UPDF vs Villa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
25/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 8

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
83
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
15
Total shots
83
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
60
Corner Kicks
15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 65', 0 - 1, Kasinde I. ,

Chances of winning


UPDF
28.3%
Draw
30.5%
Villa
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.9% 29.3% 43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8% 29.2% 44%

UPDF - Villa Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.21
(3.38)
2.98
(3.1)
2.21
(2.07)
10%
(10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
  • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 3).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UPDF won 1.
  • UPDF has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Villa is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Recently, Villa has had a series of home games.
  • Villa might have a minor edge in this game.
  • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, UPDF won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 4:20. (average 0.3:1.4).
  • Including home matches between the teams, UPDF won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.3:1).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UPDF - Villa were as follows:
02.03.2025 UPDF - Villa 2:0
01.11.2024 Villa - UPDF 5:0
11.05.2024 UPDF - Villa 0:2
02.01.2024 Villa - UPDF 3:0
16.05.2023 UPDF - Villa 0:2
Latest results of UPDF
19.11.2025 Calvary - UPDF 0:1
06.11.2025 UPDF - Police 1:2
15.10.2025 UPDF - Maroons 1:2
03.10.2025 Mbarara City - UPDF 0:1
Latest results of Villa
20.11.2025 Villa - NEC FC 2:1
06.11.2025 Villa - Kitara 1:0
24.10.2025 Villa - Police 2:1
15.10.2025 Villa - Entebbe UPPC 1:1
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26
PlWDLDiffPts
1Kampala City1182117:9826
2Vipers1073019:61324
3Villa1172216:7923
4Police1163221:12921
5Entebbe UPPC1162314:9520
6Kitara1061314:7719
7Maroons1143413:9415
8Express1133511:14-312
9NEC FC1126310:11-112
10UPDF1132611:16-511
11URA SC1125413:14-111
12Buhimba1131712:27-1510
13BUL112459:13-410
14Mbarara City1124511:16-510
15Lugazi1124511:17-610
16Calvary110386:21-153

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