Result
0:1
25/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 65', 0 - 1, Kasinde I. ⚽,
Chances of winning
UPDF
28.3% | Draw
30.5% | Villa
41.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UPDF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for UPDF than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
UPDF - Villa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.21 ↓
(3.38) |
2.98 ↓
(3.1) |
2.21 ↑
(2.07) |
10%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UPDF won 1.
- UPDF has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Villa is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, Villa has had a series of home games.
- Villa might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, UPDF won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 4:20. (average 0.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, UPDF won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has UPDF won against Villa?
UPDF has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Villa won against UPDF?
Villa has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UPDF - Villa were as follows:
02.03.2025
UPDF
-
Villa
2:0
01.11.2024
Villa
-
UPDF
5:0
11.05.2024
UPDF
-
Villa
0:2
02.01.2024
Villa
-
UPDF
3:0
16.05.2023
UPDF
-
Villa
0:2
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vipers | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 42:14 | 28 | 51 |
| 2 | Kitara | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 34:13 | 21 | 47 |
| 3 | Kampala City | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 34:18 | 16 | 45 |
| 4 | Villa | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 32:11 | 21 | 44 |
| 5 | Entebbe UPPC | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 19:14 | 5 | 37 |
| 6 | NEC FC | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 37 |
| 7 | Police | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 32:26 | 6 | 35 |
| 8 | BUL | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 24:21 | 3 | 30 |
| 9 | Maroons | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 18:15 | 3 | 29 |
| 10 | Express | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 26 |
| 11 | URA SC | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 18:23 | -5 | 22 |
| 12 | Lugazi | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16:31 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 | UPDF | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 17:30 | -13 | 17 |
| 14 | Mbarara City | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 16:34 | -18 | 16 |
| 15 | Buhimba | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 15:46 | -31 | 15 |
| 16 | Calvary | 22 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 9:36 | -27 | 8 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League
