. ⚽,
Chances of winning
UPDF
28.3% | Draw
30.5% | Villa
41.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UPDF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for UPDF than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
UPDF - Villa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.21 ↓
(3.38) |
2.98 ↓
(3.1) |
2.21 ↑
(2.07) |
10%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UPDF won 1.
- UPDF has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Villa is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, Villa has had a series of home games.
- Villa might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, UPDF won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 4:20. (average 0.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, UPDF won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has UPDF won against Villa?
UPDF has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Villa won against UPDF?
Villa has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UPDF - Villa were as follows:
02.03.2025
UPDF
-
Villa
2:0
01.11.2024
Villa
-
UPDF
5:0
11.05.2024
UPDF
-
Villa
0:2
02.01.2024
Villa
-
UPDF
3:0
16.05.2023
UPDF
-
Villa
0:2
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vipers | 16 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 34:9 | 25 | 38 |
| 2 | Kampala City | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 36 |
| 3 | Villa | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 26:10 | 16 | 34 |
| 4 | Entebbe UPPC | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 34 |
| 5 | Kitara | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23:12 | 11 | 33 |
| 6 | Police | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 29:18 | 11 | 32 |
| 7 | NEC FC | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | BUL | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 20 |
| 9 | Maroons | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 14:14 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Lugazi | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15:21 | -6 | 18 |
| 11 | Express | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 14:17 | -3 | 18 |
| 12 | Buhimba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 15:38 | -23 | 15 |
| 13 | Mbarara City | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 14:26 | -12 | 15 |
| 14 | URA SC | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 15 |
| 15 | UPDF | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12:25 | -13 | 12 |
| 16 | Calvary | 17 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 6:26 | -20 | 5 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League
